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Too many HELLOS, Time to quit stocks!
Cornelius Vanderbilt
#261 Posted : Monday, December 26, 2016 4:05:36 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/15/2015
Posts: 817
the nse chart looks like a horror movie.if you depend largely on stocks.unless something happens it doesnot look good. seriously if you are an nse bull can you tell us your conviction.and make sure you are sober of mind !!!!!!!!!!!!!
sparkly
#262 Posted : Monday, December 26, 2016 5:11:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
the nse chart looks like a horror movie.if you depend largely on stocks.unless something happens it doesnot look good. seriously if you are an nse bull can you tell us your conviction.and make sure you are sober of mind !!!!!!!!!!!!!



Something will happen. Kaa chonjo
Life is short. Live passionately.
obiero
#263 Posted : Tuesday, December 27, 2016 7:11:23 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,532
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
the nse chart looks like a horror movie.if you depend largely on stocks.unless something happens it doesnot look good. seriously if you are an nse bull can you tell us your conviction.and make sure you are sober of mind !!!!!!!!!!!!!



Something will happen. Kaa chonjo

This market will turn up in 2017

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
wukan
#264 Posted : Tuesday, December 27, 2016 8:34:51 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,595
obiero wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
the nse chart looks like a horror movie.if you depend largely on stocks.unless something happens it doesnot look good. seriously if you are an nse bull can you tell us your conviction.and make sure you are sober of mind !!!!!!!!!!!!!



Something will happen. Kaa chonjo

This market will turn up in 2017


Not really there is significant repayment for the syndicated loan coming up in 2017 so expect a strain on the forex so Kshs will weaken(still working on the technical charts but i think 110 will print). In that scenario the market takes another leg down
2012
#265 Posted : Tuesday, December 27, 2016 2:02:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
the nse chart looks like a horror movie.if you depend largely on stocks.unless something happens it doesnot look good. seriously if you are an nse bull can you tell us your conviction.and make sure you are sober of mind !!!!!!!!!!!!!



Something will happen. Kaa chonjo

This market will turn up in 2017



With the elections, I don't think I'm that contrarian or optimistic.

BBI will solve it
:)
obiero
#266 Posted : Tuesday, December 27, 2016 2:24:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,532
Location: nairobi
2012 wrote:
obiero wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
the nse chart looks like a horror movie.if you depend largely on stocks.unless something happens it doesnot look good. seriously if you are an nse bull can you tell us your conviction.and make sure you are sober of mind !!!!!!!!!!!!!



Something will happen. Kaa chonjo

This market will turn up in 2017



With the elections, I don't think I'm that contrarian or optimistic.

@stocksmaster said the very same thing in 2013

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
sparkly
#267 Posted : Tuesday, December 27, 2016 2:36:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
obiero wrote:
2012 wrote:
obiero wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
the nse chart looks like a horror movie.if you depend largely on stocks.unless something happens it doesnot look good. seriously if you are an nse bull can you tell us your conviction.and make sure you are sober of mind !!!!!!!!!!!!!



Something will happen. Kaa chonjo

This market will turn up in 2017



With the elections, I don't think I'm that contrarian or optimistic.

@stocksmaster said the very same thing in 2013


When you bet against the market, the market surprises you.

The market is most definitely oversold and will bounce back soon.
Life is short. Live passionately.
maka
#268 Posted : Tuesday, December 27, 2016 3:11:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
sparkly wrote:
obiero wrote:
2012 wrote:
obiero wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
the nse chart looks like a horror movie.if you depend largely on stocks.unless something happens it doesnot look good. seriously if you are an nse bull can you tell us your conviction.and make sure you are sober of mind !!!!!!!!!!!!!



Something will happen. Kaa chonjo

This market will turn up in 2017



With the elections, I don't think I'm that contrarian or optimistic.

@stocksmaster said the very same thing in 2013


When you bet against the market, the market surprises you.

The market is most definitely oversold and will bounce back soon.



possunt quia posse videntur
sparkly
#269 Posted : Friday, April 07, 2017 6:49:04 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Pesa Nane
#270 Posted : Friday, April 07, 2017 10:49:03 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
sparkly wrote:
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.

d'oh! d'oh! When? How much?
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Aguytrying
#271 Posted : Friday, April 07, 2017 4:02:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
sparkly wrote:
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.


I remember the hate you got when the thread started. A wise( not old) man sees further sitting down than a young man on a tree.

Tasty dividends indeed. I feel we have a few more months to load up on quality. Interesting the way the mini rally is occurring pre elections. When crowd would expect a depressed market
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Metasploit
#272 Posted : Friday, April 07, 2017 4:38:58 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Aguytrying wrote:
sparkly wrote:
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.


I remember the hate you got when the thread started. A wise( not old) man sees further sitting down than a young man on a tree.

