Wazua
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directional forecast
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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@karasinga and TA fans have you spotted the 2 bar reversal on the SCBK monthly chart? $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,121 Location: Nairobi
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karasinga wrote:Gatheuzi wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:KENO:
Hardly no one is discussing it. As I stated not long ago we have supply zone around 14 which is proving hard nut to crack. let us see what market gives. I won't be surprised if I see 11.5 print or less Quality. If it goes down to 11.50 ceteris paribus then hallelujah! 8 March 2016. My average price on this one stands at 11.15, I am interested in adding but at a price of no more than 12 unless the results tell us of better than anticipated change in earnings. @karasinga, thanks for all the useful charts you keep giving us. 11.6 printed... lets go. Market is never random When did 11.60 print? What quantities? What did it close at on that day? What was the VWAP? Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/16/2009 Posts: 994
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VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:Gatheuzi wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:KENO:
Hardly no one is discussing it. As I stated not long ago we have supply zone around 14 which is proving hard nut to crack. let us see what market gives. I won't be surprised if I see 11.5 print or less Quality. If it goes down to 11.50 ceteris paribus then hallelujah! 8 March 2016. My average price on this one stands at 11.15, I am interested in adding but at a price of no more than 12 unless the results tell us of better than anticipated change in earnings. @karasinga, thanks for all the useful charts you keep giving us. 11.6 printed... lets go. Market is never random When did 11.60 print? What quantities? What did it close at on that day? What was the VWAP? 11.6 was the day's low on 20th Mar, though not sure of quantity traded at that price. VWAP was 12.7. Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:Gatheuzi wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:KENO:
Hardly no one is discussing it. As I stated not long ago we have supply zone around 14 which is proving hard nut to crack. let us see what market gives. I won't be surprised if I see 11.5 print or less Quality. If it goes down to 11.50 ceteris paribus then hallelujah! 8 March 2016. My average price on this one stands at 11.15, I am interested in adding but at a price of no more than 12 unless the results tell us of better than anticipated change in earnings. @karasinga, thanks for all the useful charts you keep giving us. 11.6 printed... lets go. Market is never random When did 11.60 print? What quantities? What did it close at on that day? What was the VWAP?  hope this answers your queries  best wishes It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Gatheuzi wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:Gatheuzi wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:KENO:
Hardly no one is discussing it. As I stated not long ago we have supply zone around 14 which is proving hard nut to crack. let us see what market gives. I won't be surprised if I see 11.5 print or less Quality. If it goes down to 11.50 ceteris paribus then hallelujah! 8 March 2016. My average price on this one stands at 11.15, I am interested in adding but at a price of no more than 12 unless the results tell us of better than anticipated change in earnings. @karasinga, thanks for all the useful charts you keep giving us. 11.6 printed... lets go. Market is never random When did 11.60 print? What quantities? What did it close at on that day? What was the VWAP? 11.6 was the day's low on 20th Mar, though not sure of quantity traded at that price. VWAP was 12.7. Thanks mate for helping out... "brother helping a brother". I just posted my opinion here.One thing though, how did/do you calculate VWAP? It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,121 Location: Nairobi
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karasinga wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:Gatheuzi wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:KENO:
Hardly no one is discussing it. As I stated not long ago we have supply zone around 14 which is proving hard nut to crack. let us see what market gives. I won't be surprised if I see 11.5 print or less Quality. If it goes down to 11.50 ceteris paribus then hallelujah! 8 March 2016. My average price on this one stands at 11.15, I am interested in adding but at a price of no more than 12 unless the results tell us of better than anticipated change in earnings. @karasinga, thanks for all the useful charts you keep giving us. 11.6 printed... lets go. Market is never random When did 11.60 print? What quantities? What did it close at on that day? What was the VWAP? hope this answers your queries best wishes Close: 12.70 VWAP: 10.04? [This I didn't understand. If the low was 11.60 then VWAP can't be below 11.60] How many shares traded at 11.60? [Anomaly? A single/small/thin trade?] Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:Gatheuzi wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:KENO:
Hardly no one is discussing it. As I stated not long ago we have supply zone around 14 which is proving hard nut to crack. let us see what market gives. I won't be surprised if I see 11.5 print or less Quality. If it goes down to 11.50 ceteris paribus then hallelujah! 8 March 2016. My average price on this one stands at 11.15, I am interested in adding but at a price of no more than 12 unless the results tell us of better than anticipated change in earnings. @karasinga, thanks for all the useful charts you keep giving us. 11.6 printed... lets go. Market is never random When did 11.60 print? What quantities? What did it close at on that day? What was the VWAP? hope this answers your queries best wishes Close: 12.70 VWAP: 10.04? [This I didn't understand. If the low was 11.60 then VWAP can't be below 11.60] How many shares traded at 11.60? [Anomaly? A single/small/thin trade?] kindly consider checking here might help understand. let me know if that was helpful best wishes It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,121 Location: Nairobi
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Anyone else who understands how VWAP is calculated? @karasinga - Please explain to me (with calculations) how VWAP is calculated as 10.02 (if I read the chart right) when the lowest price was 11.60, thanks. In addition, how many shares traded at 11.60? Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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VituVingiSana wrote:Anyone else who understands how VWAP is calculated?
@karasinga - Please explain to me (with calculations) how VWAP is calculated as 10.02 (if I read the chart right) when the lowest price was 11.60, thanks.
