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Kenya Economy Watch
aemathenge
#2371 Posted : Tuesday, November 26, 2019 12:48:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/18/2008
Posts: 3,434
Location: Kerugoya
Quote:
A row over who owns Kenya’s land is making life hard for foreign firms

Kericho, the capital of Kenya’s tea country, is a verdant spot.

Emerald-green estates stretch as far as the eye can see, hugging the western escarpment of the Rift Valley.

Set 7,000 feet above sea level, the climate is perfect for growing tea, Kenya’s biggest export, which fetched $1.4bn last year.

For Paul Chepkwony, the governor of Kericho County, these plantations are a reminder of the way the British stiffed his Kipsigis tribe of their land.

Under British rule the colonists took half the land on which the Kipsigis grazed their cattle, turning it into tea estates.

Mr Chepkwony demands that the British government pay compensation to 115,000 Kipsigis and their descendants, who lost their land. (It will not.)

Mr Chepkwony also says that a ruling in February by the new land commission allows him to increase land taxes on tea estates and demand a preposterous $20bn or so in profits that he claims were illegally acquired—equivalent to nearly a quarter of Kenya’s annual gdp.

The burden, he feels, should fall primarily on three firms that grow tea on disputed land: Finlays, Unilever and George Williamson.

If they cough up, they would be welcome to stay on as tenants of the Kipsigi people, he says.


To Mr Chepkwony’s irritation, the multinationals are not playing ball.

They have resisted his demands to surrender their title deeds for inspection.

They have also challenged the land commission’s ruling.

Kimutai Bosek, the governor’s legal adviser, warns that such recalcitrance could prompt frustrated Kipsigis to take the law into their own hands.

The tea companies do not take such threats lightly.

In June the governor of a neighbouring county led an invasion of an estate, uprooting tea bushes.

Historic land disputes are vexing multinationals in other sectors, too.

Kakuzi, a big British agricultural firm, and Del Monte Kenya, which grows 13,000 acres of pineapples, have faced demands to surrender large chunks of their plantations.

County governors are also using their new powers to make life difficult off the farm.

Tata Chemicals, an Indian soda-ash miner, has been slapped with a $166m land-tax bill it says it cannot pay.

Local politicians are also complicating things for Tullow, an Anglo-Irish company trying to extract oil in northern Kenya.

All this leaves Uhuru Kenyatta, Kenya’s president and Jomo’s son, in a bind.

Aside from fears that those with land grievances could one day turn to his family’s vast holdings, he presents himself as a champion of foreign investors.

Yet, preoccupied by a power struggle in his government and wary of alienating voters ahead of an election in 2022, Mr Kenyatta has remained aloof.

His silence may damage the economy.


Multinationals are not just big taxpayers but also sizeable employers.

Del Monte is Kenya’s largest exporter of canned pineapples.

Nearly two-thirds of tea processed by big firms comes from smallholders.

When landless peasants organised by the ruling party seized big commercial farms in Zimbabwe, the economy collapsed.

Some say Kenya’s land commission should look at under-utilised farms owned by politicians.

Or that Mr Kenyatta could do more good by reducing corruption, boosting urban employment and helping smallholders make their farms more productive.

Many Kenyans have legitimate land grievances, but making implausible demands of profitable firms does not seem the best way of addressing them.


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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#2372 Posted : Tuesday, November 26, 2019 3:10:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
lochaz-index wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
MPC lowers cbr by 50bps to 8.5%.Quite conservative i must say but atleast it shows the direction going forward.

Very conservative but I don't think even a 200bps cut will make a dent in increasing credit growth in this environment of fiscal dominance. Working with the CRR might be a more fruitful venture as it gives banks additional liquidity to grapple with and even then an uptick in lending will be minuscule.

This is a risk off economy and banks have been restructuring loans for the better part of the last five years aka managing the loan book...dont expect them to go gung-ho into new lending which only adds to their already existing headaches.

The CBR at this point is more important in KES management than anything else. It will be interesting to see whether cbk will exercise restraint when KES depreciates vis a vis trying to prop up the economy.


Quite some work there cut out for them. As i write this, KES has lost some ground since the CBR cut....we are currently down to 102.3 vs 101.15 pre CBR cut. And we are talking about a meagre 50bps.
@SufficientlyP
wukan
#2373 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2019 10:22:29 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,654
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly savage

Quote:
Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) Governor Patrick Njoroge has accused suspended Treasury Cabinet Secretary Henry Rotich of distorting revenue figures.

Dr Njoroge yesterday said the misrepresentation of numbers by the embattled official had driven the government on a borrowing spree.

In a rare bare-knuckle attack on Rotich’s tenure, Njoroge described Treasury’s budget-making process as “abracadabra”, where revenue numbers were randomly included in the budget books “from thin air.”
The governor described the revenue shortfalls by Treasury that resulted in a borrowing spree as “parte after parte” in street parlance.


“There was a lot of abracadabra,” said Njoroge of the budget-making process that was overseen by Rotich and his Principal Secretary Kamau Thugge.
Njoroge spoke at a press briefing in his office a day after the Monetary Policy Committee slashed the benchmark lending rate from nine per cent to 8.5 per cent.

https://www.standardmedi...racadabra-budget-figures
wukan
#2374 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2019 10:35:55 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,654
CBK governor was on a roll yesterdayApplause Applause

Quote:
“If the government is short of revenues and wants in a sense to assault the CBK and grab whatever resources there are, that has never worked and will never work,” Dr Njoroge said at the Monetary Policy Committee press briefing on Tuesday.

