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Safaricom FY 2016 results net profit up 19.6%
sparkly
#331 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2016 8:16:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
murchr wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
watesh wrote:
murchr wrote:
Sh30bn airtime lending raises Safaricom profile in credit market

Mobile phone subscribers borrowed up to Sh30 billion worth of airtime or nearly a third of the total airtime Safaricom sold last year, underlining how critical telecoms operators have become in the credit market.

Equity Group grew its loan book by 50bn while KCB grew by 62bn for the full year 2015. Okoa Jahazi Bank is half way the amount of the big banks do. Remarkable

Safaricom doing that without sweat smile


Given that Safcom's take in okoa jahazi is just Kes 5 from 50/- credit....that amount is insane!



The regulator needs to reign in! Safaricom's Okoa jahazi interest is more than shylock charges considering time value of money!!!


Safaricom charge a fee not an interest. They do not have a lending licence.



Whether manslaughter or abortion murder is murder!


Its not like airtime is a basic need @spikes.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Pesa Nane
#332 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2016 9:25:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
12 August 2016 Post #302
hisah wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Hating on safaricom:
1. Wanjiku carried the pregnancy and bore the child (IPO and refund saga)
2. Wanjiku nurtured the child through hardship (Stagnant share price coupled with very low dividends to earn all of the 85Bn in retained earning)
3. Wanjiku got bought off on the cheap by the fat cats (HNW investors, Foreigners, Institutions)
4. Fat cats pumped the price and invaded the cookie jar (awarded themselves Super High dividends + a forced SPECIAL dividend) - Wanjiku's blood, sweat and labour over the years
5. Fat cats are now planning to hand over the emaciated stock back to Wanjiku at a princely sum for another cycle.


Disclaimer: I sold my holding at a good profit smile BUT at a paltry Ksh. 4.10 Sad



I disagree. Wanjikus are outpriced here and have given up the chase. The shareholding has shifted from many weak hands to a few strong hands over the years as witnessed by the bid volume. Until institutionals change their bid behaviour I don't see how the price will crash. It's easier for price to race to KES 50 than to head to KES 10 unless an outlier event occurs.


16 August 2016 Post #329
hisah wrote:
Quite amazing mpesa bank is almost hitting 1 trillion in market cap and few wanjikus are not on board. The GFC bear and 2011 bear made wanjikus so negative to ever want to touch it. So when Wanjikus troop back in as the rocket phase kicks in, that will become one giant bubble of epic propositions...!!


Anxious
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
lochaz-index
#333 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2016 10:17:25 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
hisah wrote:
Quite amazing mpesa bank is almost hitting 1 trillion in market cap and few wanjikus are not on board. The GFC bear and 2011 bear made wanjikus so negative to ever want to touch it. So when Wanjikus troop back in as the rocket phase kicks in, that will become one giant bubble of epic propositions...!!

The awkward moment when safcom is equal in worth to rest of the market combined. At 25bob a piece it will hit the trillion mark. Total market cap is a little over 2 trillion. With the rest of the stocks still limping/treading lower, the 50/50 sharing scenario is not that far out.

Still waiting for the divergence to resolve itself and the sooner it happens the better. If the bear run continues and safcom starts tanking sub 3000 points, a very swift fall awaits. A mixture of panic and fear perhaps...only fear is evident at current levels.

When wanjiku grows a craving for a piece of the safcom pie in the next bull phase they will be buying at a very steep premium and will get spanked once again.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
gatoho
#334 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2016 10:26:16 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/1/2010
Posts: 518
Location: kandara, Murang'a
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
Quite amazing mpesa bank is almost hitting 1 trillion in market cap and few wanjikus are not on board. The GFC bear and 2011 bear made wanjikus so negative to ever want to touch it. So when Wanjikus troop back in as the rocket phase kicks in, that will become one giant bubble of epic propositions...!!

The awkward moment when safcom is equal in worth to rest of the market combined. At 25bob a piece it will hit the trillion mark. Total market cap is a little over 2 trillion. With the rest of the stocks still limping/treading lower, the 50/50 sharing scenario is not that far out.

Still waiting for the divergence to resolve itself and the sooner it happens the better. If the bear run continues and safcom starts tanking sub 3000 points, a very swift fall awaits. A mixture of panic and fear perhaps...only fear is evident at current levels.

