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Wai!! it is a blood bath, kcb, coop, equity down 9%
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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2012 wrote:Creativity starts now. Credit cards will now be one of the holy grails for the banks. Expect a call on soon from your 'friendly bank'. Credit cards are capped no? Bank transactions are about to be cleverly introduced. I see a mass exodus at MPESA bank. Those who've been salivating can now prepare their checks. Co-op will be hitting 9/- kesho "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/3/2007 Posts: 1,634
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Wanjiku hayuko hapa This is a platform where elitist, overfed fat cats (who think they are gods gift to the Kenyan economy, well they are not) come to practice their navel gazing. They are the ones panicking, now that their beloved casino has been shaken a bit. Wanjiku is too busy building the real economy. "The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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Jon Jones wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Jon Jones wrote:Banking stocks will slide until end of the year when investors can roughly investigate the impact of the law on their profitability. Until then, expect massive exits and rock bottom prices. Banks have a smaller margin for error now. Only the best candidates will get loans. You can now know that you can now qualify for maybe half what you would have qualified for before the law. This is help banks curb the growing NPLs. The marginal borrowers [potential defaulters] will be locked out. Plus as you say those who will be lent funds will be charged less BUT expected to put more collateral up thus reducing the risk of default. In my opinion, this law will force banks to work for their money. They will have to lend prudently by examining how the funds will be used in certain projects. This is a good thing for Wanjiku because they will be getting free financial advise in the process...basically, if the banker refuses to give you a loan, your idea probably sucks. Previously, they could afford to finance two bad projects for every five because the spreads were large enough. "If the Bank refuses with a loan its because they do not understand my idea... Let me go to riveroad.. Although I will pay 90% p.a. to the shylock at least he understands my idea and is willing to lend" said Wanjiku Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/23/2014 Posts: 1,652
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Wakanyugi wrote:Wanjiku hayuko hapa This is a platform where elitist, overfed fat cats (who think they are gods gift to the Kenyan economy, well they are not) come to practice their navel gazing. They are the ones panicking, now that their beloved casino has been shaken a bit. Wanjiku is too busy building the real economy. So where does wanjiku get her money from? Hutia Mundu!!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,121 Location: Nairobi
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Jon Jones wrote:JM has lost a cool BIRRION today. Tomorrow is another day he will take one for the team. His entire networth might be cut by half or worse by the time dust settles with this law. This is the flip side of the stock market. One day a politician can decide to cut your networth. JM still has more than @VVS and the extended clan! Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/3/2007 Posts: 1,634
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Jon Jones wrote:Banking stocks will slide until end of the year when investors can roughly investigate the impact of the law on their profitability. Until then, expect massive exits and rock bottom prices. Banks have a smaller margin for error now. Only the best candidates will get loans. You can now know that you can now qualify for maybe half what you would have qualified for before the law. Banks have some of the smartest Kenyans at their helms. Can you think of Mwangi, Oigara, Muriuki etc, quietly accepting these kinds of loses in the competitive markets we have today? Think about this: The Governor has suspended the issuance of new banking licenses. Any bank that declines too much becomes an automatic take over target. We are likely to see some interesting M&A action in the banking sector over the next one year. Even the problem of pricing risk in our unique environment has been mostly solved, or very soon will be. KCB, Equity et al moved over 30 billion in loans using their digital platforms in the last year - relying essentially on little more than a credit rating number and a digital profile. Watch how quickly the other Banks pile in. Mwangi's investment in Equitel suddenly begins to look prescient. My point? Don't cry for banks. They will do OK. They always do. "The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,121 Location: Nairobi
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Wamunyota wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:Wanjiku hayuko hapa This is a platform where elitist, overfed fat cats (who think they are gods gift to the Kenyan economy, well they are not) come to practice their navel gazing. They are the ones panicking, now that their beloved casino has been shaken a bit. Wanjiku is too busy building the real economy. So where does wanjiku get her money from? Kaburu, Waiguru, Ngunyi et al can afford 90% loans. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/3/2007 Posts: 1,634
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Wamunyota wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:Wanjiku hayuko hapa This is a platform where elitist, overfed fat cats (who think they are gods gift to the Kenyan economy, well they are not) come to practice their navel gazing. They are the ones panicking, now that their beloved casino has been shaken a bit. Wanjiku is too busy building the real economy. So where does wanjiku get her money from? Mostly from Shylocks, Chamas, SACOO's, Table banking, friends, relatives etc. No banks. The cause of this drastic bill is largely because Banks joined the Shylock business long ago - which they sanitize by using long words. Even Equity, which started out as Wanjikus Bank, joined the Shylock club some years ago. "The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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Wakanyugi wrote:Wamunyota wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:Wanjiku hayuko hapa This is a platform where elitist, overfed fat cats (who think they are gods gift to the Kenyan economy, well they are not) come to practice their navel gazing. They are the ones panicking, now that their beloved casino has been shaken a bit. Wanjiku is too busy building the real economy. So where does wanjiku get her money from? Mostly from Shylocks The cause of this drastic bill is largely because Banks joined the Shylock business long ago - which they sanitize by using long words. Even Equity, which started out as Wanjikus Bank, joined the Shylock club some years ago. shylock using many words 2% in a month looks very cheap to wanjiku "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/22/2009 Posts: 7,460
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VituVingiSana wrote:Jon Jones wrote:JM has lost a cool BIRRION today. Tomorrow is another day he will take one for the team. His entire networth might be cut by half or worse by the time dust settles with this law. This is the flip side of the stock market. One day a politician can decide to cut your networth. JM still has more than @VVS and the extended clan! And this is just paper loss. Isn't it Warren Buffet who said if you cannot bare to wake up and see your stock losing value by 50% without panicking then you should not be in the stock market? Or something close to that. Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/15/2013 Posts: 1,977 Location: Here
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When did Uchumi,Kplc and Total become banks? Asking for a friend who saw them in near 10% loss of banks territory. Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/15/2013 Posts: 1,977 Location: Here
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This was CBA and it was yesterday. Wacha wangojee secured borrowers. Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/15/2006 Posts: 3,905
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Thus spake Mr. Aly-Khan Satchu: Quote:The Shilling was last at 101.40. I am sure Not many Folks were ready to pop their heads above the Parapet today.