“Such bailouts monetise the deficit one to one which means the central bank prints money, it will be printing money to cover the deficit and would draw the central bank as a conspirator in fiscal decisions this will subordinate the central bank to fiscal decisions and political imperatives,” he said


Quote:
CBK trades in Treasury bills under its name to reduce or increase money supply in the economy.

“There were concerns that we also have been commanded to surrender T-bills that we hold. So just like Kenya oil or some parastatal we are thrown into this ring and forced to surrender. That couldn’t be further from the way things work, we do not operate under those sort of regimes,” Dr Njoroge said

“If decisions are made in smoke filled rooms by people who want to send rockets to the sun they end up with those figures. We follow specific laws and we have been doing it for 54 years,” he said.
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

https://www.businessdail...363896-17xt2t/index.html
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#2375 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2019 10:49:04 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Why can't we have Opus Dei lead this country???
@SufficientlyP
lochaz-index
#2376 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2019 11:06:53 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
wukan wrote:
CBK governor was on a roll yesterdayApplause Applause

Quote:
“If the government is short of revenues and wants in a sense to assault the CBK and grab whatever resources there are, that has never worked and will never work,” Dr Njoroge said at the Monetary Policy Committee press briefing on Tuesday.

“Such bailouts monetise the deficit one to one which means the central bank prints money, it will be printing money to cover the deficit and would draw the central bank as a conspirator in fiscal decisions this will subordinate the central bank to fiscal decisions and political imperatives,” he said


Quote:
CBK trades in Treasury bills under its name to reduce or increase money supply in the economy.

“There were concerns that we also have been commanded to surrender T-bills that we hold. So just like Kenya oil or some parastatal we are thrown into this ring and forced to surrender. That couldn’t be further from the way things work, we do not operate under those sort of regimes,” Dr Njoroge said

“If decisions are made in smoke filled rooms by people who want to send rockets to the sun they end up with those figures. We follow specific laws and we have been doing it for 54 years,” he said.
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

https://www.businessdail...63896-17xt2t/index.html

Whoa! I hope this not all bark and no bite coz those assaults will keep coming more so when the cookie crumbles.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
aemathenge
#2377 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2019 11:22:26 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/18/2008
Posts: 3,434
Location: Kerugoya
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Why can't we have Opus Dei lead this country???


I have just had a wild thought.

Supposing when his tenure at Central Bank is over and he is appointed The Minister (This BBI Manenos) For Finance and an Ex Official Mpig (Again this BBI Manenos)?

Would he change his tune?

Just a thought, just a thought
aemathenge
#2378 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2019 11:24:59 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/18/2008
Posts: 3,434
Location: Kerugoya
lochaz-index wrote:
wukan wrote:
CBK governor was on a roll yesterdayApplause Applause

Quote:
“If the government is short of revenues and wants in a sense to assault the CBK and grab whatever resources there are, that has never worked and will never work,” Dr Njoroge said at the Monetary Policy Committee press briefing on Tuesday.

“Such bailouts monetise the deficit one to one which means the central bank prints money, it will be printing money to cover the deficit and would draw the central bank as a conspirator in fiscal decisions this will subordinate the central bank to fiscal decisions and political imperatives,” he said


Quote:
CBK trades in Treasury bills under its name to reduce or increase money supply in the economy.

“There were concerns that we also have been commanded to surrender T-bills that we hold. So just like Kenya oil or some parastatal we are thrown into this ring and forced to surrender. That couldn’t be further from the way things work, we do not operate under those sort of regimes,” Dr Njoroge said

“If decisions are made in smoke filled rooms by people who want to send rockets to the sun they end up with those figures. We follow specific laws and we have been doing it for 54 years,” he said.
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

https://www.businessdail...63896-17xt2t/index.html

Whoa! I hope this not all bark and no bite coz those assaults will keep coming more so when the cookie crumbles.


I am much more worried that the Njumbiri Regime would "revisit" the way they are revisiting Justice Maraga and his "Wakora" team.
whiteowl
#2379 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2019 10:20:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
[quote=wukan]CBK governor was on a roll yesterdayApplause Applause

Quote:
“If the government is short of revenues and wants in a sense to assault the CBK and grab whatever resources there are, that has never worked and will never work,” Dr Njoroge said at the Monetary Policy Committee press briefing on Tuesday.

“Such bailouts monetise the deficit one to one which means the central bank prints money, it will be printing money to cover the deficit and would draw the central bank as a conspirator in fiscal decisions this will subordinate the central bank to fiscal decisions and political imperatives,” he said


Quote:
CBK trades in Treasury bills under its name to reduce or increase money supply in the economy.

“There were concerns that we also have been commanded to surrender T-bills that we hold. So just like Kenya oil or some parastatal we are thrown into this ring and forced to surrender. That couldn’t be further from the way things work, we do not operate under those sort of regimes,” Dr Njoroge said

“If decisions are made in smoke filled rooms by people who want to send rockets to the sun they end up with those figures. We follow specific laws and we have been doing it for 54 years,” he said.
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

https://www.businessdail...63896-17xt2t/index.html[/quote]

*mic drop* Applause Applause Applause
maka
#2380 Posted : Thursday, November 28, 2019 2:44:48 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Why can't we have Opus Dei lead this country???


Ummmh I am very sure you know the answer... 🤷🏽‍♂️🤷🏽‍♂️🤷🏽‍♂️🤷🏽‍♂️🤷🏽‍♂️🤷🏽‍♂️
possunt quia posse videntur
263 Pages«<236237238239240>»
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