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KenyaRe FY19 - FY23 (Both Inclusive)
VituVingiSana
#121 Posted : Thursday, May 16, 2019 10:07:45 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Ebenyo wrote:
obiero wrote:
young wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Kenya Re FY 2019 my projection is an EPS of ksh.1 or Profit After Tax of ksh.2.8bn
Dividend per share of ksh.0.25-0.3 post bonus issue.
Price range post release of the FY2019 results ksh.7-8



"Kindly" expect 10 cent div next year with EPS of 65 cents. Reinsurance sector is at distress coupled with lack lustre GOK owned management .

Let those with eyes read.. This is the truth

We shall revisit this post next year after KENRE release FY 2019 results.Then the truth will set us free.
The reason I picked a 5 year time-frame is to allow for the ups and downs on a semi-annual basis. If KenRe keeps going on its slow but sure agenda, we will be laughing in 2024 (when FY23 results will be announced).

I worry about GoK's 60% interest in KenRe but I hope a KCB or even better a Safaricom type deal is hatched in which a *legitimate* Strategic Partner ends up with a controlling interest.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
young
#122 Posted : Thursday, May 16, 2019 11:11:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
@All
Don't be surprised if there is no dividend for the next 2 years . CC Kengen.

Ken_re needs to consolidate and reposition after the strange and generous bonus funded from part of their reserve.
I still maintain that the bonus was a Greek
gift to appease shareholders for the tough times ahead.
Will offload mine next week at circa 15 Bob (as per current ARTIFICIAL bull run) due to the irrational bonus to position in more promising counters .
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
VituVingiSana
#123 Posted : Thursday, May 16, 2019 11:47:55 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
young wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Kenya Re FY 2019 my projection is an EPS of ksh.1 or Profit After Tax of ksh.2.8bn
Dividend per share of ksh.0.25-0.3 post bonus issue.
Price range post release of the FY2019 results ksh.7-8


"Kindly" expect 10 cent div next year with EPS of 65 cents. Reinsurance sector is at distress coupled with lack lustre GOK owned management .


The Match: HT results/preview in Sep 2019 but final results TBA in Mar 2020
Contestants: Young vs Ericsson
EPS: 0.65 vs 1.00
Dividend: 0.10 vs 0.25
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
young
#124 Posted : Thursday, May 16, 2019 11:52:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
The truth is ,
It is better to have FEW units of something than MANY units of NOTHING.


10,000 USD is of more value than 360,000 naira
AND
10,000 USD is more valuable than 100,000 shillings .


Kenya-re at 3.5 Bob post bonus is almost worthless.

When the post bonus euphoria ends and Ken-re faces the reality of NSE bear run , the counter will be struggling to get support at 3.00 Bob.

Look at I&M (1:1 bonus) and WPP SCAN ( Generous 3 Bob special dividend) , see their thorough price loss in the past few days.
Their antecedents with respect their immediate past FY results (Fy 18) is far better than KENRE.


I understand "our friend" HFCK which I offloaded last year at 9.0 Bob at a loss (now 4.45 Bob) will do a rights issue.
Good luck to HFCK.
HFCK also gave a Greek gift of 1:10 bonus last year before she sank to a loss in fy 18.

People in Nigeria answer the name Goodluck, that does not make them lucky . Information and knowledge is better than luck.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
VituVingiSana
#125 Posted : Friday, May 17, 2019 12:09:59 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
young wrote:
The truth is ,
It is better to have FEW units of something than MANY units of NOTHING.


10,000 USD is of more value than 360,000 naira USD 10,000 = 3,600,000 Naira
AND
10,000 USD is more valuable than 100,000 shillings .

Kenya-re at 3.5 Bob post bonus is almost worthless.

When the post bonus euphoria ends and Ken-re faces the reality of NSE bear run , the counter will be struggling to get support at 3.00 Bob.

Look at I&M (1:1 bonus) and WPP SCAN ( Generous 3 Bob special dividend) , see their thorough price loss in the past few days.

Currencies do not work that way. Is the Yen less valuable than any of these African currencies?

ZAR 1,000 = 7,700 Yen
KES 1,000 = 1,090 Yen
GHc 1,000 = 20,800 Yen

I do agree that a bonus/split is merely slicing up the same cake in more slices.
I do not understand the need for the 3:1 bonus either.
Selling at 15 will give you a nice realized gain of 30% over the pre-announcement price.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#126 Posted : Friday, May 17, 2019 5:52:23 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,226
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
young wrote:
The truth is ,
It is better to have FEW units of something than MANY units of NOTHING.


10,000 USD is of more value than 360,000 naira USD 10,000 = 3,600,000 Naira
AND
10,000 USD is more valuable than 100,000 shillings .

Kenya-re at 3.5 Bob post bonus is almost worthless.

When the post bonus euphoria ends and Ken-re faces the reality of NSE bear run , the counter will be struggling to get support at 3.00 Bob.

Look at I&M (1:1 bonus) and WPP SCAN ( Generous 3 Bob special dividend) , see their thorough price loss in the past few days.

Currencies do not work that way. Is the Yen less valuable than any of these African currencies?

ZAR 1,000 = 7,700 Yen
KES 1,000 = 1,090 Yen
GHc 1,000 = 20,800 Yen

I do agree that a bonus/split is merely slicing up the same cake in more slices.
I do not understand the need for the 3:1 bonus either.
Selling at 15 will give you a nice realized gain of 30% over the pre-announcement price.

