Cde Monomotapa wrote:lochaz-index wrote:Cde Monomotapa wrote:@hisah @lochaz 0.75-1% Fed rate USD tanks, stocks rise, gold & silver soar.
Markets unusual. Stocks will have a tight correlation with the Fed hikes until something snaps. Consider the following desperate pension schemes
http://www.zerohedge.com...bout-bring-hell-america
For the USD, gold and silver I think that was reactionary rather than fundamental and they should reverse.
What's the median age really of the demography and percentage to total population? Hey! The fund manager rotated from bonds to stocks, conventionally, until now it is no longer that the opposite is true?

Gold & Silver; Now that white money is circa 70-80% its return to circulation is a bonanza!! ;-)
This is the part where holding onto conventional wisdom gets you routed. Maybe that's why even fund managers are on the sidelines in this stock market rally.
I don't know the median or average age in relation to total population and as much as I acknowledge it is a first world issue, that is hardly whole problem here:
1. If the number of retirees is growing faster than the engaged workforce, the pension is going to have a problem. The labor participation rate bears me witness. The US economy is not absorbing workers as fast as it is retiring them resulting in either hiked contributions for the active workforce and /or pension cuts for the pensioners.
2. The larger the difference between an old geezer's paycheck when exiting the workforce and the starter pack (fresh recruit pay) means it will take more and more new employees to support a single pensioner - contribution wise - depending on the scheme's structure. Talk of a legalized ponzi scheme. With the global economy going to the dogs it is hardly the time to raise entry level pay, my guess is that it's reducing.
3. Pensions schemes are normally overweight bonds and shy of stocks, with interest rates dropping consistently over the last decade - in large part due to ZIRP/NIRP - pension schemes have had poor returns vis a vis their mounting liabilities. That is a recipe for going burst.
Note that KE despite a fantastic demographic structure has similar problems in its pension scheme aka NSSF courtesy of the first two issues...hence the constant upwards review of the retirement age.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.