Ericsson wrote:Global stocks rout after Fed chairman Jerome Powell comments
Jerome's comments were at least realistic.There will be no immediate recovery or what US investors call V shaped recovery.Until a covid-19 vaccine which is possibly 12-18 months away is developed (considering that there has never been any successful vaccine developed for other coronaviruses strains) or viable anti-viral drug is availed,the threat of Covid-19 remains a significant global health and economic threat.
US stock market is living up to the 3 phases of stock market action during a recession ie
1)Liquidation Phase-An event eg Covid-19 or real estate burst in 2008 or October 1929 crash results in mass panic and steep violent sell off.The liquidation phase occurred in March 2020 where the S&P 500 recorded its fastest decline in history
2)Hope Phase-Fed intervenes and prints a mammoth amount of dollars to buy asset classes and stock and other asset markets stage a dead cat bounce.April 2020 saw the largest rally of US stocks since the 1931 hope phase of the great depression as Fed injected trillions to purchase all asset classes.People assume the worst is over and buy back stocks in this false rally
3)Bankruptcy phase-Reality finally dawns on investors that the recession will last longer than expected.Bankruptcies especially of small and medium enterprises that did not benefit from Fed money printing bailouts start to go under.Retailers and restaurant chains in the US have already started to file for bankruptcy then the real crisis begins and stocks stage a long drawn out decline just like the 1931 hope phase collapsed into a decade long depression in the 1930s

US markets maybe approaching the end of the hope phase and the beginning of the bankruptcy phase though stocks could still rally as Fed money printing is a exceptionally powerful manipulative engine.It remains to be seen when the real phase 3 crisis will begin
Contrarian Investor and Trader.Advocate of free markets,limited government interference in the economy and sound money