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directional forecast
Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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littledove wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:CIC:Forgot to post CIC update. Must have been an oversight. Loading... a pull back between 4 and 3.75 will be value but first we go north.  Trade what you see just to help us. Now that market has reached 4.5(as earlier predicted), does it mean it will retrace? it may or it may not. This is probability. What do we know? a temporary pullback may form either now or later. Should I liquidate my position? that depend on my trading plan. Is this end of the rally north? NO! this one im sitting tight in the zone...! 1st target around 4.8 2nd target around 5.3. disclaimer It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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winston wrote:karasinga wrote:winston wrote:@karasinga @hisah....what is the latest from the charts on NSE 20? Asante! hello winston. I doubt if we have meet. Welcome to directional forecast. You are always welcome to post. The indices will surely low lower today again NSE20 will point down by about 30points,slowly gaining momentum To your question. hisah your take. For me still valid yesterday's index was at 3,583.41 points @Karasinga - Many thanks. Nope we havent met. But have been on Wazua Republic for quite awhile (since 2010). Back to NSE 20 - from your chart next few weeeks are looking abit grim...waiting for @hisah thoughts.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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winston wrote:karasinga wrote:winston wrote:@karasinga @hisah....what is the latest from the charts on NSE 20? Asante! hello winston. I doubt if we have meet. Welcome to directional forecast. You are always welcome to post. To your question. hisah your take. For me still valid yesterday's index was at 3,583.41 points @Karasinga - Many thanks. Nope we havent met. But have been on Wazua Republic for quite awhile (since 2010). Back to NSE 20 - from your chart next few weeeks are looking abit grim...waiting for @hisah thoughts. NSE20 will surely go down again total, slowly gaining momentum
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,519 Location: nairobi
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 trade what you see
HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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obiero wrote:karasinga wrote:obiero wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:obiero wrote:karasinga wrote:obiero wrote:karasinga wrote:COOP: bonus aftermath Following yesterdays "thuggery"(>20% whack in PA with relatively low volume- SHIKU IS NOT ALLOWED TO DO THIS ), we have this in play  As stated previously, these News might play out in the corrective wave 2..If demand zone holds, please note we shall have an extended wave 3 and the next temporary halt might be around 22  disclaimer. learning is taking place. best wishes @karasinga 1.3m traded yesterday is relatively low volume? @ obiero. Depending on how you/I want to look at it, yes. Let me know if you need a chart example. @karasinga I will need a COOP chart example, spread out over 6 months or 1 year @Obiero accept and get back in, wacha maneno mingi!!! Hehe.. Okay. Lakini sirudi saa hii, even though I note that the price is tempting. it's basically gone below the dividend as well as pre bonus quote @ obiero, what do you mean by "gone below the dividend" Tell it like you are telling a 2 year old  or like this Declared dividend was KES 0.80.. The share price cum dividend peaked at KES 17.6. Factoring the price ex dividend and ex bonus today reading KES 13.5, someone who opted to receive the dividend and bonus is at now shorter than the one who opted out.. But this could change in a few days time @karasinga I hope you are learning how to trade corporate announcements.. The MMs are hammering COOP with a specific target in mind. The current price is unrealistically low. KES 14.6 is fair value Thanks Obiero. I am yet to learn how to incorporate rights issue, bonuses and split to my technical bench. Nevertheless, MMs are determined to get into the demand zone. As we speak, I can see 13.0 has printed. let's see what Mr market has in store for us. disclaimer It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Member Joined: 4/14/2010 Posts: 806 Location: Nairobi
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hisah wrote:winston wrote:karasinga wrote:winston wrote:@karasinga @hisah....what is the latest from the charts on NSE 20? Asante! hello winston. I doubt if we have meet. Welcome to directional forecast. You are always welcome to post. To your question. hisah your take. For me still valid yesterday's index was at 3,583.41 points @Karasinga - Many thanks. Nope we havent met. But have been on Wazua Republic for quite awhile (since 2010). Back to NSE 20 - from your chart next few weeeks are looking abit grim...waiting for @hisah thoughts. NSE20 retest zone is 3174. If bulls defend this zone and are able to push past 3747 then 2789 low will be confirmed as a support base and will signal a bottom. If it fails then 3000 needs to hold or the bottom will break down!
