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directional forecast
karasinga
#441 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2016 7:29:22 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
SASN

a nice strong rejection at the PRZ.Applause

BEHOLD, +15% and going as on 19th oct 2016 at 1220hrs. a supply zone at 19.79. my eyes on the market

DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

Sasini broke below the downside support level of 18.58, 1 day ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 18.58 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was quite light---95% below average

I must be stretching my imagination too far.
baby steps...

I won't be surprised if SASN test around 21.
Reasons
1. that's where we've got supply zone (check the chart)
2. SASN recently achieved NSL(in red). expectation is a deep complex correction( like might unfold here) then another NSL will definitely follow.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#442 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2016 7:40:23 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
nashx wrote:
karasinga wrote:
CFC stanbic broke below the downside support level of 70.25, 1 day(s) ago. This is a bearish sign. This previous support level of 70.25 may now provide upside resistance. Volume on the day of the breakout was quite light---98% below average.

baby step...

So I should wait for this stock at 55 to 60 bob...very interested in buying good chunks of it

lochaz-index wrote:

This one took off before I could fill my quota. Patiently waiting for it @63 and below.


Hi mates. Welcome back. keep vigil once price break aqua bold line and do your due diligence. It is your money you will put at stake(check disclaimer). keep those posts coming and even feel free to request technical analysis of any company you mighty want us to look together. I will try to give my opinion. I welcome comments
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
snipermnoma
#443 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2016 11:20:07 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
karasinga wrote:

Hi mates. Welcome back. keep vigil once price break aqua bold line and do your due diligence. It is your money you will put at stake(check disclaimer). keep those posts coming and even feel free to request technical analysis of any company you mighty want us to look together. I will try to give my opinion. I welcome comments


Thanks for your continued analysis, I for one have learnt a lot. I would request an 3 updates: NMG (which has been falling like a rock), CABL (there was an anticipated rise) and KEGN (PA was showing big players). I am wary of banks right now but if I had to pick I would go with DTK so a cartoon on that would be appreciated.

I also agree that due diligence must be done. Anything can happen in the market and so while analysis helps it is never 100% accurate. We should all realize that risk of making a loss can only be reduced not eliminated. Like you said at the end of the day "it is your money". Keep it up.
karasinga
#444 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2016 5:35:02 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
snipermnoma wrote:
karasinga wrote:

Hi mates. Welcome back. keep vigil once price break aqua bold line and do your due diligence. It is your money you will put at stake(check disclaimer). keep those posts coming and even feel free to request technical analysis of any company you mighty want us to look together. I will try to give my opinion. I welcome comments


Thanks for your continued analysis, I for one have learnt a lot. I would request an 3 updates: NMG (which has been falling like a rock), CABL (there was an anticipated rise) and KEGN (PA was showing big players). I am wary of banks right now but if I had to pick I would go with DTK so a cartoon on that would be appreciated.

I also agree that due diligence must be done. Anything can happen in the market and so while analysis helps it is never 100% accurate. We should all realize that risk of making a loss can only be reduced not eliminated. Like you said at the end of the day "it is your money". Keep it up.

Thanks snipermnoma for your kind words. I am greatly humbled to know this thread is working in tandem with wazua spirit( to educate, inform, learn from others) .
In this business, my 2 years experience has taught me to never seek for perfection. It is a mythsmile. We should seek for growth and improvement in all things. Anything can happen...
Will post the updates later. I am much obliged. Keep learning and never give up.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#445 Posted : Thursday, December 01, 2016 1:05:07 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
KENO
@ 1300hrs
my thoughts on the chart

baby steps...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#446 Posted : Thursday, December 01, 2016 9:28:07 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
KEGN
KenGen Ltd Ord. 2.50 broke above the upside resistance level of 5.68, 12 day(s) ago. This is a bullish sign. This previous resistance level of 5.68 may now provide downside support. Volume on the day of the breakout was quite heavy--331% above average. This makes the breakout even more significant. If you decide to trade KenGen Ltd Ord. 2.50, you may want to place a stop loss just below the resistance level, in case the breakout is premature.This option has too many immediate obstacles that price will need to overcome before target is realized(trendline,structure above market, 200MA,400MA)

on the flip side, KEGN is forming a descending triangle which is a bearish chart pattern. We should watch for a move below support, as it suggests that downward momentum is building(uncertainty).
Now that we dont short the market around here, it is better to be on the sidelines until price tell us what it want to do. Like river Price follows path of least resistance.

hopefully,this has given us a situational awareness.
baby steps...
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#447 Posted : Thursday, December 01, 2016 9:32:42 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
it is still tight.


It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#448 Posted : Friday, December 02, 2016 6:46:09 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
NMG UPDATE.
I think prior analysis still stands. Timing will be critical to avoid a painful situation.

hope this helps
baby steps...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#449 Posted : Sunday, December 04, 2016 10:15:09 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
KENO
@ 1300hrs
my thoughts on the chart

baby steps...

behold keno. Buckle up to between 18.45 and 19.2

Baby steps...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#450 Posted : Sunday, December 04, 2016 11:54:17 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
CABLE update.(weekly view)
my thoughts on the chart.

baby steps...
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#451 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 6:24:16 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
MSC
Thinking roundly



I doubt if MSC shall obey TA as everybody is awaiting announcement of a wider loss!

