Hmmm, let's assume that fuel sales in Kenya/UG/RW will hit 7bn liters by 2020.
If KK can manage a 15% market share of the 7bn liters = 1.05bn liters.
Current (est) PAT [excluding KPRL provisions] is 3bn
KK [if Ohana plays his cards well, doesn't take on crazy debt, expands slowly but consistently, sticks to profitable expansion, lube plant is up and running] could look at 5bn in PAT by 2020.
http://www.businessdaily...4636-sc3wxpz/index.html
The new KPC pipeline will make it easier & cheaper to transport fuel from Mombasa to Nairobi and beyond.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett