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Law Capping interest rates
KulaRaha
#1501 Posted : Thursday, November 17, 2016 8:36:51 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Cornelius Vanderbilt wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Impunity wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
NIC bank at sh.35.
Banking stocks are recovering from the interest rates cap


That's a fluke. ..real recovery will be seen in Q4,if at all.

You will be left at the stage as all mbuses take off one by one smile


yeah.i think all the bad news has been factored in and recovery is in progress.


“Irrational exuberance” is a phrase used by the then-Federal Reserve Board chairman, Alan Greenspan, in a speech given at the American Enterprise Institute during the Dot-com bubble of the 1990s. The phrase was interpreted as a warning that the market might be somewhat overvalued.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
KulaRaha
#1502 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 10:04:15 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514


Someone pls explain this to me. Its not logical is it?
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
washiku
#1503 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 10:40:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/9/2007
Posts: 13,095
Am told NIC have shown 32 managers the door. Sad Sad
maka
#1504 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2016 10:55:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Was Coop bank always like this?Pre the cap rating thingy?Checking for balance via USSD *667# is 35 bob plus 3.50 excise duty...Daylight robbery.
possunt quia posse videntur
snifadog
#1505 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2016 2:03:30 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/6/2016
Posts: 165
Location: Nairobi
maka wrote:
Was Coop bank always like this?Pre the cap rating thingy?Checking for balance via USSD *667# is 35 bob plus 3.50 excise duty...Daylight robbery.


Even KCB which offered free balance inquiry on their mobile app got rid of it..these banks are now looking in every corner for any loose coins
FRM2011
#1506 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2016 2:40:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/5/2010
Posts: 2,459
snifadog wrote:
maka wrote:
Was Coop bank always like this?Pre the cap rating thingy?Checking for balance via USSD *667# is 35 bob plus 3.50 excise duty...Daylight robbery.


Even KCB which offered free balance inquiry on their mobile app got rid of it..these banks are now looking in every corner for any loose coins


Wait a minute. For about a month now, the app has not been working and am forced to use *522# . Kumbe ni wizi ?
newfarer
#1507 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2016 7:54:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/19/2010
Posts: 3,504
Location: Uganda
Barclays called to offer me a loan on my un utilized credit on my credit card at 1. 15% per month, a good deal by all standards, wasn't interested cos I didn't have plans for the loan
punda amecheka
Angelica _ann
#1508 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2016 7:57:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
newfarer wrote:
Barclays called to offer me a loan on my un utilized credit on my credit card at 1. 15% per month, a good deal by all standards, wasn't interested cos I didn't have plans for the loan

Assuming there are no other hidden charges.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
maka
#1509 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 6:45:42 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
washiku wrote:
Am told NIC have shown 32 managers the door. Sad Sad


possunt quia posse videntur
obiero
#1510 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 6:55:32 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,554
Location: nairobi
maka wrote:
washiku wrote:
Am told NIC have shown 32 managers the door. Sad Sad



Even with job cuts, the smaller banks will fold. Think about it, customer numbers remain the same but more work done by fewer staff, fatigue checks in, customer service standards drop, clients flee to the bigger banks with more personnel

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Mainat
#1511 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 7:17:54 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Now imagine if CBK was forced to raise interest rates due to Ksh weakening.
Uhuru reminds me of MOi in many ways
Sehemu ndio nyumba
newfarer
#1512 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 7:21:34 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/19/2010
Posts: 3,504
Location: Uganda
Let's just say the economy is just doing badly, poor leadership and corruption killing businesses.the banks blaming rates cap yet the rate capping started only 16 days to close of quarter 3

You think these billions in scandals have no effect on businesses?
punda amecheka
lochaz-index
#1513 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 7:56:04 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Mainat wrote:
Now imagine if CBK was forced to raise interest rates due to Ksh weakening.
Uhuru reminds me of MOi in many ways

That day is fast approaching.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Yowel
#1514 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 9:06:21 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 10/14/2016
Posts: 25
Location: Nairobi
lochaz-index wrote:
Mainat wrote:
Now imagine if CBK was forced to raise interest rates due to Ksh weakening.
Uhuru reminds me of MOi in many ways

That day is fast approaching.


