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directional forecast
karasinga
#961 Posted : Wednesday, March 29, 2017 7:32:21 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Metasploit wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

hello angelica-ann. I know Hisah will give a better answer but if I may comment. As stated here (Check the chart) SCOM is now bearish.
why?
closed yesterday <17.1 and most likely it might close the same today(3rd march).
Is there a need to panic if in ?
I don't think so. let me explain. back to basics.... Elliott wave. check my chart

best wishes

In the event SCOM rallies anytime from today (6th March), consider 18.5 and or 19.15 as graceful exit. Just my opinion

having said SCOM IS NOW BEARISH,it should not be construed to mean there will be no retracements. Currently, RSI is extremely oversold and we might have a correction. I am not happy with how angry bears look so will treat the coming wave north as a temporary profit taking...and shuffling continues shortly afterwards unless scom achieves a close above 18.9.

just my opinion. best wishes

watching... just a few cents

After testing 15.90 the bulls have come back with vigor and pushed the price back above the tough resistance level at 18.50. If this counter closes the month by regaining the 19 handle , bulls will be ready to challenge the all time highs! The monthly chart is already spotting a fat hammer candle pattern aka bullish pin bar.

reading from the same script, mate...This also validates that owning a process that has positive expectancy will not only make you a better trader but also it will make your account grow. and that is the best part.
Let those who "believe" market is random and liken it to gambling watch and learn. best wishes




Trendline set

Hello Metasploit. Thanks for your comment on Scom. If I may. SCOM is almost reaching the zone highlighted in orange above. At the same time we have a potential reversal zone between 19.7 - 20.1. Trend carefully if you are among "NSE scalpers". A pullback is imminent to around 17.5. just my opinion
Best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#962 Posted : Wednesday, March 29, 2017 10:52:22 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
Elephant Man wrote:
@karasinga...usichoke...blue section is active due to this thread...still greek to me, but looking at getting a greek/english dictionary...
when you're not too busy how about a couple of agrics please - kakuzi and sasini to be specific... asante sana ndugu.


Just my humble opinion.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

watching PA closely
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#963 Posted : Wednesday, March 29, 2017 2:38:34 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
DCON:
Spikes wrote:
@Karasinga please do projections of Deacons.

Prior analysis here

Something to be mindful of.... "LIQUIDITY". Hope this is helpful.
best wishes

@ spikes. I hope this chart was helpful
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#964 Posted : Wednesday, March 29, 2017 2:50:48 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
HFCK

UPDATE:
Target 1 reached and bulls having a struggle.

situational awareness. Best wishes

12.5 printed.... time to do south. Learning continues

It is not "news" that move prices... just a catalyst to aid market realise an expectation. Market is never random. (underscore this)
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#965 Posted : Wednesday, March 29, 2017 3:17:14 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

hello angelica-ann. I know Hisah will give a better answer but if I may comment. As stated here (Check the chart) SCOM is now bearish.
why?
closed yesterday <17.1 and most likely it might close the same today(3rd march).
Is there a need to panic if in ?
I don't think so. let me explain. back to basics.... Elliott wave. check my chart

best wishes

In the event SCOM rallies anytime from today (6th March), consider 18.5 and or 19.15 as graceful exit. Just my opinion

having said SCOM IS NOW BEARISH,it should not be construed to mean there will be no retracements. Currently, RSI is extremely oversold and we might have a correction. I am not happy with how angry bears look so will treat the coming wave north as a temporary profit taking...and shuffling continues shortly afterwards unless scom achieves a close above 18.9.

just my opinion. best wishes

watching... just a few cents

After testing 15.90 the bulls have come back with vigor and pushed the price back above the tough resistance level at 18.50. If this counter closes the month by regaining the 19 handle , bulls will be ready to challenge the all time highs! The monthly chart is already spotting a fat hammer candle pattern aka bullish pin bar.

reading from the same script, mate...This also validates that owning a process that has positive expectancy will not only make you a better trader but also it will make your account grow. and that is the best part.
Let those who "believe" market is random and liken it to gambling watch and learn. best wishes




Trendline set

Hello Metasploit. Thanks for your comment on Scom. If I may. SCOM is almost reaching the zone highlighted in orange above. At the same time we have a potential reversal zone between 19.7 - 20.1. Trend carefully if you are among "NSE scalpers". A pullback is imminent to around 17.5 . just my opinion
Best wishes

17.75 printed... experience first monies will follow smile. Much obliged to demystify, "trading is like gambling". Even if it were, then we should be the casino.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
hisah
#966 Posted : Friday, March 31, 2017 4:27:11 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
KCB:
SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS
Prior analysis here
Monthly(currently price within monthly supply zone... "anything can happen")

Weekly

Daily

situational awareness. TRADE WHAT YOU SEE
Best wishes


Waiting to see if the counter will close the month above 33 handle. Crucial if the bulls are to keep pushing all the way towards the 40 handle.

