Wazua
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directional forecast
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,378 Location: Nairobi
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sparkly wrote:karasinga wrote:TPS  are there any fundamentals that might support this analysis? baby steps... DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis I think you are onto something. IMO it will be hard to break the resistance at 25 unless the second half 2016 numbers are very good. 25 is still +7/- from today's price of 18/- so that's a positive. I think 1H will be so-so but 2H is worth looking forward to ceteris paribus. I am in TPSEA coz of the management & "cheap" price. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,378 Location: Nairobi
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karasinga wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:snipermnoma wrote:karasinga wrote:
A finite number of traders participate in the markets on any given day, week, or month. Many of these traders do the same kind of things over and over in their attempt to make money. In other words, individuals develop behavior patterns, and a group of individuals, interacting with one another on a consistent basis, form collective behavior patterns. These behavior patterns are observable and quantifiable, and they repeat themselves with statistical reliability."cartoons" organizes this collective behavior into identifiable patterns that can give a clear indication of when there is a greater probability of one thing happening over another. In a sense, "cartoons" allows you to get into the mind of the market to anticipate what's likely to happen next, based on the kind of patterns the market generated at some previous moment.
I feel I am talking in empty room with 70 people watching from glass windows outside. could be a break will suffice.
cheers mate. baby steps...
I know that feeling...hio ya glass windows. not complaining but "that feeling" is not cool, partner... Having a frustrating start of trading business, My initial intent was this thread would be interactive and where learning market nitty gritties(technicals) from either newbies or chiefs would naturally happen. A thread that will welcome all traders of all levels to post their charts and learn from each other. In the contrary, there are many viewers than "posters"(hope this makes sense). It feel lonely here. I appreciate everyone who participate. With you we have hit +300posts and going. It takes hardwork to make understandable charts. cheers mate. addicted to the market. I wish I could help but I am a 100% non-techie! I hear you VVS. sharing real trading here and getting my own echos...like talking to myself feels like stopping it all. But having a chief around is encouraging. you are always welcome here mate. take care. Some of us do read your posts. I compare what is happening in "real life" to your charts and my fundamental analysis. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Fyatu wrote:Thanks @Karasinga for the charts. I try hard to read and understand them. Is it possible to post your thoughts(in cartoon format) on Deacons? Will really appreciate.A chart on Kenya power will also be appreciated fyatu. You are always welcome. deacons(having started trading @ NSE on 2nd August 2016) has little data to put any substantial forecast on. That said, I will post both charts later with my thoughts. cheers mate It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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VituVingiSana wrote:sparkly wrote:karasinga wrote:TPS are there any fundamentals that might support this analysis? baby steps... DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis I think you are onto something. IMO it will be hard to break the resistance at 25 unless the second half 2016 numbers are very good. 25 is still +7/- from today's price of 18/- so that's a positive. I think 1H will be so-so but 2H is worth looking forward to ceteris paribus. I am in TPSEA coz of the management & "cheap" price. sparkly, if 25 is then realised that will be +38%. let's see what Mr. market gives. VVS. Such fundamentals are critical. One quick question. how do you determine a "cheap" share fundamentally? It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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lochaz-index wrote:karasinga wrote:snipermnoma wrote:karasinga wrote:
A finite number of traders participate in the markets on any given day, week, or month. Many of these traders do the same kind of things over and over in their attempt to make money. In other words, individuals develop behavior patterns, and a group of individuals, interacting with one another on a consistent basis, form collective behavior patterns. These behavior patterns are observable and quantifiable, and they repeat themselves with statistical reliability."cartoons" organizes this collective behavior into identifiable patterns that can give a clear indication of when there is a greater probability of one thing happening over another. In a sense, "cartoons" allows you to get into the mind of the market to anticipate what's likely to happen next, based on the kind of patterns the market generated at some previous moment.
I feel I am talking in empty room with 70 people watching from glass windows outside. could be a break will suffice.
cheers mate. baby steps...
