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Uhuru versus Raila 2017
Bigchick
#121 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 10:46:56 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
kaka2za wrote:
maka wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
Using today's IEBC data and assuming ;

*Similar Voter Turnout as 2013 (Av.86%)

*Similar Voting Pattern as 2013

*Similar Invalid Votes cast as 2013 (0.9%)

*The 210K votes garned by Karua,Dinda,Kiyapi,Muite,PK still remain under Others.


Findings according to my goggles

* Uhuru Kenyatta fails to meet 50%+1 against Others (All Other Candidates + Invalid Votes)

* Uhuru Kenyatta meets the 50%+1 against Others (All Other Candidates - Invalid Votes) - This is the calculation upheld by the SCOK.

* Uhuru Kenyatta's main challenger is 50%+1 and not NASA.

* Tyranny of numbers still exist.


IEBC DATA
IEBC Data as at 31st Jan


Disclaimer:
Yes, you guessed right, I am Jubilated! smile
Now you can use the data and using your goggles too, create your own scenarios as you believe them; where has the ground changed, who will experience voter apathy, who has more dead voters in their stronghold, whose potential voters will be knocked off by the pending Register Audit, who will turn the tables in the last 2 weeks of MVR II....etc




If we have another 5 years of Jubilee we will have no country....bure kabisa


This will be most likely scenario in the first round of voting.
1.UMK....... 45%
2.RAO........36%
3.Watermelon..17%
4. Others......2%



Wild guess ama?
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
Cornelius Vanderbilt
#122 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 10:56:49 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/15/2015
Posts: 817
again kiambu never disappoints in voter registration.
ZZE123
#123 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 11:20:18 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/21/2008
Posts: 2,490
kaka2za wrote:
maka wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
Using today's IEBC data and assuming ;

*Similar Voter Turnout as 2013 (Av.86%)

*Similar Voting Pattern as 2013

*Similar Invalid Votes cast as 2013 (0.9%)

*The 210K votes garned by Karua,Dinda,Kiyapi,Muite,PK still remain under Others.


Findings according to my goggles

* Uhuru Kenyatta fails to meet 50%+1 against Others (All Other Candidates + Invalid Votes)

* Uhuru Kenyatta meets the 50%+1 against Others (All Other Candidates - Invalid Votes) - This is the calculation upheld by the SCOK.

* Uhuru Kenyatta's main challenger is 50%+1 and not NASA.

* Tyranny of numbers still exist.


IEBC DATA
IEBC Data as at 31st Jan


Disclaimer:
Yes, you guessed right, I am Jubilated! smile
Now you can use the data and using your goggles too, create your own scenarios as you believe them; where has the ground changed, who will experience voter apathy, who has more dead voters in their stronghold, whose potential voters will be knocked off by the pending Register Audit, who will turn the tables in the last 2 weeks of MVR II....etc




If we have another 5 years of Jubilee we will have no country....bure kabisa


This will be most likely scenario in the first round of voting.
1.UMK....... 45%
2.RAO........36%
3.Watermelon..17%
4. Others......2%


17%???? Not a chance
The man who marries a beautiful woman, and the farmer who grows corn by the roadside have the same problem
madollar
#124 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 11:21:21 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,038
Location: GA
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
again kiambu never disappoints in voter registration.

If the trend continues it might have equal number of registered voters with the entire western counties combined.But the million dollar question why the apathy in CORD strongholds a place like siaya is doing 20% na Hapa ndio nyumbani kwa baba what will they do to make wananchi to come out and register that they have not done in the last 2 weeks.
kaka2za
#125 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 11:21:48 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/3/2008
Posts: 4,057
Location: Gwitu
Bigchick wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
maka wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
Using today's IEBC data and assuming ;

*Similar Voter Turnout as 2013 (Av.86%)

*Similar Voting Pattern as 2013

*Similar Invalid Votes cast as 2013 (0.9%)

*The 210K votes garned by Karua,Dinda,Kiyapi,Muite,PK still remain under Others.


Findings according to my goggles

* Uhuru Kenyatta fails to meet 50%+1 against Others (All Other Candidates + Invalid Votes)

* Uhuru Kenyatta meets the 50%+1 against Others (All Other Candidates - Invalid Votes) - This is the calculation upheld by the SCOK.