My issue is with FTSE NSE KE15 index. The level where it rebounded from doesn't have that look and feel of a solid floor. Between 200 and 214 level lies solid resistance (supply) layer dating back to 2015. The current rebound has fizzled out just before this tough zone. Immediate support lies at 175 handle then 165 before testing the floor of the rebound clustered at 141-147 zone. If the retest fails at 141 then 120 is the next target. My gut feeling on this index is the rebound will be rejected strongly now that mpesa bank has tested 23 handle. @hisah ...many thanks. Not looking very rosy for exit...but very rosy for entry.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Thought of the day: If you can't define your own behavior and that of the markets, you can't learn how to repeat your wins or prevent your losses. When you win it is so pleasurable, it creates a need to repeat it and compels you to try again. When you follow the crowd (instead of anticipating the crowd, which would take planning) or trade off news items, tips, or isolated signals from technical systems, the anticipation of the next attempt to win automatically produces fear and anxiety. Why? Because, you can't define the market conditions or the decision making process that produced the last win, and so you can't assure yourself of the next. If you don't know what you did to win the last time, you obviously don't know what to do to keep from losing this time. The end result is intense anxiety, frustration, confusion, and fear. You feel out of control, experiencing a sense of powerlessness as you are swept along by the ensuing events and wondering what is the market going to do to you today. best wishes It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Member Joined: 4/14/2010 Posts: 806 Location: Nairobi
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karasinga wrote:Thought of the day:
If you can't define your own behavior and that of the markets, you can't learn how to repeat your wins or prevent your losses. When you win it is so pleasurable, it creates a need to repeat it and compels you to try again. When you follow the crowd (instead of anticipating the crowd, which would take planning) or trade off news items, tips, or isolated signals from technical systems, the anticipation of the next attempt to win automatically produces fear and anxiety. Why? Because, you can't define the market conditions or the decision making process that produced the last win, and so you can't assure yourself of the next.
If you don't know what you did to win the last time, you obviously don't know what to do to keep from losing this time. The end result is intense anxiety, frustration, confusion, and fear. You feel out of control, experiencing a sense of powerlessness as you are swept along by the ensuing events and wondering what is the market going to do to you today.
best wishes
Very well said 
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Rank: Member Joined: 5/30/2016 Posts: 217 Location: Talai
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winston wrote:karasinga wrote:Thought of the day:
If you can't define your own behavior and that of the markets, you can't learn how to repeat your wins or prevent your losses. When you win it is so pleasurable, it creates a need to repeat it and compels you to try again. When you follow the crowd (instead of anticipating the crowd, which would take planning) or trade off news items, tips, or isolated signals from technical systems, the anticipation of the next attempt to win automatically produces fear and anxiety. Why? Because, you can't define the market conditions or the decision making process that produced the last win, and so you can't assure yourself of the next.
If you don't know what you did to win the last time, you obviously don't know what to do to keep from losing this time. The end result is intense anxiety, frustration, confusion, and fear. You feel out of control, experiencing a sense of powerlessness as you are swept along by the ensuing events and wondering what is the market going to do to you today.
best wishes
Very well said TRUE KABISA... ALL THE SHIROS INCLUDING ME TUKO PAMOJA.. Watch and Listen and Live
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,908
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We need both buggers attending the scheduled presidential debate to assure investors that all is well and build confidence in the market In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Thought of the day: The market can't take anything away from you that you don't allow; if you lost money or lost more than you intended to risk, you gave your money to other traders. I know none of us here at wazua has ever lost more than he/she intended to risk. Think about it. best wishes It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,908
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@karasinga, Britam spot on In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Quite humbling. I learning to trust my edge, that all. Think of it this way, If your edge wins 70% of the times, do you want care so much about 30% of the times which you will be wrong? Making pennies quietly... Check what CIC is doing and dont tell. It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,908
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karasinga wrote:Quite humbling. I learning to trust my edge, that all. Think of it this way, If your edge wins 70% of the times, do you want care so much about 30% of the times which you will be wrong? Making pennies quietly... Check what CIC is doing and please tell @Ericsson. In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,684 Location: NAIROBI
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Angelica _ann wrote:karasinga wrote:Quite humbling. I learning to trust my edge, that all. Think of it this way, If your edge wins 70% of the times, do you want care so much about 30% of the times which you will be wrong? Making pennies quietly... Check what CIC is doing and please tell @Ericsson. Tell me what Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,908
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Ericsson wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:karasinga wrote:Quite humbling. I learning to trust my edge, that all. Think of it this way, If your edge wins 70% of the times, do you want care so much about 30% of the times which you will be wrong? Making pennies quietly... Check what CIC is doing and please tell @Ericsson. Tell me what Thought you were #CIC damu so you should be In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,684 Location: NAIROBI
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Angelica _ann wrote:Ericsson wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:karasinga wrote:Quite humbling. I learning to trust my edge, that all. Think of it this way, If your edge wins 70% of the times, do you want care so much about 30% of the times which you will be wrong? Making pennies quietly... Check what CIC is doing and please tell @Ericsson. Tell me what Thought you were #CIC damu so you should be Ndaaani ndaaaani ndaaaani kabisa Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
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@Karasinga In which wave are we now Home Afrika Limited? John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Cde Monomotapa wrote:http://www.silverdoctors.com/gold/gold-news/jesse-livermore-men-who-can-both-be-right-sit-tight-are-uncommon/ @comrade, I see you have sneaked back
Have you turned into a trader from a fundies guy
Quote:Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon . I found it one of the hardest things to learn. But it is only after a stock operator has firmly grasped this that he can make big money. It is literally true that millions come easier to a trader after he knows how to trade than hundreds did in the days of his ignorance. – Jesse Livermore
Are you still a gold bull? This thing needs to crash below 1000 handle in order to flush out all weak hands before posting new higher highs!
Which bank are you banking on in this rate cap new normal? I hope you discarded NBK before it crashed below 15 handle. We're back to cheap bank values like in 2011. Can you stomach this sector again
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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