I know that feeling...hio ya glass windows. not complaining but "that feeling" is not cool, partner... Having a frustrating start of trading business, My initial intent was this thread would be interactive and where learning market nitty gritties(technicals) from either newbies or chiefs would naturally happen. A thread that will welcome all traders of all levels to post their charts and learn from each other. In the contrary, there are many viewers than "posters"(hope this makes sense). It feel lonely here. I appreciate everyone who participate. With you we have hit +300posts and going. It takes hardwork to make understandable charts. cheers mate. addicted to the market. Don't mind our silence, keep at it. Most of us haven't got the faintest clue regarding technical analysis. That said I try to read the prose/explanations accompanying the charts since everything else is Greek to me. I see. feel free to post the other side to support or negate the chart analysis in question. It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,822 Location: Nakuru
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karasinga wrote:Fyatu wrote:Thanks @Karasinga for the charts. I try hard to read and understand them. Is it possible to post your thoughts(in cartoon format) on Deacons? Will really appreciate.A chart on Kenya power will also be appreciated fyatu. You are always welcome. deacons(having started trading @ NSE on 2nd August 2016) has little data to put any substantial forecast on. That said, I will post both charts later with my thoughts. cheers mate Asante @Karasinga....looking forward to it. I also intend to visit Mr. Price and analyse the foot traffic especially foot traffic towards payment desk. Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:SASN  a nice strong rejection at the PRZ.  BEHOLD, +15% and going as on 19th oct 2016 at 1220hrs. a supply zone at 19.79. my eyes on the market  +20% and watching now  DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:karasinga wrote:snipermnoma wrote:karasinga wrote:
A finite number of traders participate in the markets on any given day, week, or month. Many of these traders do the same kind of things over and over in their attempt to make money. In other words, individuals develop behavior patterns, and a group of individuals, interacting with one another on a consistent basis, form collective behavior patterns. These behavior patterns are observable and quantifiable, and they repeat themselves with statistical reliability."cartoons" organizes this collective behavior into identifiable patterns that can give a clear indication of when there is a greater probability of one thing happening over another. In a sense, "cartoons" allows you to get into the mind of the market to anticipate what's likely to happen next, based on the kind of patterns the market generated at some previous moment.
I feel I am talking in empty room with 70 people watching from glass windows outside. could be a break will suffice.
cheers mate. baby steps...
I know that feeling...hio ya glass windows. not complaining but "that feeling" is not cool, partner... Having a frustrating start of trading business, My initial intent was this thread would be interactive and where learning market nitty gritties(technicals) from either newbies or chiefs would naturally happen. A thread that will welcome all traders of all levels to post their charts and learn from each other. In the contrary, there are many viewers than "posters"(hope this makes sense). It feel lonely here. I appreciate everyone who participate. With you we have hit +300posts and going. It takes hardwork to make understandable charts. cheers mate. addicted to the market. I wish I could help but I am a 100% non-techie! I hear you VVS. sharing real trading here and getting my own echos...like talking to myself feels like stopping it all. But having a chief around is encouraging. you are always welcome here mate. take care. Some of us do read your posts. I compare what is happening in "real life" to your charts and my fundamental analysis. I already like how you look at that cocktail(BOTH tech and fundamentals) and think this is what I am talking about. looking forward for more... It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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Fyatu wrote:karasinga wrote:Fyatu wrote:Thanks @Karasinga for the charts. I try hard to read and understand them. Is it possible to post your thoughts(in cartoon format) on Deacons? Will really appreciate.A chart on Kenya power will also be appreciated fyatu. You are always welcome. deacons(having started trading @ NSE on 2nd August 2016) has little data to put any substantial forecast on. That said, I will post both charts later with my thoughts. cheers mate Asante @Karasinga....looking forward to it. I also intend to visit Mr. Price and analyse the foot traffic especially foot traffic towards payment desk. DCON  hope this helps It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,822 Location: Nakuru
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karasinga wrote:Fyatu wrote:karasinga wrote:Fyatu wrote:Thanks @Karasinga for the charts. I try hard to read and understand them. Is it possible to post your thoughts(in cartoon format) on Deacons? Will really appreciate.A chart on Kenya power will also be appreciated fyatu. You are always welcome. deacons(having started trading @ NSE on 2nd August 2016) has little data to put any substantial forecast on. That said, I will post both charts later with my thoughts. cheers mate Asante @Karasinga....looking forward to it. I also intend to visit Mr. Price and analyse the foot traffic especially foot traffic towards payment desk. DCON hope this helps Thanks Karasinga. Much appreciated. Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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