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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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winmak wrote:mnandii wrote:Quote:How to Protect Yourself and Your Family From DeflationWhat You Need to Know NowQuote:The media has been talking about deflation. The word is finding itself inserted into articles of many kinds. And with good reason: Deflation is a concern with any financial contraction, including the one we've been witnessing recently -- especially when there are record levels of debt in the system as there are now.
It's crucial to understand what deflation truly is and is not. In fact, most people think that deflation equals falling prices. Deflation INCLUDES falling prices. But that's not its most important feature. Its most important feature is that the supply of money and credit disappears. Because of that, most people are devastated, financially, when it occurs.
The good news is that you can prepare for deflation. If you do so, you can actually turn its most devastating impacts on their heads -- so they HELP you rather than HURT you.
To begin our report, let's return to our definition: Deflation is the contraction in the supply of money and credit. This occurs because businesses and people become less aggressive financially. Banks stop lending money and businesses and people stop borrowing. All parties cut their spending. They hold onto whatever cash they have. Perhaps you've already seen aspects of this in your current situation.
How can you protect yourself from deflation's effects, and turn those effects into positives? To answer those questions, let's begin with some key excerpts from the most popular book on the topic ever published, Robert Prechter's Conquer The Crash 2020: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression. The book is considered THE seminal work on the topic and has sold hundreds of thousands of copies since its first edition was released in 2002. It is a New York Times and Wall Street Journal best-seller.
Here are your excerpts from Conquer the Crash............ Here Would’ve made for interesting reading but there’s a paywall 😬😬 Nope. This report is free if you sign-up for a free EWI club account. Just set email and password. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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 Bamburi Cement. A bottom should be close by. Have cash handy. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Member Joined: 12/1/2007 Posts: 539 Location: Nakuru
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mnandii wrote:winmak wrote:mnandii wrote:Quote:How to Protect Yourself and Your Family From DeflationWhat You Need to Know NowQuote:The media has been talking about deflation. The word is finding itself inserted into articles of many kinds. And with good reason: Deflation is a concern with any financial contraction, including the one we've been witnessing recently -- especially when there are record levels of debt in the system as there are now.
It's crucial to understand what deflation truly is and is not. In fact, most people think that deflation equals falling prices. Deflation INCLUDES falling prices. But that's not its most important feature. Its most important feature is that the supply of money and credit disappears. Because of that, most people are devastated, financially, when it occurs.
The good news is that you can prepare for deflation. If you do so, you can actually turn its most devastating impacts on their heads -- so they HELP you rather than HURT you.
To begin our report, let's return to our definition: Deflation is the contraction in the supply of money and credit. This occurs because businesses and people become less aggressive financially. Banks stop lending money and businesses and people stop borrowing. All parties cut their spending. They hold onto whatever cash they have. Perhaps you've already seen aspects of this in your current situation.
How can you protect yourself from deflation's effects, and turn those effects into positives? To answer those questions, let's begin with some key excerpts from the most popular book on the topic ever published, Robert Prechter's Conquer The Crash 2020: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression. The book is considered THE seminal work on the topic and has sold hundreds of thousands of copies since its first edition was released in 2002. It is a New York Times and Wall Street Journal best-seller.
Here are your excerpts from Conquer the Crash............ Here Would’ve made for interesting reading but there’s a paywall 😬😬 Nope. This report is free if you sign-up for a free EWI club account. Just set email and password. Oh sawa. Will do For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Diamond Trust bank. Bottom targets lie at 68, 54, 43 and 35. Ksh. 54 is likely since by then wave C will be touching the bottom trend line. Be ready to buy.  Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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 Standard Chartered Bank. Still has a long way DOWN to go. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,684 Location: NAIROBI
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mnandii wrote: EABL. Updated wave counts. Falling in wave (iii) of [iii]. Wait to buy at Ksh 10.00 At a price if sh.10 the market capitalization of EABL will be lower than the profit of HY2019/2020 Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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mnandii wrote:EABL. Updated wave counts. Falling in wave (iii) of [iii]. Wait to buy at Ksh 10.00 A bold prediction Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Member Joined: 7/1/2009 Posts: 256
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sparkly wrote:mnandii wrote:EABL. Updated wave counts. Falling in wave (iii) of [iii]. Wait to buy at Ksh 10.00 A bold prediction That's being very polite. At that price, its PE would be below 1!!! Perhaps he meant Ksh 100.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/13/2015 Posts: 1,590
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mnandii wrote:wukan wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:Some panic selling would be nice this week at NSE, before some small recovery thereafter.
