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Portfolio Balancing: Avoid Over Exposure To Financial Sector
VituVingiSana
#141 Posted : Sunday, December 17, 2017 12:46:22 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,095
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
Small fry banks may have issues with IFRS 9 compliance. With reference to KCB Annual report 2016, they reckon the impact on LLPs will be 200-250 BP which doesn’t sound as alarmist as bizdaily.

Seems like there is a lot of contrary information out there though.

A lot of cooking is going on at KCB. 200-250 bps of the total loan book as additional NPLs? That's a lot of billions! I use the SLR as my guide & KCB's is the highest (even as a % of capital) among listed banks.

Kelele ya chura haimzui ng'ombe kunywa maji

Ahhh! Ad hominem attacks! Well done. 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼
Doesn’t change the truth that there’s something rotten in the state of Kencom.
KCB has a SLR of 15bn vs Equity’s 2.2bn vs BBK/SCBK’s Nil
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Horton
#142 Posted : Sunday, December 17, 2017 8:28:02 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
Small fry banks may have issues with IFRS 9 compliance. With reference to KCB Annual report 2016, they reckon the impact on LLPs will be 200-250 BP which doesn’t sound as alarmist as bizdaily.

Seems like there is a lot of contrary information out there though.

A lot of cooking is going on at KCB. 200-250 bps of the total loan book as additional NPLs? That's a lot of billions! I use the SLR as my guide & KCB's is the highest (even as a % of capital) among listed banks.



That’s 300m for a relatively stronger bank? That’s like 0.10 of dividend per share. Mpfff!!!!!

This green giant will be 50+ in April.
Spikes
#143 Posted : Sunday, December 17, 2017 8:32:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
Small fry banks may have issues with IFRS 9 compliance. With reference to KCB Annual report 2016, they reckon the impact on LLPs will be 200-250 BP which doesn’t sound as alarmist as bizdaily.

Seems like there is a lot of contrary information out there though.

A lot of cooking is going on at KCB. 200-250 bps of the total loan book as additional NPLs? That's a lot of billions! I use the SLR as my guide & KCB's is the highest (even as a % of capital) among listed banks.



That’s 300m for a relatively stronger bank? That’s like 0.10 of dividend per share. Mpfff!!!!!

This green giant will be 50+ in April.


Expect a major hit on KCB...that one is given! Watch & learn....
Hope is not a strategy.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Horton
#144 Posted : Sunday, December 17, 2017 8:47:10 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Spikes wrote:
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
Small fry banks may have issues with IFRS 9 compliance. With reference to KCB Annual report 2016, they reckon the impact on LLPs will be 200-250 BP which doesn’t sound as alarmist as bizdaily.

Seems like there is a lot of contrary information out there though.

A lot of cooking is going on at KCB. 200-250 bps of the total loan book as additional NPLs? That's a lot of billions! I use the SLR as my guide & KCB's is the highest (even as a % of capital) among listed banks.



That’s 300m for a relatively stronger bank? That’s like 0.10 of dividend per share. Mpfff!!!!!

This green giant will be 50+ in April.


Expect a major hit on KCB...that one is given! Watch & learn....
Hope is not a strategy.


Nothing is “given” to a contrarian i do my own research
VituVingiSana
#145 Posted : Sunday, December 17, 2017 9:47:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,095
Location: Nairobi
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
Small fry banks may have issues with IFRS 9 compliance. With reference to KCB Annual report 2016, they reckon the impact on LLPs will be 200-250 BP which doesn’t sound as alarmist as bizdaily.

Seems like there is a lot of contrary information out there though.

A lot of cooking is going on at KCB. 200-250 bps of the total loan book as additional NPLs? That's a lot of billions! I use the SLR as my guide & KCB's is the highest (even as a % of capital) among listed banks.



That’s 300m for a relatively stronger bank? That’s like 0.10 of dividend per share. Mpfff!!!!!

This green giant will be 50+ in April.

