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Nairobi Rains
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hardwood
#111 Posted : Tuesday, February 27, 2018 6:15:11 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/28/2015
Posts: 9,562
Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
hardwood wrote:
kawi254 wrote:
murchr wrote:
Kili wrote:
Yes AccuWeather says beginning of March will be wet.Our met guys are talking of 3rd-4th week of March.Pray that the latter's prediction is more accurate.We are starring at a looming draught


Still a 90% chance of rain on 1/3/2018




Our Met guys have revised their prediction..





I am looking at the current real time satellite image showing current rainfall status in the region and there is no way rains will start today or tmr or 1st march as the met guy is saying. The only places currently raining as per the satellite image as I am typing this are malaba and kisii, and their rain is mostly convectional rain from lake victoria. The long rains are due to the south easterly monsoon winds and hakuna dalili ya mvua any time soon.



Can any wazuan in malaba or kisii (suneka, nyangusu, even neighboring kilgoris) confirm that it's currently raining as per my satellite image?
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, February 27, 2018 6:17 PM | Reason: Not specified
majimaji
#112 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 8:53:34 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2007
Posts: 1,162
hardwood wrote:
hardwood wrote:
kawi254 wrote:
murchr wrote:
Kili wrote:
Yes AccuWeather says beginning of March will be wet.Our met guys are talking of 3rd-4th week of March.Pray that the latter's prediction is more accurate.We are starring at a looming draught


Still a 90% chance of rain on 1/3/2018




Our Met guys have revised their prediction..





I am looking at the current real time satellite image showing current rainfall status in the region and there is no way rains will start today or tmr or 1st march as the met guy is saying. The only places currently raining as per the satellite image as I am typing this are malaba and kisii, and their rain is mostly convectional rain from lake victoria. The long rains are due to the south easterly monsoon winds and hakuna dalili ya mvua any time soon.



Can any wazuan in malaba or kisii (suneka, nyangusu, even neighboring kilgoris) confirm that it's currently raining as per my satellite image?



There was heavy rain overnight in Embakasi, Nairobi
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Much Know
#113 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 1:12:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,579
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause
Ras Kienyeji Man
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Angelica _ann
#114 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 5:39:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,935
Much Know wrote:
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause


Also beat @hardwood & @ Julie wa Guka smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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murchr
#115 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 5:58:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Nairobi, Mombasa bado

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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masukuma
#116 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 5:58:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,823
Location: Nairobi
Much Know wrote:
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause

science!!
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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Ash Ock
#117 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 10:29:03 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/27/2010
Posts: 495
Location: Nairobi
masukuma wrote:
Much Know wrote:
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause

science!!


For a better understanding, have a look at this article. Explains quite a bit of how weather prediction works.

Here's What a Chance of Rain Really Means




Sent from my Black Nokia 3310
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hardwood
#118 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2018 9:21:08 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/28/2015
Posts: 9,562
Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
Angelica _ann wrote:
Much Know wrote:
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause


Also beat @hardwood & @ Julie wa Guka smile


Nope. I am not wrong. So have farmers planted now that it has rained?

These are just the early rains that occur for a few days then stop before the real rains begins. They are what Mugabe and zimbabweans call gukurahundi i.e "the early rain which washes away the chaff before the spring rains".
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, March 02, 2018 9:24 AM | Reason: Not specified
murchr
#119 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2018 3:26:19 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Another day to watch March 10. I think it will be foolish to imagine that the weather forecast is only important for farmers. Those met guys should be giving that 7 or 10 day forecast everyday now that they have a twitter and facebook account. Just as farmers need to know when to plant, travellers need to know how and if they should travel etc. So March 10 is forecasted to be another rainy night in Nairobi. If you are a farmer mbegu I kuwe chini on that day you will not regret.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, March 02, 2018 3:35 PM | Reason: Not specified
murchr
#120 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2018 5:05:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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