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karanjakinuthia
#311 Posted : Thursday, April 29, 2010 7:32:34 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Another stake in the heart of Europe.

May 19th is a Red Letter Day for Greece. It needs to repay 9 billion Euros to foreign and domestic investors by raising money from the debt markets. Unfortunately, it cannot do so due to its skyrocketing rates: 2 Year Bonds are trading at 23%.

Meanwhile, German engages in brinkmanship. The weakness in the Euro is a boon to its manufacturing sector.

"BERLIN—A cut to Spain's credit rating on Wednesday, just one day after downgrades to Portugal and Greece, fueled fears that the euro zone's debt crisis is widening and sent new tremors through financial markets.

Chiefs of the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank went to Berlin to exhort reluctant German lawmakers to support the IMF-European Union rescue package for Greece. According to German officials, IMF head Dominique Strauss-Kahn said the aid could total up to €120 billion ($158 billion) over three years—nearly three times the amount recently pledged...."

Read more:

http://online.wsj.com/ar...html?mod=wsj_india_main

sheep
#312 Posted : Thursday, April 29, 2010 7:56:35 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
@kinuthia,
Thanks,I find your posts very informative.

Another dude that has really educated me is Adam Hamilton of Zeallc.

http://www.zealllc.com/essays.htm
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
karanjakinuthia
#313 Posted : Thursday, April 29, 2010 10:24:04 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Thank you Sheep.

I was once a follower of Adam Hamilton. His articles on commodity cycles are quite informative.

Scubidu
#314 Posted : Thursday, April 29, 2010 10:32:26 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
Ive just read one of his articles now on inflation. Dude has some interesting views. So much to read, so little time. Thank you sheep.

http://www.zealllc.com/2008/moninf.htm
http://www.zealllc.com/2009/biginf.htm
http://www.zealllc.com/2009/biginf2.htm
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
karanjakinuthia
#315 Posted : Thursday, April 29, 2010 5:05:38 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Those whom the gods wish to destroy they first make mad.

"Amidst growing pessimism about the financial condition of U.S. cities and states, investors are increasingly buying financial instruments that essentially allow them to short sell - or bet against - cities and states, says a Wall Street Journal report.

Offered by banks like JP Morgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup, the so-called municipal credit default swaps can be used by investors to bet that insurance contracts protecting holders of municipal bonds will default...."

Read more:

http://www.huffingtonpos...t-us-citi_n_553891.html

karanjakinuthia
#316 Posted : Friday, April 30, 2010 7:03:49 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
karanjakinuthia
#317 Posted : Friday, April 30, 2010 7:56:39 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
In the wake of the 1929 stock market crash and the ensuing depression, gold was hoarded as a protection of wealth. The government had fixed an ounce of gold to $20.67 so gold stocks were essentialy utilities. It was in 1934 that Franklin D. Roosevelt devalued the dollar versus gold by fixing it at $35.

The premier gold stock at the time was Homestake Mining. The 1931 calendar brought with it a ticker price of $79 per Homestake share, closing the year at $129 due to the unfolding Debt Crisis in Europe. 1932 saw the stock trading at a range of $110 to $163 whilst in 1933 the range was between $145 and $373. Roosevelt's devaluation was a boon to gold miners. Homestake reached $544 by 1936.

It is that time again.

"Dear Friends,

Linked below are some charts of gold priced in currencies other than the US Dollar. As you can see from the charts, gold is either making new highs or is close to previous highs. What this reveals in picture form is a loss of confidence in paper currencies.

This is gold reverting to its historic, age-old role as a safe haven for wealth preservation.

Trader Dan...."

Read more:

http://jsmineset.com/201...-in-various-currencies/

stranger
#318 Posted : Friday, April 30, 2010 2:07:55 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/18/2010
Posts: 13
Location: Nairobi
Where can i get supply vs demand stats on stocks?
young
#319 Posted : Friday, April 30, 2010 2:58:16 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
@Mzee karanjakinuthia ,

Spot Gold price in USD at the moment is circa 1,170 can you predict the peak price this year, or can any one answer the question ?
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
karanjakinuthia
#320 Posted : Friday, April 30, 2010 4:52:13 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
@ Young. Please review the chart below:

http://www.facebook.com/kinuthiakaranja?v=info#!/photo.php?pid=3334669&op=2&o=global&view=global&subj=44489575924&id=649361247

My forecast is a technical price objective based on chart analysis. It does not factor six sigma events or fat tails such as a sovereign debt default.

In that regard, the key to gold's glitter here and now is the intensity of the Debt Crisis. Gold is the canary in the coalmine, warning of deadly gas.

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