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Q4 2018: Stock Market Open Season: All hands on deck
S.Mutaga III
#1 Posted : Thursday, September 13, 2018 2:45:34 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
As most of you have noticed, stock prices are plummeting on a daily basis. Perhaps failure to amend the rate cap law has made foreign investors get cold feet. Or maybe the huge debt GOK is taking on has alarmed most investors triggering a selloff. The truth is, we cant tell. A quick glance at the prices and it is obvious that Christmas might come early for bargain hunters. My investment strategy entails buying value companies with good dividend yields. Therefore, although I haven't pulled the buy trigger yet, I have my eyes on the following counters:-
-KCB:- At a dividend yield of over 7% and a PE of 6.4, I will watch this one closely. I like the PAT growth as well.
-Longhorn:- At a dividend yield of over 8%, PE of about 7 and 20%+ profit growth every year for the last two years, this one is a no-brainer.
Currently, my eyes are on those two companies as I dig up more information about them to get a sharper focus. I expect to pull the buy trigger soon (month or two) and to start averaging down as the bear market offers better prices. Happy hunting.
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
sparkly
#2 Posted : Thursday, September 13, 2018 6:22:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
As most of you have noticed, stock prices are plummeting on a daily basis. Perhaps failure to amend the rate cap law has made foreign investors get cold feet. Or maybe the huge debt GOK is taking on has alarmed most investors triggering a selloff. The truth is, we cant tell. A quick glance at the prices and it is obvious that Christmas might come early for bargain hunters. My investment strategy entails buying value companies with good dividend yields. Therefore, although I haven't pulled the buy trigger yet, I have my eyes on the following counters:-
-KCB:- At a dividend yield of over 7% and a PE of 6.4, I will watch this one closely. I like the PAT growth as well.
-Longhorn:- At a dividend yield of over 8%, PE of about 7 and 20%+ profit growth every year for the last two years, this one is a no-brainer.
Currently, my eyes are on those two companies as I dig up more information about them to get a sharper focus. I expect to pull the buy trigger soon (month or two) and to start averaging down as the bear market offers better prices. Happy hunting.


Did you sell off your other holdings like Total.
Life is short. Live passionately.
S.Mutaga III
#3 Posted : Thursday, September 13, 2018 6:52:05 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
sparkly wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
As most of you have noticed, stock prices are plummeting on a daily basis. Perhaps failure to amend the rate cap law has made foreign investors get cold feet. Or maybe the huge debt GOK is taking on has alarmed most investors triggering a selloff. The truth is, we cant tell. A quick glance at the prices and it is obvious that Christmas might come early for bargain hunters. My investment strategy entails buying value companies with good dividend yields. Therefore, although I haven't pulled the buy trigger yet, I have my eyes on the following counters:-
-KCB:- At a dividend yield of over 7% and a PE of 6.4, I will watch this one closely. I like the PAT growth as well.
-Longhorn:- At a dividend yield of over 8%, PE of about 7 and 20%+ profit growth every year for the last two years, this one is a no-brainer.
Currently, my eyes are on those two companies as I dig up more information about them to get a sharper focus. I expect to pull the buy trigger soon (month or two) and to start averaging down as the bear market offers better prices. Happy hunting.


Did you sell off your other holdings like Total.

Sold at 32.25 here: http://wazua.co.ke/forum.aspx?g=posts&m=828017
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
winmak
#4 Posted : Thursday, September 13, 2018 7:39:55 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/1/2007
Posts: 539
Location: Nakuru
S.Mutaga III wrote:
As most of you have noticed, stock prices are plummeting on a daily basis. Perhaps failure to amend the rate cap law has made foreign investors get cold feet. Or maybe the huge debt GOK is taking on has alarmed most investors triggering a selloff. The truth is, we cant tell. A quick glance at the prices and it is obvious that Christmas might come early for bargain hunters. My investment strategy entails buying value companies with good dividend yields. Therefore, although I haven't pulled the buy trigger yet, I have my eyes on the following counters:-
-KCB:- At a dividend yield of over 7% and a PE of 6.4, I will watch this one closely. I like the PAT growth as well.
-Longhorn:- At a dividend yield of over 8%, PE of about 7 and 20%+ profit growth every year for the last two years, this one is a no-brainer.
Currently, my eyes are on those two companies as I dig up more information about them to get a sharper focus. I expect to pull the buy trigger soon (month or two) and to start averaging down as the bear market offers better prices. Happy hunting.

Add a few more counters to this list, I find it too narrow
For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
S.Mutaga III
#5 Posted : Thursday, September 13, 2018 9:59:20 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
winmak wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
As most of you have noticed, stock prices are plummeting on a daily basis. Perhaps failure to amend the rate cap law has made foreign investors get cold feet. Or maybe the huge debt GOK is taking on has alarmed most investors triggering a selloff. The truth is, we cant tell. A quick glance at the prices and it is obvious that Christmas might come early for bargain hunters. My investment strategy entails buying value companies with good dividend yields. Therefore, although I haven't pulled the buy trigger yet, I have my eyes on the following counters:-
-KCB:- At a dividend yield of over 7% and a PE of 6.4, I will watch this one closely. I like the PAT growth as well.
-Longhorn:- At a dividend yield of over 8%, PE of about 7 and 20%+ profit growth every year for the last two years, this one is a no-brainer.
Currently, my eyes are on those two companies as I dig up more information about them to get a sharper focus. I expect to pull the buy trigger soon (month or two) and to start averaging down as the bear market offers better prices. Happy hunting.

