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directional forecast
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karasinga
#461 Posted : Wednesday, December 07, 2016 7:24:31 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
muandiwambeu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
karasinga wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
Thanks for the updates @karasinga

You are most welcomed snipermnoma. Your requests have put me in a situation I have not been before. If I didn't meet your expectations just remember there is always a first time in something. I am aware DTB analysis is yet to come. will post when I find time. Let us keep those requests coming. I believe these analysis will make us face market more objectively than before. Not looking for perfection but growth.
cheers mate.


@karasinga,your analysis are credible.I have proved you right in safaricom and kengen.keep up the good work!

welcome Ebenyo. It is nice seeing you around.
I am still a humble student. The learning curve never ends. feel free to join us in this probability game. Here we do not expect to management. Will be waiting for your posts.

Well done so far @karas. Mind a review ofwhat is eabl, britam and SAfcom doing of late?

welcome muandiwambeu.
I don't mind. Will post the reviews. In my humble opinion, do not engage SCOM unless price is between 17.5 and 18. More details to follow. In the meantime check page 17 post 322. feel free to post. cheers mate.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, December 07, 2016 7:29 AM | Reason: Not specified
karasinga
#462 Posted : Wednesday, December 07, 2016 8:35:20 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
on my watch list. not in any order
1. keno
2. cable
3. nic
4. nmg
5. sg
6. kegn
7. cic
8. eabl
9. uchm
10. msc
11. hfck
12. scom.
13. arm

note: all banks are bound to make another leg down(hopefully the last leg).


It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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lochaz-index
#463 Posted : Wednesday, December 07, 2016 10:45:30 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
karasinga wrote:
on my watch list. not in any order
1. keno
2. cable
3. nic
4. nmg
5. sg
6. kegn
7. cic
8. eabl
9. uchm
10. msc
11. hfck
12. scom.
13. arm

note: all banks are bound to make another leg down(hopefully the last leg).



Interesting. Even TA analysis suggests that banks are due for another beating. Good to know.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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hisah
#464 Posted : Wednesday, December 07, 2016 11:49:14 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
lochaz-index wrote:
karasinga wrote:
on my watch list. not in any order
1. keno
2. cable
3. nic
4. nmg
5. sg
6. kegn
7. cic
8. eabl
9. uchm
10. msc
11. hfck
12. scom.
13. arm

note: all banks are bound to make another leg down(hopefully the last leg).



Interesting. Even TA analysis suggests that banks are due for another beating. Good to know.

.
That looming down leg in the banking sector is what will make NSE20 break below 3000, which will make me relook the bottom expectation. I wonder how many will be able to handle that downside carnage with a straight face as capitulation kicks in. The best scenario in the next downleg for the banks is a prolonged bidless period to flash out everything before a solid base forms!

@kasaringa, it seems NMG wants to test the GFC lows before it reacts. The metrics are so oversold which means a sharp bounce is highly likely in order to reset the metrics.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, December 07, 2016 12:02 PM | Reason: Not specified
muandiwambeu
#465 Posted : Wednesday, December 07, 2016 3:15:30 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
karasinga wrote:
on my watch list. not in any order
1. keno
2. cable
3. nic
4. nmg
5. sg
6. kegn
7. cic
8. eabl
9. uchm
10. msc
11. hfck
12. scom.
13. arm

note: all banks are bound to make another leg down(hopefully the last leg).



Interesting. Even TA analysis suggests that banks are due for another beating. Good to know.

.
That looming down leg in the banking sector is what will make NSE20 break below 3000, which will make me relook the bottom expectation. I wonder how many will be able to handle that downside carnage with a straight face as as capitulation kicks in. The best scenario in the next downleg for the banks is a prolonged bidless period to flash out everything before a solid base forms!

@kasaringa, it seems NMG wants to test the GFC lows before it reacts. The metrics are so oversold which means a sharp bounce is highly likely in order to reset the metrics.

If there isn't any rebound before march next year, then this thing gone stink to the high. Many banks are doing their fy end repos by then before flood gates are set open. The after shock shall knock senses of the entire NSE as discounts turns premium again. Real golden handcuffs this maybe.
On the contrary a mini bull rally may resurface before a final leg of atrocities begins. Keenly watching
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, December 07, 2016 3:17 PM | Reason: Not specified
karasinga
#466 Posted : Thursday, December 08, 2016 1:02:01 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
EABL
East African Breweries Ltd Ord 2.00 broke below the downside support level of 263.50, 8 day ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 263.50 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was neither extremely heavy nor extremely light--providing no convincing evidence either way as to the validity of the breakout.


in terms of structural analysis, EABL achieved a HL @ C and so the overall expectation is a NSL.
baby steps..
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, December 08, 2016 8:17 AM | Reason: Not specified
karasinga
#467 Posted : Thursday, December 08, 2016 6:44:27 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
DTB
Working with the limited data I have, this is the best analysis we can get. any one with an opinion/critics/comments(on how I can better this) is welcomed

baby steps...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, December 08, 2016 6:45 AM | Reason: Not specified
karasinga
#468 Posted : Thursday, December 08, 2016 7:15:40 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
hisah wrote:

That looming down leg in the banking sector is what will make NSE20 break below 3000, which will make me relook the bottom expectation. I wonder how many will be able to handle that downside carnage with a straight face as capitulation kicks in. The best scenario in the next downleg for the banks is a prolonged bidless period to flash out everything before a solid base forms!

@kasaringa, it seems NMG wants to test the GFC lows before it reacts. The metrics are so oversold which means a sharp bounce is highly likely in order to reset the metrics.

the reason NMG is on my watch list.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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karasinga
#469 Posted : Thursday, December 08, 2016 7:25:13 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
lochaz-index wrote:
karasinga wrote:
on my watch list. not in any order
1. keno
2. cable
3. nic
4. nmg
5. sg
6. kegn
7. cic
8. eabl
9. uchm
10. msc
11. hfck
12. scom.
13. arm

note: all banks are bound to make another leg down(hopefully the last leg).



Interesting. Even TA analysis suggests that banks are due for another beating. Good to know.

fundamental gurus should tell us their side.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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karasinga
#470 Posted : Thursday, December 08, 2016 7:32:36 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
muandiwambeu wrote:

If there isn't any rebound before march next year, then this thing gone stink to the high. Many banks are doing their fy end repos by then before flood gates are set open. The after shock shall knock senses of the entire NSE as discounts turns premium again. Real golden handcuffs this maybe.
On the contrary a mini bull rally may resurface before a final leg of atrocities begins. Keenly watching

Your are right. A new year/ easter discount might be on our way. Timing (to buy value) will be critical . God willing, I will keep updating us.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, December 08, 2016 7:33 AM | Reason: Not specified
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