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directional forecast
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karasinga
#611 Posted : Tuesday, February 07, 2017 6:51:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
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ARAP CHARLES
#612 Posted : Tuesday, February 07, 2017 6:58:08 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/30/2016
Posts: 217
Location: Talai
karasinga wrote:
AndyC wrote:

I keep waiting for some excitement in this market. Loosing or winning is Okay with me, its the boredom that bothers meAnxious Anxious

Hello AndyC. Stocks are boring especially in a bear market. Could be it is time you look at the other markets which will not only excite you but raise all the "demons" in you either to or against your favor. smile
best wishes.

Another critical issue is when is this Bull. By exiting it means you fully prepared with the conseqences of the market. if your stock still has value.. can you exit!? if no.. please stay put!!!!! my 2cents...
Watch and Listen and Live
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karasinga
#613 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 8:01:36 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
THOUGHT OF THE DAY:
"As long as you are susceptible to the lands of errors that are the result of rationalizing, justifying, hesitating, hoping, and jumping the gun, you will not be able to trust yourself. If you can't trust yourself to be objective and to always act in your own best interests, achieving consistent results will be next to impossible. Trying to do something that looks so simple may well be the most exasperating thing you will ever attempt to do. The irony is that, when you have the appropriate attitude, when you have acquired a "trader's mind-set" and can remain confident in the face of constant uncertainty, trading will be as easy and simple as you probably thought it was when you first started out".
just re-read and think about it.
best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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karasinga
#614 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 6:19:59 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
muandiwambeu wrote:

Well done so far @karas. Mind a review ofwhat is eabl, britam and SAfcom doing of late?

welcome muandiwambeu.
I don't mind. Will post the reviews. In my humble opinion, do not engage SCOM unless price is between 17.5 and 18. More details to follow. In the meantime check page 17 post 322. feel free to post. cheers mate.

SCOM UPDATE:

Almost there... Whistle let the market come to us

update. two expectation already met. waiting patiently for the last one...

Potential last small downward wave. expecting fireworks on the volume data box Anxious
baby steps....

prepare your soldiers to buy value. Our target still valid but do you due diligence. I wont be surprised if I see spikes of volume or price or both(as from today 5th January 2017). cheers mates

Watching the price action intraday. Wide demand spread between 17.10 and 18.70. The market is giving a nice signal while testing for supply...

25M shares traded today. 9.52M bid at 18.50 checks in as trading session comes to a close. Foreigners on the bid side.

This might be the first new year's gift. More to follow. Actually +28M VOLUME traded by close of business. Squinting at 18 and power of pivot.

@ hisah.a quick newbie like question. how do you tell foreigners are on the bid side?
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

so... this is how giants bottom out.... slowly but for sure. check power of pivots... best wishes

for us who are conservative, these are technical reasons why I think scom is a good buy now.
1. bearish momentum trendline broken
2. has taken out immediate supply zone between 19 and 19.05
3. now SCOM is in the weekly demand zone(17.8 and 18.15
best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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karasinga
#615 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 7:09:48 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
LESSON OF THE DAY:
Allow me to use the Newtons fundamental laws of motion to explain trends and what happens to them. These laws are easily found on Google. I just picked the first link on a google search.

Newtons first law of motion: Every object in a state of uniform motion tends to remain in that state of motion unless an external force is applied to it.

Newtons first law of motion adapted to Trends: Every Trend in a state of uniform motion tends to remain in that state of motion until an external force (An opposing larger timeframe zone) is applied to it.

The reason a lot of traders say trade in the direction of the trend is because trends do obey this first law a trend will continue in its current direction hence the view that the trend is a friend.
A trend will continue in its current direction UNTIL the bend at the end comes when this trend reaches an opposing LARGER timeframe zone, for example, a downtrend on a weekly chart reaching a monthly demand zone; or a daily uptrend reaching a weekly supply zone. (copy pasted from another thread)
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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karasinga
#616 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 10:51:37 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
KQ(as on 23rd jan 2017 @ 1545hrs)
technically on the runway

best wishes
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

Nobody will believe you.. Only me, myself and I

Not talking
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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karasinga
#617 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 12:53:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Karasinga
Kengen is the biggest gainer in the week.How do you explain its wave pattern.

this is keno thread. kindly check here. Other 2 possibilities might be playing out. Will give my opinion later.
best wishes

Update:
hello Ericsson. kindly find reasons why I think KEGN is too expensive for us and we should wait to buy value.

hope this is helpful
note: remember disclaimer
best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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karasinga
#618 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 1:21:51 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
SANLAM:

@muandiwambeu:
This counter seem to be extremely oversold but still bearish and may not go south without a retracement. The retracement might be small to around 33 and then shortly another leg down(which might be the last leg) to the following potential targets:
1= 26
2= 22.6(most probable)
3= 13.1
hope this helps
baby steps...

SANLAM update:
after sanlam withdrew earlier profit warning after review of liabilities, chances are this might play out

best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, February 10, 2017 1:26 PM | Reason: Not specified
mkate_nusu
#619 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 5:40:29 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/30/2016
Posts: 332
Location: Kayole
@karasinga please post any developments on KQ chart.
thanks
KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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karasinga
#620 Posted : Sunday, February 12, 2017 7:35:59 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
mkate_nusu wrote:
@karasinga please post any developments on KQ chart.
thanks

Hello Mkate_nusu
KQ is at a strategic place("on the run way") on the chart indicating sky is the limit.
Technical reasons.
1. Price in the Golden zone
2. Price has just reacted on a very strong demand zone.(check my chart)
3. Presence of a hidden divergence- denoting continuation on the prior rally
4. Very little volume during the correction.
5. Low of 4.6 might have achieved wave 2.
The list goes on and on. Enough of this... let us look at the chart

expectation
If this is wave 2 then
Wave 3 = either 1.62 x length of Wave 1(10.4)
or 2.62 x length of Wave 1(14.8)
or 4.25 x length of Wave 1(22)
The most common multiples are 1.62 and 2.62. However, if the 3rd Wave is an extended wave, then 2.62 and 4.25 ratios are more common.
Hope this is helpful.
best wishes.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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