Add a few more counters to this list, I find it too narrow

This is just a reconnaissance exercise. It is not a means to an end. I am sure that as prices tumble, more counters will come into focus.
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
Kalameni
#6 Posted : Friday, September 14, 2018 12:29:43 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 9/20/2010
Posts: 79
karibu sana @s.mutaga III,all the best in your picks.
obiero
#7 Posted : Friday, September 14, 2018 6:09:07 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,519
Location: nairobi
Kalameni wrote:
karibu sana @s.mutaga III,all the best in your picks.

There's a resurrection of the old wazuans.. Waiting for @stocksmaster @guru267 @muganda @minto

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
heri
#8 Posted : Friday, September 14, 2018 9:05:17 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 834
Location: nairobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
sparkly wrote:
[quote=S.Mutaga III]As most of you have noticed, stock prices are plummeting on a daily basis. Perhaps failure to amend the rate cap law has made foreign investors get cold feet. Or maybe the huge debt GOK is taking on has alarmed most investors triggering a selloff. The truth is, we cant tell. A quick glance at the prices and it is obvious that Christmas might come early for bargain hunters. My investment strategy entails buying value companies with good dividend yields. Therefore, although I haven't pulled the buy trigger yet, I have my eyes on the following counters:-
-KCB:- At a dividend yield of over 7% and a PE of 6.4, I will watch this one closely. I like the PAT growth as well.
-Longhorn:- At a dividend yield of over 8%, PE of about 7 and 20%+ profit growth every year for the last two years, this one is a no-brainer.
Currently, my eyes are on those two companies as I dig up more information about them to get a sharper focus. I expect to pull the buy trigger soon (month or two) and to start averaging down as the bear market offers better prices. Happy hunting.


Did you sell off your other holdings like Total.

Sold at 32.25 here: http://wazua.co.ke/forum...px?g=posts&m=828017[/quote]


seems you are the real deal on this market. some of us who held on are looking at 20% paper losses already and still going

But worse is no money to buy at lower prices
Kalameni
#9 Posted : Saturday, September 15, 2018 7:17:30 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 9/20/2010
Posts: 79
@obiero seems smutiga III is picking up well from stocks master.May wazua have more traders/investors.
obiero
#10 Posted : Saturday, September 15, 2018 7:20:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,519
Location: nairobi
Kalameni wrote:
@obiero seems smutiga III is picking up well from stocks master.May wazua have more traders/investors.

Yes. The guy tries and I love his open style of indicating purchase price and time frames

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Ebenyo
#11 Posted: : Sunday, September 16, 2018 3:59:13 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 1,997
Location: Kitale
obiero wrote:
Kalameni wrote:
@obiero seems smutiga III is picking up well from stocks master.May wazua have more traders/investors.

Yes. The guy tries and I love his open style of indicating purchase price and time frames


He spoilt his reputation by going into bitcoins against the advise of CBK.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
S.Mutaga III
#12 Posted : Monday, September 17, 2018 6:33:52 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
Ebenyo wrote:
obiero wrote:
Kalameni wrote:
@obiero seems smutiga III is picking up well from stocks master.May wazua have more traders/investors.

Yes. The guy tries and I love his open style of indicating purchase price and time frames


He spoilt his reputation by going into bitcoins against the advise of CBK.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I went into crypto because I wanted to learn. I did learn, made money and lost money too before knowing how to take short positions using futures. The only reason I stopped posting about crypto is because I realized most wazuans are against crypto as a whole. It was a whole new experience learning how to trade bitcoin futures. Again, in speculation (not investment), you only risk what you can afford to lose.
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
Chaka
#13 Posted : Monday, September 17, 2018 7:13:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/16/2007
Posts: 2,114
It appears you lost more than you gainedSad Sad
S.Mutaga III wrote:

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I went into crypto because I wanted to learn. I did learn, made money and lost money too before knowing how to take short positions using futures. The only reason I stopped posting about crypto is because I realized most wazuans are against crypto as a whole. It was a whole new experience learning how to trade bitcoin futures. Again, in speculation (not investment), you only risk what you can afford to lose.

VituVingiSana
#14 Posted : Monday, September 17, 2018 8:15:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
obiero wrote:
Kalameni wrote:
@obiero seems smutiga III is picking up well from stocks master.May wazua have more traders/investors.

Yes. The guy tries and I love his open style of indicating purchase price and time frames


He spoilt his reputation by going into bitcoins against the advise of CBK.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I went into crypto because I wanted to learn. I did learn, made money and lost money too before knowing how to take short positions using futures. The only reason I stopped posting about crypto is because I realized most wazuans are against crypto as a whole. It was a whole new experience learning how to trade bitcoin futures. Again, in speculation (not investment), you only risk what you can afford to lose.

So what was your net position after all this?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
S.Mutaga III
#15 Posted : Monday, December 31, 2018 3:16:25 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
VituVingiSana wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
obiero wrote:
Kalameni wrote:
@obiero seems smutiga III is picking up well from stocks master.May wazua have more traders/investors.

Yes. The guy tries and I love his open style of indicating purchase price and time frames


He spoilt his reputation by going into bitcoins against the advise of CBK.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I went into crypto because I wanted to learn. I did learn, made money and lost money too before knowing how to take short positions using futures. The only reason I stopped posting about crypto is because I realized most wazuans are against crypto as a whole. It was a whole new experience learning how to trade bitcoin futures. Again, in speculation (not investment), you only risk what you can afford to lose.

So what was your net position after all this?

I actually recovered my money and I'm 21% up now after learning how to short. But I wouldn't advise risking more than you are ready to lose in crypto. That space is extremely volatile.
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
Yliett
#16 Posted : Sunday, January 20, 2019 7:58:00 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 12/23/2018
Posts: 38
Location: germany
You are great. It's quite hard to recovery and 21% up because you have strong mindset and control over emotion. I will try my best on my year 2019 too.
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