Mumias broke above the upside resistance level of 1.02, 14 day(s) ago. This is a bullish sign. This previous resistance level of 1.02 may now provide downside support. Volume on the day of the breakout was quite light---60% below average. The most reliable breakouts are accompanied with increased volume. However, prices have risen some distance since breaking out--12.50%, thereby adding more validity to the breakout.
Watching the pattern play outsmile. Up until around 2.1 but not without some obstacles on the way. There is a substantial supply zone between 1.45 and 1.55
baby steps...

so far so good

supply coming in as expected. ~38%( in a "hopeless company with very uncertain future") smile accompanied by 1,473,500 volume and a nice rejection tail.
learning continues...

UPDATE:
my thought process on the chart

baby steps...
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
sparkly
#452 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 10:46:42 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
KENO
@ 1300hrs
my thoughts on the chart

baby steps...

behold keno. Buckle up to between 18.45 and 19.2

Baby steps...


Waiting...
Life is short. Live passionately.
snipermnoma
#453 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 12:19:49 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
Thanks for the updates @karasinga
karasinga
#454 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 2:22:39 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
UCHM

we are watching you... eyes on the market
baby steps...


Uchumi broke above the upside resistance level of 3.13 1 day ago. This is a bullish sign. This previous resistance level of 3.13 may now provide downside support. Volume on the day of the breakout was quite light---74% below average. The most reliable breakouts are accompanied with increased volume. And with prices having only risen 0.00% since the breakout, the validity of the breakout is questionable.

haiyaiya...! lets go.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

in demand zone (2.9 printed today 5th Dec) and some volume has started to show up.Shhh
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#455 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 5:23:06 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
KENO
@ 1300hrs
my thoughts on the chart

baby steps...

behold keno. Buckle up to between 18.45 and 19.2

Baby steps...


Waiting...

I like that word, "waiting...". The time is coming and could be the time has come for US to only engage on OUR terms not on market terms. Never again will we chase price around. Keep that hope alive mate.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#456 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 5:45:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
snipermnoma wrote:
Thanks for the updates @karasinga

You are most welcomed snipermnoma. Your requests have put me in a situation I have not been before. If I didn't meet your expectations just remember there is always a first time in something. I am aware DTB analysis is yet to come. will post when I find time. Let us keep those requests coming. I believe these analysis will make us face market more objectively than before. Not looking for perfection but growth.
cheers mate.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
Ebenyo
#457 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 6:30:31 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 1,997
Location: Kitale
karasinga wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
Thanks for the updates @karasinga

You are most welcomed snipermnoma. Your requests have put me in a situation I have not been before. If I didn't meet your expectations just remember there is always a first time in something. I am aware DTB analysis is yet to come. will post when I find time. Let us keep those requests coming. I believe these analysis will make us face market more objectively than before. Not looking for perfection but growth.
cheers mate.


@karasinga,your analysis are credible.I have proved you right in safaricom and kengen.keep up the good work!
Towards the goal of financial freedom
karasinga
#458 Posted : Tuesday, December 06, 2016 8:07:31 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
To all the "Invisible" traders reading the thread, it would be nice to meet you all. Please feel free to join in the conversation.
best wishes.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#459 Posted : Tuesday, December 06, 2016 8:31:36 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Ebenyo wrote:
karasinga wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
Thanks for the updates @karasinga

You are most welcomed snipermnoma. Your requests have put me in a situation I have not been before. If I didn't meet your expectations just remember there is always a first time in something. I am aware DTB analysis is yet to come. will post when I find time. Let us keep those requests coming. I believe these analysis will make us face market more objectively than before. Not looking for perfection but growth.
cheers mate.


@karasinga,your analysis are credible.I have proved you right in safaricom and kengen.keep up the good work!

welcome Ebenyo. It is nice seeing you around.
I am still a humble student. The learning curve never ends. feel free to join us in this probability game. Here we do not expect to be right 100% but have an edge on our favour(Like casino). 50-70% win rate is good enough with good money management. Will be waiting for your posts.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
muandiwambeu
#460 Posted : Tuesday, December 06, 2016 4:43:55 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
karasinga wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
karasinga wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
Thanks for the updates @karasinga

You are most welcomed snipermnoma. Your requests have put me in a situation I have not been before. If I didn't meet your expectations just remember there is always a first time in something. I am aware DTB analysis is yet to come. will post when I find time. Let us keep those requests coming. I believe these analysis will make us face market more objectively than before. Not looking for perfection but growth.
cheers mate.


@karasinga,your analysis are credible.I have proved you right in safaricom and kengen.keep up the good work!

welcome Ebenyo. It is nice seeing you around.
I am still a humble student. The learning curve never ends. feel free to join us in this probability game. Here we do not expect to be right 100% but have an edge on our favour(Like casino). 50-70% win rate is good enough with good money management. Will be waiting for your posts.

Well done so far @karas. Mind a review ofwhat is eabl, britam and SAfcom doing of late?
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
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