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directional forecast
hisah
#501 Posted : Friday, January 06, 2017 3:04:40 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
muandiwambeu wrote:

Well done so far @karas. Mind a review ofwhat is eabl, britam and SAfcom doing of late?

welcome muandiwambeu.
I don't mind. Will post the reviews. In my humble opinion, do not engage SCOM unless price is between 17.5 and 18. More details to follow. In the meantime check page 17 post 322. feel free to post. cheers mate.

SCOM UPDATE:

Almost there... Whistle let the market come to us

update. two expectation already met. waiting patiently for the last one...

Potential last small downward wave. expecting fireworks on the volume data box Anxious
baby steps....

prepare your soldiers to buy value. Our target still valid but do you due diligence. I wont be surprised if I see spikes of volume or price or both(as from today 5th January 2017). cheers mates

DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis


Watching the price action intraday. Wide demand spread between 17.10 and 18.70. The market is giving a nice signal while testing for supply...

25M shares traded today. 9.52M bid at 18.50 checks in as trading session comes to a close. Foreigners on the bid side.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karasinga
#502 Posted : Saturday, January 07, 2017 10:52:50 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
muandiwambeu wrote:

Well done so far @karas. Mind a review ofwhat is eabl, britam and SAfcom doing of late?

welcome muandiwambeu.
I don't mind. Will post the reviews. In my humble opinion, do not engage SCOM unless price is between 17.5 and 18. More details to follow. In the meantime check page 17 post 322. feel free to post. cheers mate.

SCOM UPDATE:

Almost there... Whistle let the market come to us

update. two expectation already met. waiting patiently for the last one...

Potential last small downward wave. expecting fireworks on the volume data box Anxious
baby steps....

prepare your soldiers to buy value. Our target still valid but do you due diligence. I wont be surprised if I see spikes of volume or price or both(as from today 5th January 2017). cheers mates

Watching the price action intraday. Wide demand spread between 17.10 and 18.70. The market is giving a nice signal while testing for supply...

25M shares traded today. 9.52M bid at 18.50 checks in as trading session comes to a close. Foreigners on the bid side.

This might be the first new year's gift. More to follow. Actually +28M VOLUME traded by close of business. Squinting at 18 and power of pivot.

@ hisah.a quick newbie like question. how do you tell foreigners are on the bid side?
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
Ericsson
#503 Posted : Saturday, January 07, 2017 11:41:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,703
Location: NAIROBI
According to yesterday analysis we had the highest foreign inflow into the stock market in five months
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
karasinga
#504 Posted : Tuesday, January 10, 2017 8:10:23 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
snipermnoma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
EQT

I reserve my comments(for this counter) until EQT prints around 19.5

I learnt from KEGN to always include all possibilities. An opportunity to go long labelled on the chart.

other than capping of interest rate, do we have ANY other fundamentals that might make EQT test 10? just thinking roundlyThink
criticism/comments and opinions are highly welcomed.
baby steps...
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis



At this point I am not aware of any fundamentals that make EQT test 10. However depending on how adversely Q4 is affected by rate cap 21 could be tested.

come baby come
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
wukan
#505 Posted : Tuesday, January 10, 2017 10:23:07 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,597
karasinga wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
EQT

I reserve my comments(for this counter) until EQT prints around 19.5

I learnt from KEGN to always include all possibilities. An opportunity to go long labelled on the chart.

other than capping of interest rate, do we have ANY other fundamentals that might make EQT test 10? just thinking roundlyThink
criticism/comments and opinions are highly welcomed.
baby steps...
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis



At this point I am not aware of any fundamentals that make EQT test 10. However depending on how adversely Q4 is affected by rate cap 21 could be tested.

come baby come


The fundamentals are shaping up nicely, watch as the credit crunch gathers pace, you will see the value-destruction.
karasinga
#506 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2017 2:29:49 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
EABL
East African Breweries Ltd Ord 2.00 broke below the downside support level of 263.50, 8 day ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 263.50 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was neither extremely heavy nor extremely light--providing no convincing evidence either way as to the validity of the breakout.


in terms of structural analysis, EABL achieved a HL @ C and so the overall expectation is a NSL.
baby steps..

watching
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#507 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 8:20:18 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
an interesting personal observation.
"All banks are correlated".
If expecting EQT to drop so should any other bank. I can't imagine my broker telling me COOP is a good buy now...
stay safe.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#508 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 11:27:09 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
NMG UPDATE.
I think prior analysis still stands. Timing will be critical to avoid a painful situation.

hope this helps
baby steps...

okay...... looks like this might be a good year. any fundamentals?
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
hisah
#509 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 12:02:14 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
NMG UPDATE.
I think prior analysis still stands. Timing will be critical to avoid a painful situation.

hope this helps
baby steps...

okay...... looks like this might a good year

GFC lows here we are... smile

Is there such a term like oversold on oversold Think
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
muandiwambeu
#510 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 12:10:56 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
karasinga wrote:
an interesting personal observation.
"All banks are correlated".
If expecting EQT to drop so should any other bank. I can't imagine my broker telling me COOP is a good buy now...
stay safe.

Do exactly the opposite or stay put. Desperately trapped big fish seeking an exit. The broker does not work for you my friend. Run, and never to look back until this mbarathure is done with his advents in breaking wind or you will be forced it swim in it.
My long learnt view is
1. Ppt has failed and carefully scrutiny on TA will give you that observation.
2. Limited time for ppt/ pump and dump to allow distribution hence immediate need for exit coz all buzzers are about to to red. That's a rolling stone for you from a reliable source step aside until the dust settles. Somebody soundeda bell/ warned you earlier and confirmations are here.
Demand created by advert will appear very normal and may pass TA radar screens.d'oh! Sad Drool Pray
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
karasinga
#511 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 1:11:47 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
NMG UPDATE.
I think prior analysis still stands. Timing will be critical to avoid a painful situation.

hope this helps
baby steps...

okay...... looks like this might be a good year

GFC lows here we are... smile

Is there such a term like oversold on oversold Think

he he hee. could be extremely oversold. feel like mortgaging the house or sell the farm smile . do your due diligence.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
muandiwambeu
#512 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 3:24:05 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
EABL
East African Breweries Ltd Ord 2.00 broke below the downside support level of 263.50, 8 day ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 263.50 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was neither extremely heavy nor extremely light--providing no convincing evidence either way as to the validity of the breakout.


in terms of structural analysis, EABL achieved a HL @ C and so the overall expectation is a NSL.
baby steps..

watching

Qaution, qaution. Did NDiego interest laced many billions loan get paid. Hapa hakukaliki. Since NDiego came inside into this, happiness became elusive and joy will be celebrated after labour pains are over. Taking a loan is like Christmas servicing the same is hell on earth, kulipa ni matanga. Working hard to pay Diego here, so @karas hapa nikujikaza kisabuni. Very high potentially dilutive madeni ndio mingi, tena sana.walevi waende clubbing tena zaidi kwanza madeni ndio ilipwe.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
obiero
#513 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 6:01:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,568
Location: nairobi
muandiwambeu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
EABL
East African Breweries Ltd Ord 2.00 broke below the downside support level of 263.50, 8 day ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 263.50 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was neither extremely heavy nor extremely light--providing no convincing evidence either way as to the validity of the breakout.


in terms of structural analysis, EABL achieved a HL @ C and so the overall expectation is a NSL.
baby steps..

watching

Qaution, qaution. Did NDiego interest laced many billions loan get paid. Hapa hakukaliki. Since NDiego came inside into this, happiness became elusive and joy will be celebrated after labour pains are over. Taking a loan is like Christmas servicing the same is hell on earth, kulipa ni matanga. Working hard to pay Diego here, so @karas hapa nikujikaza kisabuni. Very high potentially dilutive madeni ndio mingi, tena sana.walevi waende clubbing tena zaidi kwanza madeni ndio ilipwe.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Yassers list features this one for over 1 year

COOP 70,000 ABP 15.20; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
karasinga
#514 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 6:09:44 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
obiero wrote:
muandiwambeu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
EABL
East African Breweries Ltd Ord 2.00 broke below the downside support level of 263.50, 8 day ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 263.50 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was neither extremely heavy nor extremely light--providing no convincing evidence either way as to the validity of the breakout.


in terms of structural analysis, EABL achieved a HL @ C and so the overall expectation is a NSL.
baby steps..

watching

Qaution, qaution. Did NDiego interest laced many billions loan get paid. Hapa hakukaliki. Since NDiego came inside into this, happiness became elusive and joy will be celebrated after labour pains are over. Taking a loan is like Christmas servicing the same is hell on earth, kulipa ni matanga. Working hard to pay Diego here, so @karas hapa nikujikaza kisabuni. Very high potentially dilutive madeni ndio mingi, tena sana.walevi waende clubbing tena zaidi kwanza madeni ndio ilipwe.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Yassers list features this one for over 1 year

you guys have made my day.... will take heed. Most recent update to follow. best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#515 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 6:49:08 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
muandiwambeu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
an interesting personal observation.
"All banks are correlated".
If expecting EQT to drop so should any other bank. I can't imagine my broker telling me COOP is a good buy now...
stay safe.