* Uhuru Kenyatta's main challenger is 50%+1 and not NASA.

* Tyranny of numbers still exist.


IEBC DATA
IEBC Data as at 31st Jan


Disclaimer:
Yes, you guessed right, I am Jubilated! smile
Now you can use the data and using your goggles too, create your own scenarios as you believe them; where has the ground changed, who will experience voter apathy, who has more dead voters in their stronghold, whose potential voters will be knocked off by the pending Register Audit, who will turn the tables in the last 2 weeks of MVR II....etc




If we have another 5 years of Jubilee we will have no country....bure kabisa


This will be most likely scenario in the first round of voting.
1.UMK....... 45%
2.RAO........36%
3.Watermelon..17%
4. Others......2%



Wild guess ama?


According to our local Mundu-mugo smile
Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
Lolest!
#126 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 11:26:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
madollar wrote:
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
again kiambu never disappoints in voter registration.

If the trend continues it might have equal number of registered voters with the entire western counties combined.But the million dollar question why the apathy in CORD strongholds a place like siaya is doing 20% na Hapa ndio nyumbani kwa baba what will they do to make wananchi to come out and register that they have not done in the last 2 weeks.

They are getting tired or giving up. You vote a guy thrice yet he doesn't get the big seat.
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
Njung'e
#127 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 11:39:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
ZZE123 wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
[quote=maka][quote=Shotgun]


This will be most likely scenario in the first round of voting.
1.UMK....... 45%
2.RAO........36%
[b]3.Watermelon..17%

4. Others......2%


17%???? Not a chance


ShotGun is devastated and very sorry. He meant 1 point 7 (1.7% for Salome Kalonzo)smile
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
Bigchick
#128 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 11:45:55 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
madollar wrote:
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
again kiambu never disappoints in voter registration.

If the trend continues it might have equal number of registered voters with the entire western counties combined.But the million dollar question why the apathy in CORD strongholds a place like siaya is doing 20% na Hapa ndio nyumbani kwa baba what will they do to make wananchi to come out and register that they have not done in the last 2 weeks.




Babas chorus of imeiibiwa tayari gives them little hope.So they do not see the need to register and voter turnout will be worse. Baba should look to give people hope not cry baby stories everyday.

Another issue could be the pressing issue of hunger/drought.

Lastly a hypothsis..."the people of Siaya are tired of voting for a perenial loser"It emotionally drains them.Remember that guy who cried on National TV and said Ata Siaya/ Kisumu si Kenya.So they will not register and will not vote.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
Liv
#129 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 11:49:30 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/14/2006
Posts: 1,311
My guess:
Some of Rao's followers believed his story....that the election is already rigged as it has been done previously.... and it's hard for him to win.... So why bother registering as a voter?

That's why Raila's message recently has been.... "we now have a system that will ensure no rigging takes place".... trying to give assurance so that people from his strongholds can register as voters.

But this message is coming too late in the day when many people are convinced....it is rigged and will always be rigged.
washiku
#130 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 11:58:47 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/9/2007
Posts: 13,095
Njung'e wrote:
ZZE123 wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
[quote=maka][quote=Shotgun]


This will be most likely scenario in the first round of voting.
1.UMK....... 45%
2.RAO........36%
[b]3.Watermelon..17%

4. Others......2%


17%???? Not a chance


ShotGun is devastated and very sorry. He meant 1 point 7 (1.7% for Salome Kalonzo)smile