Tasty dividends indeed. I feel we have a few more months to load up on quality. Interesting the way the mini rally is occurring pre elections. When crowd would expect a depressed market


I am watching how Barclays has behaved ex div ,and NIC today (Although been watching supply being wiped just before close of trade since the ksh 22 levels)and HFCK failing to get a proper beating after results announced and am convinced the only obstacle now is the KE Elections..But for this cycle i dont believe one can get Equity or KCB at 22-24 levels again


2012 yet again..The bull like the bear starts small and almost unnoticeable until it is fully mature and aggressive

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
Spikes
#273 Posted : Friday, April 07, 2017 5:05:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Metasploit wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
sparkly wrote:
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.


I remember the hate you got when the thread started. A wise( not old) man sees further sitting down than a young man on a tree.

Tasty dividends indeed. I feel we have a few more months to load up on quality. Interesting the way the mini rally is occurring pre elections. When crowd would expect a depressed market


I am watching how Barclays has behaved ex div ,and NIC today (Although been watching supply being wiped just before close of trade since the ksh 22 levels)and HFCK failing to get a proper beating after results announced and am convinced the only obstacle now is the KE Elections..But for this cycle i dont believe one can get Equity or KCB at 22-24 levels again


2012 yet again..The bull like the bear starts small and almost unnoticeable until it is fully mature and aggressive
In stock market anything is possible even unimaginable !

John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
sparkly
#274 Posted : Wednesday, June 21, 2017 7:31:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Metasploit wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
sparkly wrote:
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.


I remember the hate you got when the thread started. A wise( not old) man sees further sitting down than a young man on a tree.

Tasty dividends indeed. I feel we have a few more months to load up on quality. Interesting the way the mini rally is occurring pre elections. When crowd would expect a depressed market


I am watching how Barclays has behaved ex div ,and NIC today (Although been watching supply being wiped just before close of trade since the ksh 22 levels)and HFCK failing to get a proper beating after results announced and am convinced the only obstacle now is the KE Elections..But for this cycle i dont believe one can get Equity or KCB at 22-24 levels again


2012 yet again..The bull like the bear starts small and almost unnoticeable until it is fully mature and aggressive


@aguy NSE is now at 3600 which is 29% from the one year low of 2790.

The bull is here. Whoever is not in the market now has missed the first leg of the uptrend.

A pullback is expected anytime now before the next uptrend which should be strongest and most rapid.

My advise to the hellos, who by now have graduated to higher ranks

1. If you heeded the elder's advise and bought quality stocks, I bet you are enjoying the capital returns and the dividends. Hold on to your portfolio. Better things ahead.

2. If you are out of the market, this is the last chance to load up. Watch out for price dips/ pullbacks on your favorite stocks and pull the trigger. You will make more money than people who stayed in the market all the way down and up.

3. In all cases security of your money comes first. Be guided by the companies' fundamentals i.e. avoid the monkeys.

Happy investing.
smile smile
Life is short. Live passionately.
Aguytrying
#275 Posted : Tuesday, July 04, 2017 1:58:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
sparkly wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
sparkly wrote:
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.


I remember the hate you got when the thread started. A wise( not old) man sees further sitting down than a young man on a tree.

Tasty dividends indeed. I feel we have a few more months to load up on quality. Interesting the way the mini rally is occurring pre elections. When crowd would expect a depressed market


I am watching how Barclays has behaved ex div ,and NIC today (Although been watching supply being wiped just before close of trade since the ksh 22 levels)and HFCK failing to get a proper beating after results announced and am convinced the only obstacle now is the KE Elections..But for this cycle i dont believe one can get Equity or KCB at 22-24 levels again


2012 yet again..The bull like the bear starts small and almost unnoticeable until it is fully mature and aggressive


@aguy NSE is now at 3600 which is 29% from the one year low of 2790.

The bull is here. Whoever is not in the market now has missed the first leg of the uptrend.

A pullback is expected anytime now before the next uptrend which should be strongest and most rapid.

My advise to the hellos, who by now have graduated to higher ranks

1. If you heeded the elder's advise and bought quality stocks, I bet you are enjoying the capital returns and the dividends. Hold on to your portfolio. Better things ahead.

2. If you are out of the market, this is the last chance to load up. Watch out for price dips/ pullbacks on your favorite stocks and pull the trigger. You will make more money than people who stayed in the market all the way down and up.

3. In all cases security of your money comes first. Be guided by the companies' fundamentals i.e. avoid the monkeys.

Happy investing.
smile smile


The ones who sit down and learn survive. During this period i stocked up on shares that passed me by in the 2011 bear. equity and Dtb. with fantastic gains at the moment and more expected. Some shares are still cheap, i think theres still time to pick some fallen fruits eg. nation, pan africa. Mad respect to the strongest stocks that have barely faltered. safcom, jubilee, Bamburi.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#276 Posted : Tuesday, July 04, 2017 7:57:12 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
sparkly wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
sparkly wrote:
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.


I remember the hate you got when the thread started. A wise( not old) man sees further sitting down than a young man on a tree.