In addition, how many shares traded at 11.60? Keeping in mind that VWAP is a cumulative indicator, it would be easier if you tried it on excel. Trust me it is easy. follow these steps  . how many shares traded at 11.60? 29,900(check insert above where you picked 10.02..... it is all there) Anyone else with a better way or a contrary opinion. Time to learn It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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hisah wrote:@karasinga and TA fans have you spotted the 2 bar reversal on the SCBK monthly chart?  hope this is helpful. happy hunting It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Metasploit wrote:Too lazy to post the chart but support trendline set with floor at 3.10-3.15
Bullish candlestick expected at close of trade today.
Next resistance level 3.80-4.00 hello metasploit. hope you are reffering to CIC. When you get energy, please post what is on your chart.Currently laying an ambush It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:DTB: Currently in the zone....I wont be surprised if 97 to 90 print  best wishes Surprise! I am not surprised... my edge on trial has it that when price is in the zone, it results into a rally a good number of the times. Just confirming my data. Must have assumed a bullish divergence evident on the chart above... and that's fine. learning continues... It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Was trying to catch up on posts made the previous days. Have been busy as usual...if by any chance I forgot to respond to your post, kindly post again. best wishes in your trading It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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DTB: SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS Prior analysis hereMONTHLY  WEEKLY  DAILY  Never ran for the market, let the market come to you. Check immediate obstacle on the way. Currently price action: 1. within "KUMO" the cloud. Turbulence expected 2. has reached a higher timeframe supply(weekly) as on 23rd march 2017 1145hrs. 3. All time frames bearish On the flip side, In terms of order flow, bears have had a strong projection south with a stronger momentum achieving a strong NSL.This prepares me for a weak(23.6% to 38.2%) to medium(50%) pullback then another leg south. Anything can happen... best wishes. TRADE WHAT YOU SEE It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Hobitke wrote:karasinga wrote:bartum wrote:
Kindly do for KCB
hello bartum. nice to meet you and welcome to directional forecast. Find below my opinion  hope this is helpful. note:remember disclaimer best wishes Hi Karasinga, Thanks for KCB , does this factor release of results which may make it fall further if they are not too rosy? hello Hobitke. nice meeting you. I am glad you found this chart helpful. To your question: yes, this is purely a directional forecast(my opinion) of how KCB might play out factoring in all the crowd greed and fear. feel free to post. best wishes At a crossroads.... so on the sidelines until it is clear... wish I had more historical data to shed light  best wishes watching you! @Hobite, I hope you enjoyed ~28% capital gain... It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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karasinga wrote:Metasploit wrote:Metasploit wrote:lochaz-index wrote:karasinga wrote:EQT: As stated here, EQT might print 10. Currently we have either bearish bat or bearish gartely forming wave ii.  if you are still a "member", take care...>12 million shares exchanged hands today 14th march Music to my ears. I am of a different opinion # Disclaimer;I am heavily invested in Equity Bank Sir invest wrote:Ha ha ha this is laughable!!!! We are permanent members. Wait and see as real investors reap big. true picture of fear and greed in play... the order flow favors the bears. let Mr. Market speak  ... also you. I am watching It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 5/22/2016 Posts: 69 Location: Nairobi
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karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Hobitke wrote:karasinga wrote:bartum wrote:
Kindly do for KCB
hello bartum. nice to meet you and welcome to directional forecast. Find below my opinion hope this is helpful. note:remember disclaimer best wishes Hi Karasinga, Thanks for KCB , does this factor release of results which may make it fall further if they are not too rosy? hello Hobitke. nice meeting you. I am glad you found this chart helpful. To your question: yes, this is purely a directional forecast(my opinion) of how KCB might play out factoring in all the crowd greed and fear. feel free to post. best wishes At a crossroads.... so on the sidelines until it is clear... wish I had more historical data to shed light best wishes watching you! @Hobite, I hope you enjoyed ~28% capital gain...  Sadly I missed this gain as did not have funds at the time plus my entry point was 20 and do not want to chase the price, hopefully it will come down again ..maybe ..
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Hobitke wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Hobitke wrote:karasinga wrote:bartum wrote:
Kindly do for KCB
hello bartum. nice to meet you and welcome to directional forecast. Find below my opinion hope this is helpful. note:remember disclaimer best wishes Hi Karasinga, Thanks for KCB , does this factor release of results which may make it fall further if they are not too rosy? hello Hobitke. nice meeting you. I am glad you found this chart helpful. To your question: yes, this is purely a directional forecast(my opinion) of how KCB might play out factoring in all the crowd greed and fear. feel free to post. best wishes At a crossroads.... so on the sidelines until it is clear... wish I had more historical data to shed light best wishes watching you! @Hobite, I hope you enjoyed ~28% capital gain... Sadly I missed this gain as did not have funds at the time plus my entry point was 20 and do not want to chase the price, hopefully it will come down again ..maybe .. there is always next time... and this is now history we move on...NEXT! best wishes It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:HFCK  UPDATE: Target 1 reached and bulls having a struggle.  situational awareness. Best wishes 12.5 printed.... time to do south. Learning continues got you this time round... you belong to my watchlist It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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It is always interesting and very educational to go back this journal and see what my thoughts were at specific times in the past vis a vis what market has currently managed to achieve. Tumetoka bali. karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:scan it this a possible bullish crab in the making?  your input plz scan broke above the down trendline at 20.50, 1 trading day ago. This is a bullish sign. This down trendline, currently with an ending point at 19.88, may now provide downside support. Volume on the day of the breakout was quite light---98% below average. The most reliable breakouts are accompanied with increased volume. And with prices having only risen 0.00% since the breakout, the validity of the breakout is questionable. UPDATE  baby steps... STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis last time we left angry bears. True to their word, they have refused bulls to make any subsantial move hence the struggle. will need to see how this plays out. It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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