This one you are right and its scary. Now consider a scenario where the US fed raises its interest rate, the dollar strengthens, other currencies weaken and we have that huge dollar denominated debt. Interest rates will be raised to stem kes devaluation and we shall grind to a halt.
maka
#1515 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 9:42:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Yowel wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Mainat wrote:
Now imagine if CBK was forced to raise interest rates due to Ksh weakening.
Uhuru reminds me of MOi in many ways

That day is fast approaching.


This one you are right and its scary. Now consider a scenario where the US fed raises its interest rate, the dollar strengthens, other currencies weaken and we have that huge dollar denominated debt. Interest rates will be raised to stem kes devaluation and we shall grind to a halt.


Anarchy....Sad
possunt quia posse videntur
watesh
#1516 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 10:02:29 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/10/2014
Posts: 977
Location: Kenya
lochaz-index wrote:
Mainat wrote:
Now imagine if CBK was forced to raise interest rates due to Ksh weakening.
Uhuru reminds me of MOi in many ways

That day is fast approaching.

Ksh has already dropped twice to 102 in the past 5 days and CBK is selling dollars to keep it up. They cant keep doing that for long
KulaRaha
#1517 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 10:12:06 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
watesh wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Mainat wrote:
Now imagine if CBK was forced to raise interest rates due to Ksh weakening.
Uhuru reminds me of MOi in many ways

That day is fast approaching.

Ksh has already dropped twice to 102 in the past 5 days and CBK is selling dollars to keep it up. They cant keep doing that for long


Something's going to have to give: either exchange or interest rates. I suspect CBK will let interest rates go up given they were opposed to the myopic rate cap anyways.

This 6%(?!) growth will become 2%...remember the SGR eating ends soon too.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Mainat
#1518 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 10:15:25 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
KulaRaha wrote:
watesh wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Mainat wrote:
Now imagine if CBK was forced to raise interest rates due to Ksh weakening.
Uhuru reminds me of MOi in many ways

That day is fast approaching.

Ksh has already dropped twice to 102 in the past 5 days and CBK is selling dollars to keep it up. They cant keep doing that for long


Something's going to have to give: either exchange or interest rates. I suspect CBK will let interest rates go up given they were opposed to the myopic rate cap anyways.

This 6%(?!) growth will become 2%...remember the SGR eating ends soon too.


Actually, the interest cap will still be a problem because of the 70% floor, but also interest rates would need to go up to maybe kitu 14% for banks to go back to an even position
Sehemu ndio nyumba
KulaRaha
#1519 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 10:21:30 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Mainat wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
watesh wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Mainat wrote:
Now imagine if CBK was forced to raise interest rates due to Ksh weakening.
Uhuru reminds me of MOi in many ways

That day is fast approaching.

Ksh has already dropped twice to 102 in the past 5 days and CBK is selling dollars to keep it up. They cant keep doing that for long


Something's going to have to give: either exchange or interest rates. I suspect CBK will let interest rates go up given they were opposed to the myopic rate cap anyways.

This 6%(?!) growth will become 2%...remember the SGR eating ends soon too.


Actually, the interest cap will still be a problem because of the 70% ceiling, but also interest rates would need to go up to maybe kitu 14% for banks to go back to an even position


If CBR starts going up...maybe to 12%, we may see some respite. But then CBK will have to tackle this slowdown in credit growth....they are so stuck!
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Yowel
#1520 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2016 11:22:40 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 10/14/2016
Posts: 25
Location: Nairobi
Interesting Statistics: in 2007/2008 and the chaos that erupted, kenya's benchmark interest rate was at 8.5% it went as high as 18% in 2012. Inflation in 2008/2009 was 32%, 2012 was around 18%. The currency devaluation was from 63 to 80 against the usd.

So if next year we dare repeat the past.
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