Please explain the KES 300mn calculation. I am eager to learn. Thanks.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
maka
#146 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 8:52:01 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
According to the company’s 2016 annual accounts, borrowing ballooned to a massive Sh105 billion last year, causing finance costs to hit the roof. It is not incredible that one local commercial bank is exposed to Kenya Power to the extent of a massive Sh50 billion.
possunt quia posse videntur
Ericsson
#147 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 9:21:37 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,671
Location: NAIROBI
maka wrote:
According to the company’s 2016 annual accounts, borrowing ballooned to a massive Sh105 billion last year, causing finance costs to hit the roof. It is not incredible that one local commercial bank is exposed to Kenya Power to the extent of a massive Sh50 billion.


There is no bank in Kenya that can loan a single customer ksh.50bn.
Most of Kenya Power's loans are from DFIs,World Bank,EIB,EXIM bank of China
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
maka
#148 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 10:48:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
maka wrote:
According to the company’s 2016 annual accounts, borrowing ballooned to a massive Sh105 billion last year, causing finance costs to hit the roof. It is not incredible that one local commercial bank is exposed to Kenya Power to the extent of a massive Sh50 billion.


There is no bank in Kenya that can loan a single customer ksh.50bn.
Most of Kenya Power's loans are from DFIs,World Bank,EIB,EXIM bank of China


Never wrote that artcile..

http://www.nation.co.ke/...12708-ol5im6/index.html

Let me send him an email he tells me where he got the info...
possunt quia posse videntur
Horton
#149 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 11:21:30 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
maka wrote:
According to the company’s 2016 annual accounts, borrowing ballooned to a massive Sh105 billion last year, causing finance costs to hit the roof. It is not incredible that one local commercial bank is exposed to Kenya Power to the extent of a massive Sh50 billion.


So are you insinuating that this is KCB?
Ericsson
#150 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 11:42:34 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,671
Location: NAIROBI
maka wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
maka wrote:
According to the company’s 2016 annual accounts, borrowing ballooned to a massive Sh105 billion last year, causing finance costs to hit the roof. It is not incredible that one local commercial bank is exposed to Kenya Power to the extent of a massive Sh50 billion.


There is no bank in Kenya that can loan a single customer ksh.50bn.
Most of Kenya Power's loans are from DFIs,World Bank,EIB,EXIM bank of China


Never wrote that artcile..

http://www.nation.co.ke/...12708-ol5im6/index.html

Let me send him an email he tells me where he got the info...


I have gone through the annual report;the sh.50bn is not a loan to a local bank but to Standard Chartered Bank PLC
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Horton
#151 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 2:07:47 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
maka wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
maka wrote:
According to the company’s 2016 annual accounts, borrowing ballooned to a massive Sh105 billion last year, causing finance costs to hit the roof. It is not incredible that one local commercial bank is exposed to Kenya Power to the extent of a massive Sh50 billion.


There is no bank in Kenya that can loan a single customer ksh.50bn.
Most of Kenya Power's loans are from DFIs,World Bank,EIB,EXIM bank of China


Never wrote that artcile..

http://www.nation.co.ke/...12708-ol5im6/index.html

Let me send him an email he tells me where he got the info...


I have gone through the annual report;the sh.50bn is not a loan to a local bank but to Standard Chartered Bank PLC


adequate research is your friend, as Ericsson said, this was from Stanchart PLC

http://www.businessdaily...272812-1dvndz/index.html
sparkly
#152 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 2:49:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Horton wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
maka wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
maka wrote:
According to the company’s 2016 annual accounts, borrowing ballooned to a massive Sh105 billion last year, causing finance costs to hit the roof. It is not incredible that one local commercial bank is exposed to Kenya Power to the extent of a massive Sh50 billion.


There is no bank in Kenya that can loan a single customer ksh.50bn.
Most of Kenya Power's loans are from DFIs,World Bank,EIB,EXIM bank of China


Never wrote that artcile..

http://www.nation.co.ke/...12708-ol5im6/index.html

Let me send him an email he tells me where he got the info...