The rationale for issuance of the bonus shares is to cover tracks for inflated revenue reserves at KENRE that are non existent

obiero
#127 Posted : Friday, May 17, 2019 5:55:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,226
Location: nairobi
young wrote:
The truth is ,
It is better to have FEW units of something than MANY units of NOTHING.


10,000 USD is of more value than 360,000 naira
AND
10,000 USD is more valuable than 100,000 shillings .


Kenya-re at 3.5 Bob post bonus is almost worthless.

When the post bonus euphoria ends and Ken-re faces the reality of NSE bear run , the counter will be struggling to get support at 3.00 Bob.

Look at I&M (1:1 bonus) and WPP SCAN ( Generous 3 Bob special dividend) , see their thorough price loss in the past few days.
Their antecedents with respect their immediate past FY results (Fy 18) is far better than KENRE.


I understand "our friend" HFCK which I offloaded last year at 9.0 Bob at a loss (now 4.45 Bob) will do a rights issue.
Good luck to HFCK.
HFCK also gave a Greek gift of 1:10 bonus last year before she sank to a loss in fy 18.

People in Nigeria answer the name Goodluck, that does not make them lucky . Information and knowledge is better than luck.

@young a rights issue is preferred since there is a cash consideration. but this KENRE crap is corruption. when a CEO goes to court to retain his position, you know what's up

Ericsson
#128 Posted : Friday, May 17, 2019 6:22:56 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,808
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
young wrote:
The truth is ,
It is better to have FEW units of something than MANY units of NOTHING.


10,000 USD is of more value than 360,000 naira
AND
10,000 USD is more valuable than 100,000 shillings .


Kenya-re at 3.5 Bob post bonus is almost worthless.

When the post bonus euphoria ends and Ken-re faces the reality of NSE bear run , the counter will be struggling to get support at 3.00 Bob.

Look at I&M (1:1 bonus) and WPP SCAN ( Generous 3 Bob special dividend) , see their thorough price loss in the past few days.
Their antecedents with respect their immediate past FY results (Fy 18) is far better than KENRE.


I understand "our friend" HFCK which I offloaded last year at 9.0 Bob at a loss (now 4.45 Bob) will do a rights issue.
Good luck to HFCK.
HFCK also gave a Greek gift of 1:10 bonus last year before she sank to a loss in fy 18.

People in Nigeria answer the name Goodluck, that does not make them lucky . Information and knowledge is better than luck.

@young a rights issue is preferred since there is a cash consideration. but this KENRE crap is corruption. when a CEO goes to court to retain his position, you know what's up


The corruption and looting at HFCK is incomparable.
The rights issue to be undertaken is for shareholders to pay for the stolen cash.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#129 Posted : Friday, May 17, 2019 6:25:58 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,808
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
young wrote:
The truth is ,
It is better to have FEW units of something than MANY units of NOTHING.


10,000 USD is of more value than 360,000 naira
AND
10,000 USD is more valuable than 100,000 shillings .


Kenya-re at 3.5 Bob post bonus is almost worthless.

When the post bonus euphoria ends and Ken-re faces the reality of NSE bear run , the counter will be struggling to get support at 3.00 Bob.

Look at I&M (1:1 bonus) and WPP SCAN ( Generous 3 Bob special dividend) , see their thorough price loss in the past few days.
Their antecedents with respect their immediate past FY results (Fy 18) is far better than KENRE.


I understand "our friend" HFCK which I offloaded last year at 9.0 Bob at a loss (now 4.45 Bob) will do a rights issue.
Good luck to HFCK.
HFCK also gave a Greek gift of 1:10 bonus last year before she sank to a loss in fy 18.

People in Nigeria answer the name Goodluck, that does not make them lucky . Information and knowledge is better than luck.

@young a rights issue is preferred since there is a cash consideration. but this KENRE crap is corruption. when a CEO goes to court to retain his position, you know what's up


Shareholders in kenre here have never been called to pump additional money via a rights issue
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
obiero
#130 Posted : Friday, May 17, 2019 6:26:41 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,226
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
young wrote:
The truth is ,
It is better to have FEW units of something than MANY units of NOTHING.


10,000 USD is of more value than 360,000 naira
AND
10,000 USD is more valuable than 100,000 shillings .


Kenya-re at 3.5 Bob post bonus is almost worthless.

When the post bonus euphoria ends and Ken-re faces the reality of NSE bear run , the counter will be struggling to get support at 3.00 Bob.

Look at I&M (1:1 bonus) and WPP SCAN ( Generous 3 Bob special dividend) , see their thorough price loss in the past few days.
Their antecedents with respect their immediate past FY results (Fy 18) is far better than KENRE.


I understand "our friend" HFCK which I offloaded last year at 9.0 Bob at a loss (now 4.45 Bob) will do a rights issue.
Good luck to HFCK.
HFCK also gave a Greek gift of 1:10 bonus last year before she sank to a loss in fy 18.

People in Nigeria answer the name Goodluck, that does not make them lucky . Information and knowledge is better than luck.

@young a rights issue is preferred since there is a cash consideration. but this KENRE crap is corruption. when a CEO goes to court to retain his position, you know what's up


The corruption and looting at HFCK is incomparable.
The rights issue to be undertaken is for shareholders to pay for the stolen cash.

Both are washed up used-to-be-good firms

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