KCB at 35-38 am game on!!!! 32.50 Time to buy banks! Or is it still too soon? I would say wait for next 30 days. Too soon. Keep cash We are coming to that 30 day period. You can now appreciate the off the charts market dislocations. Emerging markets are about to go on a wild run. Every hand is a winner, every hand is a loser. Play wisely
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,103 Location: Nairobi
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Monk wrote:sparkly wrote:mnandii wrote:EABL. Updated wave counts. Falling in wave (iii) of [iii]. Wait to buy at Ksh 10.00 A bold prediction That's being very polite. At that price, its PE would be below 1!!! Perhaps he meant Ksh 100. I would load up on these at 10/-. At that price Diageo would do a takeover and be done!  Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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VituVingiSana wrote:Monk wrote:sparkly wrote:mnandii wrote:EABL. Updated wave counts. Falling in wave (iii) of [iii]. Wait to buy at Ksh 10.00 A bold prediction That's being very polite. At that price, its PE would be below 1!!! Perhaps he meant Ksh 100. I would load up on these at 10/-. At that price Diageo would do a takeover and be done! Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Quote:Parents demand deeper fee cuts by private schoolsQuote:Parents of children enrolled in international private schools have called for a steeper reduction in tuition fees, citing financial strains related to the Coronavirus pandemic and the reduced interaction between learners and their teachers.
International and private schools have turned to online classes as their new term started Tuesday while others are scheduled to resume in the next two weeks. Quote:However, parents at some of these schools have been calling for deeper reductions, citing the current difficult financial situation that many families are facing due to salary cuts and a slow down in business.
They argue that their financial challenges are the result of reduced incomes, terminated contracts and a general slowdown in business.
linkConventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Tighten your belts. Quote:
Covid-19: LSK to cushion struggling lawyers
The Law Society of Kenya is planning to cushion its “needy members” against the effects of coronavirus as courts remain shut following a directive by Chief Justice David Maraga.
LSK president Nelson Havi said the lawyers’ body had put up a kitty to help cushion members affected by the negative economic impact of the pandemic.
“The most immediate concern for us is to get food and rents for those affected. We are raising money and will be able to pay rent for those desperate and have been kicked out of their rental houses,” Mr Havi said.
...noting that they are in “their thousands.”
linkConventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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mnandii wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:@mnandii said "It is important to note that as Safaricom continues to fall so will the profitability of the company."
Why would the profitability of Safcom (the business) trend the fall in the price of the shares?
On a fundamental basis, I understand why the (potential) DECREASE in profits could lead to a lower share price BUT I do not understand why profits would follow a decrease in the share price. This is the whole point on Elliott Waves and Socionomics. . Social actions (we can put fundamentals under this) follow social mood and not vice versa (as is commonly assumed). The price of the share is a barometer to measure the tenor of social mood. When the market trends up then social mood is trending up(becomes increasingly positive). When the market trends down then this is evidence that social mood is trending down(becomes increasingly negative). When mood is positive then expect bullish fundamentals and when mood is negative then expect bearish fundamentals. Socionomics makes a distinction between Economics and Finance. The laws that apply to Economics do not apply to Finance. In short, what people assume to be the causes of social actions (e.g good fundamentals) are actually symptoms. Social actions have a cause which is the mass psychology of the crowd which can be gauged (much the same way you can measure temperature) using the stock market. Even with your example above, a decrease in profits would lead to a decrease in share price, still begs one more question - what has caused the decline in profits in the first place?!
People usually make the statement and believe it to be true that war makes people angry . But if you sit back and thoroughly question this statement you'll find that people have completely flipped the symptom and its cause. The correct statement is angry people make war. War is one of the symptoms that results when people are angry. Again negative social mood is the culprit(the cause). The above is the same reasoning that attends understanding Finance. Post 3005 October 2018. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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mnandii wrote:
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This is what we have always maintained. When the stock market drops significantly, expect political, economic and other social ills including war. If the stock market rises, implying an elevation in social mood, expect good economic performance, a generally 'happy' populace, increased investment, peace etc.
Post 869 Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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 Nation Media Group should be bottoming. An impulsive rise to above 44.00 will be confirmation that a bottom is in place. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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 USDKES Looks like a zigzag. KES has much further downside to go. An exchange rate of Kes 120 to the dollar likely soon. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/18/2014 Posts: 1,127
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mnandii wrote:mnandii wrote:
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This is what we have always maintained. When the stock market drops significantly, expect political, economic and other social ills including war. If the stock market rises, implying an elevation in social mood, expect good economic performance, a generally 'happy' populace, increased investment, peace etc.
Post 869 The social, economic and (geo) political fallout that will accompany or come after this pandemic will be epic on a global scale. The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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 Upbeat comedy does not work in a bear market. Movies and shows with gory imagery and violent themes do well in an environment of negative social mood which manifests in a bear market. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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lochaz-index wrote:mnandii wrote:mnandii wrote:
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This is what we have always maintained. When the stock market drops significantly, expect political, economic and other social ills including war. If the stock market rises, implying an elevation in social mood, expect good economic performance, a generally 'happy' populace, increased investment, peace etc.
Post 869 The social, economic and (geo) political fallout that will accompany or come after this pandemic will be epic on a global scale. True. Though the cause is not the pandemic per se. The pandemic is but one of the manifestations of negative social mood. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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