Lol...ati SALOME?
KulaRaha
#131 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 4:15:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
IEBC DATABASE INFILTRATED AND COMPROMISED:
Today, we are here to demonstrate that the IEBC is currently registering foreigners and strangers to vote in the August 2017 election.
We have unearthed serious anomalies in the on-going voter registration that bring to questions the integrity of the register being compiled and the figures being released by the IEBC.
Our investigation has confirmed that numbers that do not qualify as identity card numbers have been used to register voters in parts of the country and that is responsible for what is being presented as high turnout in voter registration in those regions.
A random check shows that the following numbers have been used as national identification cards to register voters.
0 00 1 2 11 12 231 111 20 21
22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 40
The IEBC database has been manipulated to ensure that the cell that has the document identification number can take any numbers instead of the eight (8) numerical national ID or seven numbers if a passport is used.
Having designed that cell as such makes it easy for IEBC to be complicit and difficult for anyone to know.
Below is a list of 8 people registered in the IEBC registry as voters using the identification document number 2 (as the national identification number.)
Identification Document Number Surname Family Name First Name
2 Gitonga Wilson Kimathii
2 Kanja Julius Ngede
2 Kihinge Evans Kariuki
2 Kirinya Victoria Gatwiri
2 Mu Ko
2 Mugara Duncan
2 Muia Mbinya
2 Wanjiru Caroline Nduta
We have information that the doctoring of the IEBC registration software was done intentionally by former employees of IEBC who are aliened to Jubilee as a way to ensure Jubilee strongholds register more voters.
The manipulation was done to ensure that single digit number such as the ones listed above can be used to register foreigners or even those without IDs.
But it is also possible that the names popping up under the fake ID numbers may be non-existent. These could be virtual voters, non-existent human beings being included in the IEBC register to create room for ballot stuffing during elections.
Information in our possession is that the doctoring exercise is currently being carried out in homes of a senior government official and the office of a former cabinet secretary.
The numbers above are only a drop in the ocean. The total number of people registered in the IEBC database using different combinations is estimated to be in the thousands.
A visit to any registration centre countrywide will reveal the above scandal is being carried out in a central location so long as one has the BVR kit linked to the IEBC database.
The IEBC must come clean on this matter. But not just that. These developments mean the audit and cleaning of the register is mandatory and has to be extremely thorough.
RT HON RAILA ODINGA
FEBRUARY 1 2017.

https://www.facebook.com.../posts/10154932872152170
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
washiku
#132 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 4:16:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/9/2007
Posts: 13,095

KulaRaha
#133 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 4:31:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
KulaRaha
#134 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 4:32:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Bigchick
#135 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 4:56:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
KulaRaha wrote:



That statement is not entire true.My parents IDs are 7 digits

How did the voter registration clerks just key in 2 digits??

Desperation has begun to set in and causing chaos might be the only solution.I pray am wrong.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
thuks
#136 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 5:20:44 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/8/2008
Posts: 1,575
Bigchick wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:



That statement is not entire true.My parents IDs are 7 digits

How did the voter registration clerks just key in 2 digits??

Desperation has begun to set in and causing chaos might be the only solution.I pray am wrong.


Kwanza ile majina inatokelezeainatokelezea: Mu Ko, Ngede Laughing out loudly
I care!
Nandwa
#137 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 5:26:53 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 1,049
KulaRaha wrote:
IEBC DATABASE INFILTRATED AND COMPROMISED:
Today, we are here to demonstrate that the IEBC is currently registering foreigners and strangers to vote in the August 2017 election.
We have unearthed serious anomalies in the on-going voter registration that bring to questions the integrity of the register being compiled and the figures being released by the IEBC.
Our investigation has confirmed that numbers that do not qualify as identity card numbers have been used to register voters in parts of the country and that is responsible for what is being presented as high turnout in voter registration in those regions.
A random check shows that the following numbers have been used as national identification cards to register voters.
0 00 1 2 11 12 231 111 20 21
22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 40
The IEBC database has been manipulated to ensure that the cell that has the document identification number can take any numbers instead of the eight (8) numerical national ID or seven numbers if a passport is used.
Having designed that cell as such makes it easy for IEBC to be complicit and difficult for anyone to know.
Below is a list of 8 people registered in the IEBC registry as voters using the identification document number 2 (as the national identification number.)
Identification Document Number Surname Family Name First Name
2 Gitonga Wilson Kimathii
2 Kanja Julius Ngede
2 Kihinge Evans Kariuki
2 Kirinya Victoria Gatwiri
2 Mu Ko
2 Mugara Duncan
2 Muia Mbinya
2 Wanjiru Caroline Nduta
We have information that the doctoring of the IEBC registration software was done intentionally by former employees of IEBC who are aliened to Jubilee as a way to ensure Jubilee strongholds register more voters.
The manipulation was done to ensure that single digit number such as the ones listed above can be used to register foreigners or even those without IDs.
But it is also possible that the names popping up under the fake ID numbers may be non-existent. These could be virtual voters, non-existent human beings being included in the IEBC register to create room for ballot stuffing during elections.
Information in our possession is that the doctoring exercise is currently being carried out in homes of a senior government official and the office of a former cabinet secretary.
The numbers above are only a drop in the ocean. The total number of people registered in the IEBC database using different combinations is estimated to be in the thousands.
A visit to any registration centre countrywide will reveal the above scandal is being carried out in a central location so long as one has the BVR kit linked to the IEBC database.
The IEBC must come clean on this matter. But not just that. These developments mean the audit and cleaning of the register is mandatory and has to be extremely thorough.
RT HON RAILA ODINGA
FEBRUARY 1 2017.

