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PLAYING THE MARKET-A NEW YEAR RESOLUTION
makmende
#161 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 7:07:57 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/14/2010
Posts: 26
Location: kenya
stocksmaster made more than the 46% if the peni mbili dividend from that counter is factored in. I agree with vv, so far so good for stockmaster even though he has missed on some counters, he's still on his way to the 50% growth target he set at the begining of the year. Some people lose in the market coz they dont have a plan, they just trade and buy ovyo ovyo.
Roho Juu
2012
#162 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 12:48:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
Managed to offload all my scangroup yesterday @33. Wa! you can't imagine how relieved I feel seeing it at the top of the loser's board.

BBI will solve it
:)
sparkly
#163 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 1:33:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
[/quote]
IMHO... he did what he had to do... and has done well... As for the rest, please show what u have or can do...

Start with 1 June 2010 & show an actual start date, amount... then the trades incl all costs...[/quote]
@vvs i wouldn't adopt the aggressive trading strategy in the second half of the year. IMO 2009 was time for mkt recovery led by blue chips - Bought my blue chips then. 2010 time for the medium and small caps to shine- been trading cfc, TPS, Kkzi, co-op. Market PE now 13 which means opportunities for a kill are thinning save for a few mid and small caps like nic, unga, access. The rest are junk. From now on i concentrate on preserving the capital gains by buying cheaply priced bluechips-kcb?bamburi?kplc? Saf?
Life is short. Live passionately.
VituVingiSana
#164 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 2:56:56 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,157
Location: Nairobi
@Sparkly... well... then show us your trades vs @stocksmaster... whatever they may be...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Gatheuzi
#165 Posted : Saturday, June 05, 2010 3:31:35 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/16/2009
Posts: 994
@ Sparkly,

Good luck on ua picks, I will be following quietly behind to see if I can grab some as well.

One thing I did this year was to reduce on the number of counters I deal with but at the same time I increased volumes, the economies of scale have made me smile.
Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
stocksmaster
#166 Posted : Tuesday, June 29, 2010 10:55:25 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 419
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
ACTIVITY 7: SALE OF 120,000 SAFARICOM SHARES @ KSH 5.85
DATES OF TRANSACTIONS: 25TH, 28TH & 29TH JUNE 2010

VALUE OF TRANSACTION:120,000 X Ksh 5.85 = Ksh 702,000
Less 2% transaction cost = Ksh 14,040

Cash Received from activity 7 = Ksh 687,960
Cash in hand after activity 6 = Ksh 122,430

Cash in hand after activity 7 = Ksh 810,390

Half Year Results:

Initial Investment = Ksh 527,850

Net Profit for the six months = Ksh 282,540

Profit as a percentage of initial investment = 53.5 %

Way forward

The Safaricom results were as anticipated but this did not result in a satisfactory capital appreciation.

The forthcoming referendum is destined to affect the NSE, and with one month to go expect foreigners to begin taking a back seat (political risk). A market correction seems ripe in July to factor this risk.

I intend to take a back seat also and watch closely for any bargains that arise due to the referendum.

Happy hunting.
muganda
#167 Posted : Tuesday, June 29, 2010 11:13:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,906
@stocksmaster, good to hear from you and you do need to check up on us at Wazua more often.

Based on your initial syllabus, you've scored an A six months early. Flexibility from initial methodology has served you well, but I'd venture you can cautiously attain 100% return.

‘Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. Marianne Williamson
Much Know
#168 Posted : Tuesday, June 29, 2010 11:28:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,553
Kudos, great investing, great insights, immense skill. That was a great episode, and some wonderful profit. Got me thinking i should try soon, hope i don't burn. Will post. Cheers!
Meru Holiness
kyt
#169 Posted : Wednesday, June 30, 2010 12:21:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
@ stocksmaster_impressive! i am 20% up my target 50% as yours. 30 to go.
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
VituVingiSana
#170 Posted : Wednesday, June 30, 2010 2:34:30 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,157
Location: Nairobi
Awesome and shud shut up the detractors NONE of whom have been transparent on who, what, when & why...

Keep the updates coming!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
gladiator
#171 Posted : Wednesday, June 30, 2010 3:08:39 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/25/2006
Posts: 101
stocksmaster wrote:


The Safaricom results were as anticipated but this did not result in a satisfactory capital appreciation.

The forthcoming referendum is destined to affect the NSE, and with one month to go expect foreigners to begin taking a back seat (political risk). A market correction seems ripe in July to factor this risk.

I intend to take a back seat also and watch closely for any bargains that arise due to the referendum.

Happy hunting.