Tasty dividends indeed. I feel we have a few more months to load up on quality. Interesting the way the mini rally is occurring pre elections. When crowd would expect a depressed market


I am watching how Barclays has behaved ex div ,and NIC today (Although been watching supply being wiped just before close of trade since the ksh 22 levels)and HFCK failing to get a proper beating after results announced and am convinced the only obstacle now is the KE Elections..But for this cycle i dont believe one can get Equity or KCB at 22-24 levels again


2012 yet again..The bull like the bear starts small and almost unnoticeable until it is fully mature and aggressive


@aguy NSE is now at 3600 which is 29% from the one year low of 2790.

The bull is here. Whoever is not in the market now has missed the first leg of the uptrend.

A pullback is expected anytime now before the next uptrend which should be strongest and most rapid.

My advise to the hellos, who by now have graduated to higher ranks

1. If you heeded the elder's advise and bought quality stocks, I bet you are enjoying the capital returns and the dividends. Hold on to your portfolio. Better things ahead.

2. If you are out of the market, this is the last chance to load up. Watch out for price dips/ pullbacks on your favorite stocks and pull the trigger. You will make more money than people who stayed in the market all the way down and up.

3. In all cases security of your money comes first. Be guided by the companies' fundamentals i.e. avoid the monkeys.

Happy investing.
smile smile

Have a look at the FTSE KE indices and the monthly mpesa bank chart. That mpesa bank chart is spotting a spinning top like the bear illustration below.

Image courtesy of forextradingstrategies4u.com
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Metasploit
#277 Posted : Tuesday, July 04, 2017 8:34:34 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
sparkly wrote:
This has been one long bear. Return of the bulls frustrated by interest rate caps, government hungry for debt, elections uncertainty and Luke warm corporate returns.

Recent rebound over 3000 for NSE 20 a sign of turn around or investors hunting for Dividend Yield? Hard to miss the attractive yields on KCB, EQT, NMG, WTK, CFC, Bamburi.

Kudos to all those who listened to the prophesy in 2014 and bought quality or exited.

My sympathies to those trapped by the bear in the likes of KQ and HAL.


I remember the hate you got when the thread started. A wise( not old) man sees further sitting down than a young man on a tree.

Tasty dividends indeed. I feel we have a few more months to load up on quality. Interesting the way the mini rally is occurring pre elections. When crowd would expect a depressed market


I am watching how Barclays has behaved ex div ,and NIC today (Although been watching supply being wiped just before close of trade since the ksh 22 levels)and HFCK failing to get a proper beating after results announced and am convinced the only obstacle now is the KE Elections..But for this cycle i dont believe one can get Equity or KCB at 22-24 levels again


2012 yet again..The bull like the bear starts small and almost unnoticeable until it is fully mature and aggressive


@aguy NSE is now at 3600 which is 29% from the one year low of 2790.

The bull is here. Whoever is not in the market now has missed the first leg of the uptrend.

A pullback is expected anytime now before the next uptrend which should be strongest and most rapid.

My advise to the hellos, who by now have graduated to higher ranks

1. If you heeded the elder's advise and bought quality stocks, I bet you are enjoying the capital returns and the dividends. Hold on to your portfolio. Better things ahead.

2. If you are out of the market, this is the last chance to load up. Watch out for price dips/ pullbacks on your favorite stocks and pull the trigger. You will make more money than people who stayed in the market all the way down and up.

3. In all cases security of your money comes first. Be guided by the companies' fundamentals i.e. avoid the monkeys.

Happy investing.
smile smile

Have a look at the FTSE KE indices and the monthly mpesa bank chart. That mpesa bank chart is spotting a spinning top like the bear illustration below.

Image courtesy of forextradingstrategies4u.com


I liquidated all my holdings.For now cash is king..It was a nice rally

Seeing candlesticks indecision at Major points of pace setters i.e Ksh 37.5-38.5 for KCB,37-38 for Equity ,22.5-23 for Saf,9.50-9.8 for barclays,160 for DTK etc

I note the the rally of Bamburi,Kplc and Kegnen subsiding

I note the rally of the laggards

I wait for the index at 3200 or thereabouts but i dont fight the trend (NSE at 3600 was extremely overbought at an RSI of 89)

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
Aguytrying
#278 Posted : Wednesday, July 05, 2017 5:33:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@hisah. Nice to hear from you after a long time senior chartist. I see the current rally doesn't fool you. It is very reminiscent of the rally in 2012/2013 on the run up to elections
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#279 Posted : Friday, July 07, 2017 1:48:34 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
@hisah. Nice to hear from you after a long time senior chartist. I see the current rally doesn't fool you. It is very reminiscent of the rally in 2012/2013 on the run up to elections

I have been around "hiding" in the trading thread smile

It's indecision time as polls approach.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ericsson
#280 Posted : Friday, July 07, 2017 2:55:56 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,701
Location: NAIROBI
http://www.businessdaily...886-14u4lioz/index.html

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