When wangekuwa grows a craving for a piece of the safcom pie in the next bull phase they will be buying at a very steep premium and will get spanked once again.


Am assuming Wangekuwa is Wanjiku. Looks like my 19.8 bid hit too late. I won't chase.
Foresight..
murchr
#335 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2016 10:32:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Pesa Nane wrote:
12 August 2016 Post #302
hisah wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Hating on safaricom:
1. Wanjiku carried the pregnancy and bore the child (IPO and refund saga)
2. Wanjiku nurtured the child through hardship (Stagnant share price coupled with very low dividends to earn all of the 85Bn in retained earning)
3. Wanjiku got bought off on the cheap by the fat cats (HNW investors, Foreigners, Institutions)
4. Fat cats pumped the price and invaded the cookie jar (awarded themselves Super High dividends + a forced SPECIAL dividend) - Wanjiku's blood, sweat and labour over the years
5. Fat cats are now planning to hand over the emaciated stock back to Wanjiku at a princely sum for another cycle.


Disclaimer: I sold my holding at a good profit smile BUT at a paltry Ksh. 4.10 Sad



I disagree. Wanjikus are outpriced here and have given up the chase. The shareholding has shifted from many weak hands to a few strong hands over the years as witnessed by the bid volume. Until institutionals change their bid behaviour I don't see how the price will crash. It's easier for price to race to KES 50 than to head to KES 10 unless an outlier event occurs.


16 August 2016 Post #329
hisah wrote:
Quite amazing mpesa bank is almost hitting 1 trillion in market cap and few wanjikus are not on board. The GFC bear and 2011 bear made wanjikus so negative to ever want to touch it. So when Wanjikus troop back in as the rocket phase kicks in, that will become one giant bubble of epic propositions...!!


Anxious


Pesa8 What hisah is saying is that when Wanjiku will start chasing over that thin float the price will skyrocket creating a very big bubble.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
lochaz-index
#336 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2016 10:56:18 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
gatoho wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
Quite amazing mpesa bank is almost hitting 1 trillion in market cap and few wanjikus are not on board. The GFC bear and 2011 bear made wanjikus so negative to ever want to touch it. So when Wanjikus troop back in as the rocket phase kicks in, that will become one giant bubble of epic propositions...!!

The awkward moment when safcom is equal in worth to rest of the market combined. At 25bob a piece it will hit the trillion mark. Total market cap is a little over 2 trillion. With the rest of the stocks still limping/treading lower, the 50/50 sharing scenario is not that far out.

Still waiting for the divergence to resolve itself and the sooner it happens the better. If the bear run continues and safcom starts tanking sub 3000 points, a very swift fall awaits. A mixture of panic and fear perhaps...only fear is evident at current levels.

When wangekuwa grows a craving for a piece of the safcom pie in the next bull phase they will be buying at a very steep premium and will get spanked once again.


Am assuming Wangekuwa is Wanjiku. Looks like my 19.8 bid hit too late. I won't chase.

Most definitely. Auto correct got the better of me.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Ebenyo
#337 Posted : Monday, August 22, 2016 8:53:38 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
Some statistics from the financial results 2016 is as follows:
*Return on equity- 32%
*EPS- kshs 0.95
*PER- kshs 22
*DPS- kshs 0.76
*Debt to equity ratio-36%
*Shareholders equity- kshs 116,738,947,000
*Retained earnings- kshs 82,052,204,000
*Current assets- kshs 159,182,485,000
*Current debts kshs 42,443,538,000
*Return on assets- 23%

BASED on this stats alone:
1.I wont understand any wazuan whose portfolio safaricom is absent
2.Safaricom knows how to manage debts.The debt quoted here is shorterm.They dont have any long term debts
3.Every wazuan must work hard to bring down his ABP.


Towards the goal of financial freedom
mkate_nusu
#338 Posted : Monday, August 22, 2016 9:13:26 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/30/2016
Posts: 332
Location: Kayole
Ebenyo wrote:
Some statistics from the financial results 2016 is as follows:
*Return on equity- 32%
*EPS- kshs 0.95
*PER- kshs 22
*DPS- kshs 0.76
*Debt to equity ratio-36%
*Shareholders equity- kshs 116,738,947,000
*Retained earnings- kshs 82,052,204,000
*Current assets- kshs 159,182,485,000
*Current debts kshs 42,443,538,000
*Return on assets- 23%

BASED on this stats alone:
1.I wont understand any wazuan whose portfolio safaricom is absent
2.Safaricom knows how to manage debts.The debt quoted here is shorterm.They dont have any long term debts
3.Every wazuan must work hard to bring down his ABP.