Closed the month above the 33 handle panic selloff rate cap trigger! Bulls have serious intent as they approach 61.8% fibo retracement on the weekly chart. RSI on the weekly is also approaching overbought levels. Very interesting action in this counter. Definitely the vol spike post rate cap panic selloff was hidden buying.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#967 Posted : Friday, March 31, 2017 4:31:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

hello angelica-ann. I know Hisah will give a better answer but if I may comment. As stated here (Check the chart) SCOM is now bearish.
why?
closed yesterday <17.1 and most likely it might close the same today(3rd march).
Is there a need to panic if in ?
I don't think so. let me explain. back to basics.... Elliott wave. check my chart

best wishes

In the event SCOM rallies anytime from today (6th March), consider 18.5 and or 19.15 as graceful exit. Just my opinion

having said SCOM IS NOW BEARISH,it should not be construed to mean there will be no retracements. Currently, RSI is extremely oversold and we might have a correction. I am not happy with how angry bears look so will treat the coming wave north as a temporary profit taking...and shuffling continues shortly afterwards unless scom achieves a close above 18.9.

just my opinion. best wishes

watching... just a few cents

After testing 15.90 the bulls have come back with vigor and pushed the price back above the tough resistance level at 18.50. If this counter closes the month by regaining the 19 handle , bulls will be ready to challenge the all time highs! The monthly chart is already spotting a fat hammer candle pattern aka bullish pin bar.

reading from the same script, mate...This also validates that owning a process that has positive expectancy will not only make you a better trader but also it will make your account grow. and that is the best part.
Let those who "believe" market is random and liken it to gambling watch and learn. best wishes




Trendline set

Hello Metasploit. Thanks for your comment on Scom. If I may. SCOM is almost reaching the zone highlighted in orange above. At the same time we have a potential reversal zone between 19.7 - 20.1. Trend carefully if you are among "NSE scalpers". A pullback is imminent to around 17.5 . just my opinion
Best wishes

17.75 printed... experience first monies will follow smile. Much obliged to demystify, "trading is like gambling". Even if it were, then we should be the casino.

Closed month above 17.50 as VWAP closes at 18 handle meaning we have a valid bullish pin bar on the monthly chart.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#968 Posted : Friday, March 31, 2017 4:43:09 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
NMG:
why I think NMG is slowly leaving the station.Prior analysis here

best wishes

this is shouting, please buy me.....(IN CAPS)smile !
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

Forming an inverse head and shoulder pattern on the 3 month daily chart. Trade what you see smile

bulls are putting a smile on my face daily

Intraday high has tested 99 handle and immediately backed off. Resistance respected at 100 psychological level. The inverse head and shoulder is already stating its intention as it gears for a breakout above the 93 handle, which is currently the intraday VWAP and likely to close this way.

Nice call hisah, Now expecting a pull back. I will not be surprised if 86 print or less. As you say, "happy hunting"


For explanation;
See the trendline at Ksh 93 (The Neckline)and 85 (the shoulder line)..For confirmation on breakout watch increasing volume next week

@Hisah Nice one..Most of the time we fail to note three month chart formation







Tested 102 and VWAP closed @101. Bulls challenging the psychological barrier at 100 handle. The inverse head and shoulder is acting its intention...

Consolidating after testing above 100 handle psychological resistance from the GFC lows retest. Above 120 bulls will start gaining confidence.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Metasploit
#969 Posted : Monday, April 03, 2017 12:38:49 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

hello angelica-ann. I know Hisah will give a better answer but if I may comment. As stated here (Check the chart) SCOM is now bearish.
why?
closed yesterday <17.1 and most likely it might close the same today(3rd march).
Is there a need to panic if in ?
I don't think so. let me explain. back to basics.... Elliott wave. check my chart

best wishes

In the event SCOM rallies anytime from today (6th March), consider 18.5 and or 19.15 as graceful exit. Just my opinion

having said SCOM IS NOW BEARISH,it should not be construed to mean there will be no retracements. Currently, RSI is extremely oversold and we might have a correction. I am not happy with how angry bears look so will treat the coming wave north as a temporary profit taking...and shuffling continues shortly afterwards unless scom achieves a close above 18.9.

just my opinion. best wishes

watching... just a few cents

After testing 15.90 the bulls have come back with vigor and pushed the price back above the tough resistance level at 18.50. If this counter closes the month by regaining the 19 handle , bulls will be ready to challenge the all time highs! The monthly chart is already spotting a fat hammer candle pattern aka bullish pin bar.

reading from the same script, mate...This also validates that owning a process that has positive expectancy will not only make you a better trader but also it will make your account grow. and that is the best part.
Let those who "believe" market is random and liken it to gambling watch and learn. best wishes




Trendline set

Hello Metasploit. Thanks for your comment on Scom. If I may. SCOM is almost reaching the zone highlighted in orange above. At the same time we have a potential reversal zone between 19.7 - 20.1. Trend carefully if you are among "NSE scalpers". A pullback is imminent to around 17.5 . just my opinion
Best wishes

17.75 printed... experience first monies will follow smile. Much obliged to demystify, "trading is like gambling". Even if it were, then we should be the casino.