https://www.facebook.com...posts/10154932872152170


Is this RAO or a phantom!

Otherwise the details seem too far fetched
Just as absolute power corrupts leaders, so does absolute fanaticism blind the people from logic
Njung'e
#138 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 5:43:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

It's as if some people would drop dead if they skipped crying for a day. Is there medicine for such? Asking for a friendsmile
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
Swenani
#139 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 5:56:02 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,237
Location: Vacuum
[quote=KulaRaha]IEBC DATABASE INFILTRATED AND COMPROMISED:
Today, we are here to demonstrate that the IEBC is currently registering foreigners and strangers to vote in the August 2017 election.
We have unearthed serious anomalies in the on-going voter registration that bring to questions the integrity of the register being compiled and the figures being released by the IEBC.
Our investigation has confirmed that numbers that do not qualify as identity card numbers have been used to register voters in parts of the country and that is responsible for what is being presented as high turnout in voter registration in those regions.
A random check shows that the following numbers have been used as national identification cards to register voters.
0 00 1 2 11 12 231 111 20 21
22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 40
The IEBC database has been manipulated to ensure that the cell that has the document identification number can take any numbers instead of the eight (8) numerical national ID or seven numbers if a passport is used.
Having designed that cell as such makes it easy for IEBC to be complicit and difficult for anyone to know.
Below is a list of 8 people registered in the IEBC registry as voters using the identification document number 2 (as the national identification number.)
Identification Document Number Surname Family Name First Name
2 Gitonga Wilson Kimathii
2 Kanja Julius Ngede
2 Kihinge Evans Kariuki
2 Kirinya Victoria Gatwiri
2 Mu Ko
2 Mugara Duncan
2 Muia Mbinya
2 Wanjiru Caroline Nduta
We have information that the doctoring of the IEBC registration software was done intentionally by former employees of IEBC who are aliened to Jubilee as a way to ensure Jubilee strongholds register more voters.
The manipulation was done to ensure that single digit number such as the ones listed above can be used to register foreigners or even those without IDs.
But it is also possible that the names popping up under the fake ID numbers may be non-existent. These could be virtual voters, non-existent human beings being included in the IEBC register to create room for ballot stuffing during elections.
Information in our possession is that the doctoring exercise is currently being carried out in homes of a senior government official and the office of a former cabinet secretary.
The numbers above are only a drop in the ocean. The total number of people registered in the IEBC database using different combinations is estimated to be in the thousands.
A visit to any registration centre countrywide will reveal the above scandal is being carried out in a central location so long as one has the BVR kit linked to the IEBC database.
The IEBC must come clean on this matter. But not just that. These developments mean the audit and cleaning of the register is mandatory and has to be extremely thorough.
RT HON RAILA ODINGA
FEBRUARY 1 2017.

https://www.facebook.com...posts/10154932872152170[/quote]
@Masukuma Pray Pray Pray Pray
If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
Bigchick
#140 Posted : Wednesday, February 01, 2017 5:56:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
Njung'e wrote:
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

It's as if some people would drop dead if they skipped crying for a day. Is there medicine for such? Asking for a friendsmile



Anyhow.Lets wait and see.We were told if Babu says your 70 year old mom is pregnant,then be ready to welcome a sibling.He is always right.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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