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directional forecast
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moneydust
#711 Posted : Monday, February 27, 2017 11:18:19 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/31/2007
Posts: 304
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
@Karasinga weigh in with TA on KPLC .....

look who is here....smile welcome back spikes. Been a while. This must be on my watchlist too. It will important to see how market approaches 6.5-6.1.

cheers mate

moneydust wrote:
@Karasinga,thank you for your informative chart insights.
KPLC is at its all time lows.What can you decipher from the charts on its shortterm and longterm prospects??.

hello moneydust. Kindly compare where we are with a prior analysis spikes had requested not long ago

shortterm expectation.
expect price to drop to between 6.4 & 6 then rally to around either:
target 1=10.8-11
target 2=12-12.15
longterm expectation.
when one of the targets above is met, expect KPLC to be bullish going forward.
hope this is helpful. Just my opinion.
best wishes.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis



Thanks alot for the insights.
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hisah
#712 Posted : Monday, February 27, 2017 8:40:45 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
SCOM update. prior analysis still valid here. To allay fear of some of us

looks like what hisah calls retest while others say confirmation of the coming impulse leg. just my opinion

I am looking at the following as possible take profits
target 1= 22.83
target 2= 24.2
target 3= 28.15
target 4= 34.5(The most ambitious)
best wishes

I don't like the way this retest is shaping up. If price breaks below 17.50 I don't think 17 handle will hold back the selling pressure. Last defense is the 14 - 15 support buffer zone. Break below opens up the 12 - 12.50 zone.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Metasploit
#713 Posted : Monday, February 27, 2017 9:36:41 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
SCOM update. prior analysis still valid here. To allay fear of some of us

looks like what hisah calls retest while others say confirmation of the coming impulse leg. just my opinion

I am looking at the following as possible take profits
target 1= 22.83
target 2= 24.2
target 3= 28.15
target 4= 34.5(The most ambitious)
best wishes

I don't like the way this retest is shaping up. If price breaks below 17.50 I don't think 17 handle will hold back the selling pressure. Last defense is the 14 - 15 support buffer zone. Break below opens up the 12 - 12.50 zone.


After failing to break above 19,not even 20 and with heavy volumes i sold it..I am not optimistic with this one in the short term

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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karasinga
#714 Posted : Tuesday, February 28, 2017 6:27:30 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
SCOM:
SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS
Prior analysis here
monthly

weekly

daily

situational awareness: If trends are only the movement of price between higher timeframe supply and demand levels then we are yet to hit a demand zone. Allow me to spice it up, in the context of who should defend what. In an oversold market the buyers are likely to defend their areas much easier and we need to be careful.
best wishes

It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, February 28, 2017 8:05 AM | Reason: Not specified
karasinga
#715 Posted : Tuesday, February 28, 2017 3:11:26 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
@karasinga please post any developments on KQ chart.
thanks

Hello Mkate_nusu
KQ is at a strategic place("on the run way") on the chart indicating sky is the limit.
Technical reasons.
1. Price in the Golden zone
2. Price has just reacted on a very strong demand zone.(check my chart)
3. Presence of a hidden divergence- denoting continuation on the prior rally
4. Very little volume during the correction.
5. Low of 4.6 might have achieved wave 2.
The list goes on and on. Enough of this... let us look at the chart

expectation
If this is wave 2 then
Wave 3 = either 1.62 x length of Wave 1(10.4)
or 2.62 x length of Wave 1(14.8)
or 4.25 x length of Wave 1(22)
The most common multiples are 1.62 and 2.62. However, if the 3rd Wave is an extended wave, then 2.62 and 4.25 ratios are more common.
Hope this is helpful.
best wishes.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

Price has started respecting your chart Applause Applause Let's watch out for the 10.4 target going forward smile

let us see how market dance. I won't be surprised if I see KQ spike from weekly demand zone. If that does not happen we enjoy the flight. One of the fundamental truth about trading is, "Anything can happen".
best wishes

for our beloved friends who can't see the plane but can hear the sound, all is not lost. DO NOT RUN AFTER THE MARKET. Technically, we might come down to pick anyone willing to go with us. When? I don't know.
What I know is that the following has happened.
1. bearish momentum trend line broken.
2. demand zone created between 4.95-4.75. (this can be the lowest KQ might come to)
3. price currently within a thick "kumo"/cloud. Turbulence is expected. They say it is better to fly over or below the clouds. Do I sound like a pilot. ... he he he. just kidding
In the meantime enjoy the ride (if in this flight)
best wishes

I am not surprised. playing out as expected
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Spikes
#716 Posted : Tuesday, February 28, 2017 3:48:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Metasploit wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
karasinga wrote:
NIC:
SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS
prior analysis here
monthly

weekly

daily

it is good to be all round
best wishes


Volumes have been checking in just before market close to clear supply


Today all supply wiped out at close of trading to have a high of 29.25 and VWAP of 28.75!

From the low of 20 a week ago this is close to 50% gains..

Watch the banking stocks

##Barclays,my tape,closes at 9.00

Nice move... bulls. Give us a close above 35 and we will be happy traders/investors.
best wishes.


NIC Closes with a peak of 31.5 and a VWAP of 30.5...As usual heavy volumes traded just before close of trade
Almost 60% returns within a two week period

low volumes in coop,equity,hfck

Good volumes in KCB with 97% net foreign purchases

No excitement on CFC

##Watching keenly the market behaviour from next week

Are we expecting fundies this week to complete rally to 35/- ? NIC bank opened the week on a low mood. I don't know what is in the cards of market makers.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, February 28, 2017 3:49 PM | Reason: Not specified
bartum
#717 Posted : Tuesday, February 28, 2017 9:42:30 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
Market breaks again below 3000, which way now for techies
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winmak
#718 Posted : Tuesday, February 28, 2017 9:55:36 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/1/2007
Posts: 539
Location: Nakuru
Green monster pulling the index down
For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
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bartum
#719 Posted : Tuesday, February 28, 2017 10:11:09 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
winmak wrote:
Green monster pulling the index down

Hope it continues sliding
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karasinga
#720 Posted : Wednesday, March 01, 2017 6:33:53 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
bartum wrote:
Market breaks again below 3000, which way now for techies

Hello bartum. kindly find my opinion. Technically, NSE 20 share index might plunge south.

I welcome fundamental gurus to give their opinion. Do not forget banks might trigger this.
Just my opinion.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, March 01, 2017 6:55 AM | Reason: Not specified
196 Pages«<7071727374>»
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