The trendline set..19 should be defeated in this cycle and then we aim for 20
Closed month above 17.50 as VWAP closes at 18 handle meaning we have a valid bullish pin bar on the monthly chart.


“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
karasinga
#970 Posted : Monday, April 03, 2017 1:46:44 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Elephant Man wrote:
@karasinga...usichoke...blue section is active due to this thread...still greek to me, but looking at getting a greek/english dictionary...
when you're not too busy how about a couple of agrics please - kakuzi and sasini to be specific... asante sana ndugu.


Just my humble opinion.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

watching PA closely

learning continues. around 22.8 to 23 might hold
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#971 Posted : Monday, April 03, 2017 6:00:24 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
NBK.... Shhh
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#972 Posted : Monday, April 03, 2017 6:25:53 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
NIC update:
prior analyis here

karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
@karasinga quickly review the direction of NIC Bank.

come slowly mate... you can be checking here in the meantime.

Spikes, I know this was not quick enough but might be helpful.
best wishes

Whistle

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Thanks bro!

>2.5million shares changed hands...

starting to feel NSE bull... Shhh. go bulls go..!
question: are you prepared to take the opportunity when it present itself?
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#973 Posted : Monday, April 03, 2017 9:25:59 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
KENO
it is screaming..... buy me!
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
bartum
#974 Posted : Monday, April 03, 2017 10:11:10 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
karasinga wrote:

Heavy supply at 12.75 for last 2.days
karasinga
#975 Posted : Tuesday, April 04, 2017 6:08:01 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
NSE 20 SHARE INDEX

trade what you see
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#976 Posted : Tuesday, April 04, 2017 6:39:31 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
bartum wrote:
karasinga wrote:

Heavy supply at 12.75 for last 2.days

on the contrary, i think it is demand around 11.6. look at how PA is spiking from below...It is interesting how we look at the same thing and see different things. keep those posts coming. best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
hisah
#977 Posted : Tuesday, April 04, 2017 7:08:13 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
karasinga wrote:
bartum wrote:
karasinga wrote:

Heavy supply at 12.75 for last 2.days

on the contrary, i think it is demand around 11.6. look at how PA is spiking from below...It is interesting how we look at the same thing and see different things. keep those posts coming. best wishes

Bears getting rejected at 11.50. Starting the month with a bullish pin bar. For bulls to state their intent the weekly needs to close above 12.50.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Spikes
#978 Posted : Tuesday, April 04, 2017 8:02:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
karasinga wrote:
bartum wrote:
karasinga wrote:

Heavy supply at 12.75 for last 2.days

on the contrary, i think it is demand around 11.6. look at how PA is spiking from below...It is interesting how we look at the same thing and see different things. keep those posts coming. best wishes

@ Karasinga I have been thinking deeply about trading. I discovered the same trend you already highlighted. Individuals tend to see opportunities in completely different perspectives. No wonder others make money while the rest are losing or stagnant!
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
karasinga
#979 Posted : Tuesday, April 04, 2017 8:40:37 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
bartum wrote:
karasinga wrote:

Heavy supply at 12.75 for last 2.days

on the contrary, i think it is demand around 11.6. look at how PA is spiking from below...It is interesting how we look at the same thing and see different things. keep those posts coming. best wishes

@ Karasinga I have been thinking deeply about trading. I discovered the same trend you already highlighted. Individuals tend to see opportunities in completely different perspectives. No wonder others make money while the rest are losing or stagnant!

your observation is right. IMHO, it boils down to:
1. Trading plan- what does your trading plan say about potential opportunities. If you dont have one it means an up tick might indicate an opportunity
2. Order flow- I always ask myself how much break down is there? should the bulls/bears have allowed price to come here? Who is in control at the moment? is the buying stronger or is the selling?
3. direction- no wonder the name of this thread. we retail traders don't move prices....(please read this again). we rely on the power of institutional trading. We must therefore align ourselves with the strength of the market(opportunity). Gut feelings and news have NO role in this business. News are just catalysts to help market achieve an expectation.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
Metasploit
#980 Posted : Tuesday, April 04, 2017 9:00:51 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
bartum wrote:
karasinga wrote:

Heavy supply at 12.75 for last 2.days

on the contrary, i think it is demand around 11.6. look at how PA is spiking from below...It is interesting how we look at the same thing and see different things. keep those posts coming. best wishes

@ Karasinga I have been thinking deeply about trading. I discovered the same trend you already highlighted. Individuals tend to see opportunities in completely different perspectives. No wonder others make money while the rest are losing or stagnant!

your observation is right. IMHO, it boils down to:
1. Trading plan- what does your trading plan say about potential opportunities. If you dont have one it means an up tick might indicate an opportunity
2. Order flow- I always ask myself how much break down is there? should the bulls/bears have allowed price to come here? Who is in control at the moment? is the buying stronger or is the selling?
3. direction- no wonder the name of this thread. we retail traders don't move prices....(please read this again). we rely on the power of institutional trading. We must therefore align ourselves with the strength of the market(opportunity). Gut feelings and news have NO role in this business.


Applause Applause Applause Applause

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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