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KES breaches 78 vs $ for the first time in a year
kizee
#11 Posted : Tuesday, May 11, 2010 6:45:04 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
trendsignal.co.ke wrote:
Hi, If any of you want to see the Trendsignal (have a look at the Trendsignal forum on the Offshore page) charts for Ksh vs GBP and USD, please email me at kenya@trendsignal.co.uk and I will happily send them with explanation of what is happening and what will (my predictions only using Trendsignal charts) happen in the near future.



where do u get ur data feed for kes prices?
kizee
#12 Posted : Monday, May 17, 2010 9:05:41 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
OP

kes at 78.75*85...luks like the blood letting will continue
tonicasert
#13 Posted : Monday, May 17, 2010 2:16:43 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
kizee wrote:
OP

kes at 78.75*85...luks like the blood letting will continue


smile smile Good for some of us.

But Euro seems to be losing steam at 1.2300... If shorts start covering we may see USD paring some gains across the board. But who knows, someone may quite the EU tonite, and more bloodbath... Anxious What a market!
guru267
#14 Posted : Monday, May 17, 2010 2:28:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
the Euro has broken below a 4year low against the dollar at 1.233 with most analysts saying that this breach could send the euro to parity with the dollar if nothing is done to stop this...

this only spells disaster for the kenya shilling but not so bad for my portfolio because this will definitley see the kenya shilling rally against the uganda shilling due to pegs against the dollar
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
kizee
#15 Posted : Wednesday, May 19, 2010 7:29:14 AM
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Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
so the euro breaks 1.22...kes at 79.10*20...GWAN!
tonicasert
#16 Posted : Wednesday, May 19, 2010 8:22:12 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Yeah some more bloodbath on the Euro after someone in German was bright enough to ban short selling on EUR denominated government bonds, credit derivative swaps plus bonds/shares. Reminiscent of US SEC in Sept, 2008, when stocks tumbled further after the ban. Euro at 1.15 and then parity are the next levels to watch.

Seems KES at 80.00 is liekely.
Magigi
#17 Posted : Wednesday, May 19, 2010 10:09:14 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/31/2008
Posts: 7,081
Location: Kenya
79.45000 +1.14999 +1.47%

Previous Close 78.30000 Bid 79.45000
Open 78.30000 Ask 79.55000
Day's High 79.45000
Day's Low 78.30000

This is serious. Anybody who knows what is happening other than the happenings in Europe...fall of the euro?
kizee
#18 Posted : Wednesday, May 19, 2010 10:35:22 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
magigi

at these eurusd lvls, eurkes gets very cheap and creates importer interest and dampens exporter interest...gues its a case of basic economics..or rather traders reading into basic economics
tonicasert
#19 Posted : Wednesday, May 19, 2010 1:39:11 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Its also a case of risk aversion, as investors dump risky assets (stocks, bonds, commodities), and invest in USD and Yen assets in as uncertainty reigns with developments in Europe. Most developed and emerging markets' currencies (GBP, EUR, AUD, BRL, INR, ZAR, TRY, KES etc) have slumped heavily in the last few days as risk aversion dominates. Crude oil has also broken 70 (now 68.50), from 85 a week ago.
kizee
#20 Posted : Wednesday, May 19, 2010 1:43:45 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
todays muv has little to do with risk aversion...some german dude proposes a ban on short sellin and the euro cru
mbles takin the kes with it...i hia theres talk of possible intervention on the euro...either way i thnk kes may recoup some gains
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