Pale Twitter pia:
The spread of Covid has two factors
1) how dense a population is
2) how dense a population is

No one = you?

Huh

While Kenyans are busy bickering about facts, the other part of the world is working based on the facts.

Senegal creates a $1 covid tester.

Hapa people still think Covid is a political movement they support or don't support.

Your words " No one is able to make sense of what is happening " I asked you? Who else are you speaking of?

A majority of people don't know how to read data or make sense of the numbers they see. Or if you like add meat to what the numbers are showing. See how much @mavegges has tried to explain social distancing even with graphs but some aren't catching it. NY & Tokyo may be complex. Do a case study of Eastern African countries. Our cultures are the similar. Focus on TZ, KE, UG, RW, ET, SO,

I think we a need a regional approach and possibly have a lockdown in the entire region.
As it is now, reopening the borders will bring another wave of infections.

True. But just like nation's you as an individual can be following all the hyginen rules and even locking yourself in. But the moment you get out you meet your friend who has been free willying all over town.
The broad population has found its way around this lockdown. Drinks have never stopped flowing. Nyama choma has become even sweeter. You just need to know where to go.Lazima tujienjoy. For me I am just enjoying my holiday.

Assume that we have 2 overlapping Groups:

Group 1 - the group that has a KNOWN case within. People who 1 person reported themselves and subsequent contacts were traced from them. this group with at least 1 KNOWN person is yielding numbers that range between 0.6% to 2.75% of the samples tested. This is the one Kagwe and co. have been talking to us since 13th March. the total number of people tested in this SUSPECTED GROUP to date is less than 20k.

Group 2: the UNKNOWN group:
You are stating that there is a MUCH MUCH LARGER group that has been here for the last 100+ days. Infections happening, Healing, Dying (and sickness being attributed to something else) - but since the disease does not require the host to acknowledge so that it adjusts its spread behavior to what we expect (3+ people getting infected by each previous infection based on what we know from the disease) it has been spreading without social distancing for 100+ days. Considering virus shedding after infection can last upto 37 days (but the median is around 20 days) - where people can still pass on the virus to others and also test positively HOWEVER somehow these people in this much larger and EXPONENTIALLY growing group have seldomly overlapped with Group 1 in order to spike the number of positive cases? That whatever group we test - we end up with less than 2% of them being infections? Also, for unexplained circumstances - the sick from this have not flooded out hospitals?

Riwry? how plausible is that?

p.s. I am not disputing that there is a UNKNOW group - the question is
1) HOW LONG HAS IT BEEN AROUND?
2) HOW BIG IS IT?
3) HOW DOES IT INTERSECT WITH GROUP 1?

at what point does the invisible start looking like the non-existent?

Following the directives of His Excellency the President, National Emergency Response Committee on Coronavirus has approved the following guidelines for partial reopening of eateries and restaurants.

a)All restaurants shall only operate between 05.00 a.m.and 04.00 p.m.
b) Restaurants must limit the number of diners or customers to 4 people for every 10 square metres space.      



c) Tables in the dining areas must be spaced 1.5 metres apart in the dining area or seat customer groups at least 1.5 metres apart.
d)Maintain distance from the back of one chair to the other chair not less than a metre and guests must face each other from a distance of at least one metre.
*e) Alcohol shall only be sold with a meal in the restaurant and only be served to customers waiting to be served a meal, during the meal, or 30 minutes after the meal has ended.*
(h) Temporarily discontinue self-service of ready-to-eat foods such as salad bars or buffets.
(i) Customers to have their meals delivered individually to the dining table by appointed restaurant stewards. If buffet meals are served the service shall be by only one person appointed by the restaurant.
(j) Restaurants to ensure quality and safety of food, to rinse and sanitize food contact surfaces, disinfect surfaces, floors and counters.
(k) Install adequate portable running water and accessible washing basins for hand washing purposes, install alcohol based-hand sanitizers at the entrance and exit points.
(l) Restaurants and eateries must install a contact free thermometer and ensure that every person entering the premises has his/her body temperature taken.



(m) Any staff member or reveler with temperature above 37.5 degrees shall not be allowed entry into the premises, and the premises shall immediately notify the Ministry of Health through the toll free no 719 for guidance.
(n) Ensure physical distancing (1 metre - 3 feet) in food preparation areas.

Finally, we can agree that either the unknown group does not exist or they are not exhibiting any symptoms.
This means either we are winning the war against the invisible enemy or we have reached a ceasefire with the enemy.