VVS, Let me try fundamentals. feel free to guide. still working on this.
Although BBK was not greatly affected by post interest capping effect, there is uncertainty on who it's suitor will be since parent Barclays said they will exit Africa. To top it up, banking industry might have red results not sparing BBK.

BBK isn't a fast growing bank anymore. It is restricted to Kenya [unlike Equity, I&M, NIC, DTB, etc] which is a competitive market. BBK will be affected by the general slowdown but not so much, as others, by the interest capping. That said, it has a healthy balance sheet [low NPLs] with I believe a level of NPLs that are manageable. Unlike some banks, I don't think they have a significant amount of hidden NPLs. That's why I see 4/- [pending some crazy happenings eg PEV, more price controls, etc ] as unlikely.

As for someone [Chinese/Indian/African not European/American] buying Barclays Africa... that might be good for BBK which has to operate under the Barclays PLC's regime re: risk, KYC, etc. I think the new buyer should merge all these country entities under one umbrella and cross-list "Barclays Africa" on the NSE.

hello Hobitke. nice meeting you. I am glad you found this chart helpful. To your question: yes, this is purely a directional forecast(my opinion) of how KCB might play out factoring in all the crowd greed and fear. feel free to post. best wishes

THOUGHT OF THE DAY:
"One of the differences between winners and losers is how they handle trades that goes against them. Nobody wins in every trade- everyone has to takes a loss once in a while. Winners take their losses very quickly, while lossers keep hoping and waiting for a trend to turn and bail them out. They keep getting excuses and explanation why market should turn just about now, while it continues to go against them, grinding down their equity and sapping their morale." Elder Alexander
Does it sound familiar? Who of the two are you?
best wishes

@Karasinga

I went through the thread and have not found your analysis of a few I am interested in: Stanchart, bamburi, Total and NSE. The ones I found (thank you) are Safcom, KCB, KenyaRe, BBK, Kengen, Nation Media and Sanlam.

Meanwhile I am pondering on Benjamin Graham's quote "Investing isn't about beating others at their game. It is about controlling yourself at your own game"