Good to see someone else believe what I said last month that the NSE was approaching a slowdown and it was time to start taking profits especially with "referendoom" and the euro crisis. Good job by the way with your trades. I am up 40% for the year mostly from trading EQTY but NSE is up 35% so not filling that good yet.
youcan'tstopusnow
#172 Posted : Wednesday, June 30, 2010 8:45:46 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Why is it "easier" for investors in the NSE to beat the market than for investors in the NYSE? If you beat the market in the US you are treated like a god
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
komera
#173 Posted : Thursday, July 01, 2010 1:47:25 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 6/29/2010
Posts: 56
Location: Nairobi
stocksmaster wrote:
ACTIVITY 7: SALE OF 120,000 SAFARICOM SHARES @ KSH 5.85
DATES OF TRANSACTIONS: 25TH, 28TH & 29TH JUNE 2010

VALUE OF TRANSACTION:120,000 X Ksh 5.85 = Ksh 702,000
Less 2% transaction cost = Ksh 14,040

Cash Received from activity 7 = Ksh 687,960
Cash in hand after activity 6 = Ksh 122,430

Cash in hand after activity 7 = Ksh 810,390

Half Year Results:

Initial Investment = Ksh 527,850

Net Profit for the six months = Ksh 282,540

Profit as a percentage of initial investment = 53.5 %

Way forward

The Safaricom results were as anticipated but this did not result in a satisfactory capital appreciation.

The forthcoming referendum is destined to affect the NSE, and with one month to go expect foreigners to begin taking a back seat (political risk). A market correction seems ripe in July to factor this risk.

I intend to take a back seat also and watch closely for any bargains that arise due to the referendum.

Happy hunting.



mY 2 cents, stocksmaster you seem to have done very well here, i suggest yo take your initial investment of 500k from the market and start again wth the 250k you have and you wont worry bout the market fluctuations.

Its anticipated for the market to start correcting itself, unless you see some bargain counters
ECHOKENYA
#174 Posted : Thursday, July 01, 2010 4:58:57 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 4/26/2010
Posts: 71
Location: Thika/Nairobi
The essence here is to make money,just like in properties,buy low sell high.
Just some research and much consultation needed to arrive at this.
http://echoproperties.kbo.co.ke
Echo estate management Limited
stocksmaster
#175 Posted : Thursday, July 08, 2010 10:08:23 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 419
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
ACTIVITY 8:PURCHASE OF 3100 STANCHART SHARES @ AVERAGE PRICE OF KSH 228
DATE OF ACTIVITIES:7TH & 8TH JULY 2010

VALUE OF ACTIVITY 8: KSH 228 X 3100 = KSH 706,800

ADD 2% Transaction cost = KSH 14,200

TOTAL COST OF ACTIVITY 8 = KSH 721,000

CASH IN HAND AFTER ACTIVITY 7 = KSH 810,390

CASH IN HAND AFTER ACTIVITY 8 = KSH 89,390

RATIONALE OF PURCHASE
1. Rights issue on the horizon
2. 27M additional shares issued (a 10% increase)from the previous 272M thus a potential 1:10 rights offer.
3. Target of Ksh 2.5B means offer price could be as low as Ksh 95 per share (assuming target of Ksh 2.5B and all 27M shares offered at a ratio of 1:10)
4. Reason for rights is to buy Portion of Barclays bank business with a yearly revenue of Ksh 600M (With the aim to grow it to a Ksh 1B revenue business by 2012). Cost of the acquisition is Ksh 1.88B with remainder money raised to be ploughed back to the bank business.
5. Good dividend history (pays almost 75% of net profits as dividends). Also pays interim dividends.
6. 1st Quarter 2010 growth of 39% (almost overtaking Barclays if this growth persists......remember its even taking 600M business from barclays)
7. A good diffensive stock for the forthcoming referendum........
8. Limited liquidity of the stock means should the details of the rights offer excite the market, the share could experience reasonable capital gains.

Happy hunting.
VituVingiSana
#176 Posted : Friday, July 09, 2010 1:27:09 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,157
Location: Nairobi
@stocksmaster - What is your gain to date?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sparkly
#177 Posted : Friday, July 09, 2010 8:03:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
@stocksmaster, you have bought SCB? Totally unexpected for stocks play. SCB should be a longer term stock IMO. All the best
Life is short. Live passionately.
youcan'tstopusnow
#178 Posted : Friday, July 09, 2010 8:50:34 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
stocksmaster, true, Stanchart would be a great defensive stock for the referendum if anything goes wrong.
sparkly, I wouldn't term a 42.24% rise in its share price year to date long term at all. In fact its brilliant. But all the same like stocksmaster says, he'll get some nice dividends
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
the deal
#179 Posted : Friday, July 09, 2010 11:52:44 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
@Stockmaster u have just gone too defensive...forget this referundum BS...if i were you...i would have gone into UNGA or BBK...BBK reported a 9% drop in Q1 profits due to once off staff costs...come 1H they will have swung back into profitability...i think that would excite the markets and push the stock up...
the deal
#180 Posted : Friday, July 09, 2010 11:53:47 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
@Stockmaster u have just gone too defensive...forget this referundum BS...if i were you...i would have gone into UNGA or BBK...BBK reported a 9% drop in Q1 profits due to once off staff costs...come 1H they will have swung back into profitability...i think that would excite the markets and push the stock up...
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