SamuelWachira wrote:Good to read these elliot wave analyses !
do you have an estimate of how long a typical elliot wave forecast takes to play out? I mean what is the average holding time for lets say a trade taken based on a wave 3
Regards
Samuel
Good question. Elliott Waves is fractal in nature. Therefore a complete five wave move in any direction is composed of smaller (lower degree) five wave moves and itself also composes a larger (higher degree) five wave move. Therefore the time element is specific to the degree of the wave you are charting i.e you can trade Elliott Waves in any time frame so long as you are able to discern a developing Elliott Wave pattern.
Example:
You can see here that wave 1 in brackets ie wave (1) is composed of smaller waves 12345. And also waves (1)(2)(3)(4) and (5) make up a larger wave 1 circled i.e ((1)). NB I use the two brackets to denote 1 inside a circle.
In the case above, waves 12345 and ABC may for example take about 1 hour each. Wave (1) may then take eg a day to complete. If you are able to discern the 12345s and ABCs then you can trade on a daily basis. If you can discern the waves in brackets eg (1)(2) (A)(B) etc then you can trade on eg a weekly basis.
Therefore with Elliott Waves you can trade in any time frame so long as you can discern the Elliott Wave patterns. The major patterns are actually five (Impulse wave, Diagonals, Triangles, Zigzag and flats) - this makes your work pretty easy.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.