VVS, Let me try fundamentals. feel free to guide. still working on this.
Although BBK was not greatly affected by post interest capping effect, there is uncertainty on who it's suitor will be since parent Barclays said they will exit Africa. To top it up, banking industry might have red results not sparing BBK.

BBK isn't a fast growing bank anymore. It is restricted to Kenya [unlike Equity, I&M, NIC, DTB, etc] which is a competitive market. BBK will be affected by the general slowdown but not so much, as others, by the interest capping. That said, it has a healthy balance sheet [low NPLs] with I believe a level of NPLs that are manageable. Unlike some banks, I don't think they have a significant amount of hidden NPLs. That's why I see 4/- [pending some crazy happenings eg PEV, more price controls, etc ] as unlikely.

As for someone [Chinese/Indian/African not European/American] buying Barclays Africa... that might be good for BBK which has to operate under the Barclays PLC's regime re: risk, KYC, etc. I think the new buyer should merge all these country entities under one umbrella and cross-list "Barclays Africa" on the NSE.

hello Hobitke. nice meeting you. I am glad you found this chart helpful. To your question: yes, this is purely a directional forecast(my opinion) of how KCB might play out factoring in all the crowd greed and fear. feel free to post. best wishes

THOUGHT OF THE DAY:
"One of the differences between winners and losers is how they handle trades that goes against them. Nobody wins in every trade- everyone has to takes a loss once in a while. Winners take their losses very quickly, while lossers keep hoping and waiting for a trend to turn and bail them out. They keep getting excuses and explanation why market should turn just about now, while it continues to go against them, grinding down their equity and sapping their morale." Elder Alexander
Does it sound familiar? Who of the two are you?
best wishes

@Karasinga

I went through the thread and have not found your analysis of a few I am interested in: Stanchart, bamburi, Total and NSE. The ones I found (thank you) are Safcom, KCB, KenyaRe, BBK, Kengen, Nation Media and Sanlam.

Meanwhile I am pondering on Benjamin Graham's quote "Investing isn't about beating others at their game. It is about controlling yourself at your own game"

THOUGHT OF THE DAY:
"As long as you are susceptible to the lands of errors that are the result of rationalizing, justifying, hesitating, hoping, and jumping the gun, you will not be able to trust yourself. If you can't trust yourself to be objective and to always act in your own best interests, achieving consistent results will be next to impossible. Trying to do something that looks so simple may well be the most exasperating thing you will ever attempt to do. The irony is that, when you have the appropriate attitude, when you have acquired a "trader's mind-set" and can remain confident in the face of constant uncertainty, trading will be as easy and simple as you probably thought it was when you first started out".
just re-read and think about it.
best wishes

LESSON OF THE DAY:
Allow me to use the Newtons fundamental laws of motion to explain trends and what happens to them. These laws are easily found on Google. I just picked the first link on a google search.

Newtons first law of motion: Every object in a state of uniform motion tends to remain in that state of motion unless an external force is applied to it.

Newtons first law of motion adapted to Trends: Every Trend in a state of uniform motion tends to remain in that state of motion until an external force (An opposing larger timeframe zone) is applied to it.

The reason a lot of traders say trade in the direction of the trend is because trends do obey this first law a trend will continue in its current direction hence the view that the trend is a friend.
A trend will continue in its current direction UNTIL the bend at the end comes when this trend reaches an opposing LARGER timeframe zone, for example, a downtrend on a weekly chart reaching a monthly demand zone; or a daily uptrend reaching a weekly supply zone. (copy pasted from another thread)

Update:
hello Ericsson. kindly find reasons why I think KEGN is too expensive for us and we should wait to buy value.

hope this is helpful
note: remember disclaimer
best wishes

@karasinga please post any developments on KQ chart.
thanks