Do exactly the opposite or stay put. Desperately trapped big fish seeking an exit. The broker does not work for you my friend. Run, and never to look back until this mbarathure is done with his advents in breaking wind or you will be forced it swim in it.
My long learnt view is
1. Ppt has failed and carefully scrutiny on TA will give you that observation.
2. Limited time for ppt/ pump and dump to allow distribution hence immediate need for exit coz all buzzers are about to to red. That's a rolling stone for you from a reliable source step aside until the dust settles. Somebody soundeda bell/ warned you earlier and confirmations are here.
Demand created by advert will appear very normal and may pass TA radar screens.d'oh! Sad Drool Pray

I no longer listen any broker and their recommendations anymore. When I was very green they "monolized" (if you understand what I mean) me twice (my thinking then was I got the best advice from a "investment advisor") which led to my study. It is true they don't have investor's interest at heart. Currently very fearfully of banking sector. hope no newbie is being dragged into this. cheers mate.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#516 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 9:32:46 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
muandiwambeu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
EABL
East African Breweries Ltd Ord 2.00 broke below the downside support level of 263.50, 8 day ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 263.50 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was neither extremely heavy nor extremely light--providing no convincing evidence either way as to the validity of the breakout.


in terms of structural analysis, EABL achieved a HL @ C and so the overall expectation is a NSL.
baby steps..

watching

Qaution, qaution. Did NDiego interest laced many billions loan get paid. Hapa hakukaliki. Since NDiego came inside into this, happiness became elusive and joy will be celebrated after labour pains are over. Taking a loan is like Christmas servicing the same is hell on earth, kulipa ni matanga. Working hard to pay Diego here, so @karas hapa nikujikaza kisabuni. Very high potentially dilutive madeni ndio mingi, tena sana.walevi waende clubbing tena zaidi kwanza madeni ndio ilipwe.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Yassers list features this one for over 1 year

you guys have made my day.... will take heed. Most recent update to follow. best wishes

EABL UPDATE
kindly find my thoughts on the chart.

there might be an opportunity here to exploit.
baby steps
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#517 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 9:36:30 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#518 Posted : Friday, January 13, 2017 2:56:29 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
MSC update.
you guys know I dont like doing this(reporting should have , could have and might haves done this or that), I like being before the market coz this tests my analysis and make me learn where I went wrong contrary to use of hindsight(which is always right 20/20). I am posting this purely on this premises. see what is on my chart and do your due deligence.

stay safe. baby steps...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#519 Posted : Tuesday, January 17, 2017 3:30:16 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
muandiwambeu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
EABL
East African Breweries Ltd Ord 2.00 broke below the downside support level of 263.50, 8 day ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 263.50 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was neither extremely heavy nor extremely light--providing no convincing evidence either way as to the validity of the breakout.


in terms of structural analysis, EABL achieved a HL @ C and so the overall expectation is a NSL.
baby steps..

watching

Qaution, qaution. Did NDiego interest laced many billions loan get paid. Hapa hakukaliki. Since NDiego came inside into this, happiness became elusive and joy will be celebrated after labour pains are over. Taking a loan is like Christmas servicing the same is hell on earth, kulipa ni matanga. Working hard to pay Diego here, so @karas hapa nikujikaza kisabuni. Very high potentially dilutive madeni ndio mingi, tena sana.walevi waende clubbing tena zaidi kwanza madeni ndio ilipwe.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Yassers list features this one for over 1 year

you guys have made my day.... will take heed. Most recent update to follow. best wishes

EABL UPDATE
kindly find my thoughts on the chart.

there might be an opportunity here to exploit.
baby steps

looking at ~17% gain. cheers mate
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#520 Posted : Thursday, January 19, 2017 3:06:12 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
muandiwambeu wrote:

Well done so far @karas. Mind a review ofwhat is eabl, britam and SAfcom doing of late?

welcome muandiwambeu.
I don't mind. Will post the reviews. In my humble opinion, do not engage SCOM unless price is between 17.5 and 18. More details to follow. In the meantime check page 17 post 322. feel free to post. cheers mate.

SCOM UPDATE:

Almost there... Whistle let the market come to us

update. two expectation already met. waiting patiently for the last one...

Potential last small downward wave. expecting fireworks on the volume data box Anxious
baby steps....

prepare your soldiers to buy value. Our target still valid but do you due diligence. I wont be surprised if I see spikes of volume or price or both(as from today 5th January 2017). cheers mates

Watching the price action intraday. Wide demand spread between 17.10 and 18.70. The market is giving a nice signal while testing for supply...

25M shares traded today. 9.52M bid at 18.50 checks in as trading session comes to a close. Foreigners on the bid side.

This might be the first new year's gift. More to follow. Actually +28M VOLUME traded by close of business. Squinting at 18 and power of pivot.

@ hisah.a quick newbie like question. how do you tell foreigners are on the bid side?
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

so... this is how giants bottom out.... slowly but for sure. check power of pivots... best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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