@Ebenyo great work with the summary. I am looking to add more ex-dividend. I was thinking whether to jump in at 17 before it left the stage
KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
Ebenyo
#339 Posted : Tuesday, August 23, 2016 7:54:58 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
mkate_nusu wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
Some statistics from the financial results 2016 is as follows:
*Return on equity- 32%
*EPS- kshs 0.95
*PER- kshs 22
*DPS- kshs 0.76
*Debt to equity ratio-36%
*Shareholders equity- kshs 116,738,947,000
*Retained earnings- kshs 82,052,204,000
*Current assets- kshs 159,182,485,000
*Current debts kshs 42,443,538,000
*Return on assets- 23%

BASED on this stats alone:
1.I wont understand any wazuan whose portfolio safaricom is absent
2.Safaricom knows how to manage debts.The debt quoted here is shorterm.They dont have any long term debts
3.Every wazuan must work hard to bring down his ABP.




@Ebenyo great work with the summary. I am looking to add more ex-dividend. I was thinking whether to jump in at 17 before it left the stage


My current ABP is 16.60.My entry price was 16.00.My current target buy price is 14.00.Im also waiting for ex-dividend to see how things will unfold.If i wont meet my target BP,i will adjust my ABP according to the price resistance level.

*Tend to think safaricom stability is much more pegged on its ability to make profits.The strength of its share price is heavily dependant on its profitability YoY.If anything crops up between,then the share price will suffer terribly.
*PE at kshs 22 is high but justified by good profitability.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
hisah
#340 Posted : Tuesday, September 27, 2016 9:55:39 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Price has been coiling on massive volume since the exdiv gap down! Getting ready to launch! Those expecting the price to hit below 15 support level will be left chasing wind!

Target remains 23. @metaspoilt you had a target at 25. Let's see how things play out as we approach H1 in November.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ericsson
#341 Posted : Tuesday, September 27, 2016 1:56:39 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
53mn shares traded today so far.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Metasploit
#342 Posted : Tuesday, September 27, 2016 8:51:25 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
Price has been coiling on massive volume since the exdiv gap down! Getting ready to launch! Those expecting the price to hit below 15 support level will be left chasing wind!

Target remains 23. @metaspoilt you had a target at 25. Let's see how things play out as we approach H1 in November.


Agreed..

Another huge volume traded (53M) at 19.70

Thursday last week saw 106M with VWAP at 19.40

Supply past 20 drying up completely.

With this greed overshoot remains 25!



“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
Ericsson
#343 Posted : Monday, October 03, 2016 2:13:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
*Safaricom market share down by 0.4% to 65.2%
*Orange Kenya up 0.7% to 13.2%
*Airtel Kenya Down 0.9% to 16.6%

Safaricom 25.9 million subscribers
Airtel Kenya 6.5 million
Orange Kenya 5.2 million
Equitel 2 Million
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
kawi254
#344 Posted : Monday, October 03, 2016 2:32:01 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/20/2015
Posts: 468
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
*Safaricom market share down by 0.4% to 65.2%
*Orange Kenya up 0.7% to 13.2%
*Airtel Kenya Down 0.9% to 16.6%

Safaricom 25.9 million subscribers
Airtel Kenya 6.5 million
Orange Kenya 5.2 million
Equitel 2 Million


Market share is deceptive:

Safaricom still has 77.8% of voice traffic (+1%), 93.9% SMS traffic (+4%)
mkate_nusu
#345 Posted : Monday, October 03, 2016 2:53:32 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/30/2016
Posts: 332
Location: Kayole
hisah wrote:
Price has been coiling on massive volume since the exdiv gap down! Getting ready to launch! Those expecting the price to hit below 15 support level will be left chasing wind!

Target remains 23. @metaspoilt you had a target at 25. Let's see how things play out as we approach H1 in November.


Once 20 establishes as a support zone, and with HY release coming up the bulls should easily wipe out the bears.
KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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