I have gone through the annual report;the sh.50bn is not a loan to a local bank but to Standard Chartered Bank PLC


adequate research is your friend, as Ericsson said, this was from Stanchart PLC

http://www.businessdaily...72812-1dvndz/index.html[/quote]

Loan by many lenders organized by SCB

[qoute]What is a 'Syndicated Loan'

A syndicated loan, also known as a syndicated bank facility, is a loan offered by a group of lenders – referred to as a syndicate – that work together to provide funds for a single borrower. The borrower could be a corporation, a large project or a sovereignty, such as a government. The loan can involve a fixed amount of funds, a credit line or a combination of the two ~ Investopedia
Life is short. Live passionately.
maka
#153 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 4:41:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
From Jaindi...

i hear you ******- you are right with respect to the 25 per cent
single borrower limit. The capital base can not support that level of
borrowing. The rule allows banks to break the single borrower limit
rule only if they are lending to the state or to a 100 per cent state
owned entity. KPLC is not. Please grab a copy of KPLC's 2006 accounts
and have a look at the information disclosed in the NOTES. When i
asked the CEO of KPLC, they said those are monies on lent to them by
the government and that Standard Chartered was just but an arranger.
Which begs the question: if the sh 50 billion is on lent to them,
why does it appear on KPLC's balance sheet in the first place and as
money lent to them by Stanchart? Let's keep the discussion going
possunt quia posse videntur
maka
#154 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 4:44:30 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
@Ericsonn...Horton...Response...
possunt quia posse videntur
sparkly
#155 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 5:30:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
maka wrote:
From Jaindi...

i hear you ******- you are right with respect to the 25 per cent
single borrower limit. The capital base can not support that level of
borrowing. The rule allows banks to break the single borrower limit
rule only if they are lending to the state or to a 100 per cent state
owned entity. KPLC is not. Please grab a copy of KPLC's 2006 accounts
and have a look at the information disclosed in the NOTES. When i
asked the CEO of KPLC, they said those are monies on lent to them by
the government and that Standard Chartered was just but an arranger.
Which begs the question: if the sh 50 billion is on lent to them,
why does it appear on KPLC's balance sheet in the first place and as
money lent to them by Stanchart? Let's keep the discussion going


Because SCB is the syndicate arranger?
Life is short. Live passionately.
Angelica _ann
#156 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 5:35:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
sparkly wrote:
maka wrote:
From Jaindi...

i hear you ******- you are right with respect to the 25 per cent
single borrower limit. The capital base can not support that level of
borrowing. The rule allows banks to break the single borrower limit
rule only if they are lending to the state or to a 100 per cent state
owned entity. KPLC is not. Please grab a copy of KPLC's 2016 accounts
and have a look at the information disclosed in the NOTES. When i
asked the CEO of KPLC, they said those are monies on lent to them by
the government and that Standard Chartered was just but an arranger.
Which begs the question: if the sh 50 billion is on lent to them,
why does it appear on KPLC's balance sheet in the first place and as
money lent to them by Stanchart? Let's keep the discussion going


Because SCB is the syndicate arranger?

In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#157 Posted : Monday, December 18, 2017 5:41:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,671
Location: NAIROBI
maka wrote:
@Ericsonn...Horton...Response...



I have read the annual report.Standard Chartered PLC lent KPLC the money.
The money is not guaranteed by GoK but KPLC has pledged some of its assets as securities.
This is a commercial loan not on-lent.

Commercial borrowings
Standard Chartered Bank Loan (USD 350,000,000) 36,299,095 35,385,770
Standard Chartered Bank Loan 15,180,000 15,180,00


Standard Chartered Bank loans are secured by letters of negative pledge. All other loans are guaranteed by the Government of Kenya.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
littledove
#158 Posted : Thursday, December 28, 2017 9:09:45 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky
https://www.african-markets.com/en/news/east-africa/sudan/sudan-to-devalue-pound-currency-from-6-7-to-18-per-dollar-in-january?utm_source=Sociallymap&utm_medium=Sociallymap&utm_campaign=Sociallymap

kenyan banks in south sudan face devaluation loss yet again
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
Ericsson
#159 Posted : Thursday, December 28, 2017 9:39:51 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,671
Location: NAIROBI


Title is sudan not south sudan.Those are two different countries
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
littledove
#160 Posted : Thursday, December 28, 2017 9:57:39 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky
Ericsson wrote:


Title is sudan not south sudan.Those are two different countries

noted, but the image on the article shows south sudan
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
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