Today was the first Opportunity for the Stock Market to react to the statement issued by the President re the Banking Amendment Act [2015]. The Reaction was brutal and ugly. The Nairobi All Share slumped -5.01% to close at 139.14 The Nairobi NSE20 crashed -4.41% lower to close at 3309.76 a level last reached in March 2012. As I said August 8th ''we have entered a new populist normal. Politicians the World over are having to wrestle this [populist] tiger by its tail'' The President evidently was convinced that Parliament would return the Bill to him [if he were to reject it] with a super-majority and that Political response was probably perceived to diminish his ''populist'' bona fides. The Bill is in my opinion the equivalent of using a Sledge-Hammer to crack a nut. Banks will surely park their money in ''risk-free'' GOK Bills and Bonds. Small Banks [who were already struggling] are effectively out of the market. I find it difficult to see this Bill being operationalised in its present format or that lashings and lashings of credit are going to be made available at 14.5%. The Collateral damage as we are witnessing today is vicious and should give policy makers pause for thought. Banking Shares were a Sea of red.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/10/2014 Posts: 977 Location: Kenya
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Wakanyugi wrote:Wamunyota wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:Wanjiku hayuko hapa This is a platform where elitist, overfed fat cats (who think they are gods gift to the Kenyan economy, well they are not) come to practice their navel gazing. They are the ones panicking, now that their beloved casino has been shaken a bit. Wanjiku is too busy building the real economy. So where does wanjiku get her money from? Mostly from Shylocks, Chamas, SACOO's, Table banking, friends, relatives etc. No banks. The cause of this drastic bill is largely because Banks joined the Shylock business long ago - which they sanitize by using long words. Even Equity, which started out as Wanjikus Bank, joined the Shylock club some years ago. Inaitwa thinking forward People see 2% per month as cheap but cummulatively you can double you starting capital by the end of the year.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/2/2009 Posts: 26,328 Location: Masada
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watesh wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:Wamunyota wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:Wanjiku hayuko hapa This is a platform where elitist, overfed fat cats (who think they are gods gift to the Kenyan economy, well they are not) come to practice their navel gazing. They are the ones panicking, now that their beloved casino has been shaken a bit. Wanjiku is too busy building the real economy. So where does wanjiku get her money from? Mostly from Shylocks, Chamas, SACOO's, Table banking, friends, relatives etc. No banks. The cause of this drastic bill is largely because Banks joined the Shylock business long ago - which they sanitize by using long words. Even Equity, which started out as Wanjikus Bank, joined the Shylock club some years ago. Inaitwa thinking forward People see 2% per month as cheap but cummulatively you can double you starting capital by the end of the year. How does this Table banking work? Naono Hustlerless is fully on it. Portfolio: Sold You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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Wakanyugi wrote:Jon Jones wrote:Banking stocks will slide until end of the year when investors can roughly investigate the impact of the law on their profitability. Until then, expect massive exits and rock bottom prices. Banks have a smaller margin for error now. Only the best candidates will get loans. You can now know that you can now qualify for maybe half what you would have qualified for before the law. Banks have some of the smartest Kenyans at their helms. Can you think of Mwangi, Oigara, Muriuki etc, quietly accepting these kinds of loses in the competitive markets we have today? Think about this: The Governor has suspended the issuance of new banking licenses. Any bank that declines too much becomes an automatic take over target. We are likely to see some interesting M&A action in the banking sector over the next one year. Even the problem of pricing risk in our unique environment has been mostly solved, or very soon will be. KCB, Equity et al moved over 30 billion in loans using their digital platforms in the last year - relying essentially on little more than a credit rating number and a digital profile. Watch how quickly the other Banks pile in. Mwangi's investment in Equitel suddenly begins to look prescient. My point? Don't cry for banks. They will do OK. They always do. Is this really viable when rates are at 14.5% p.a.? Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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Quote:For instance, clause 33(B) (a) reads “the maximum interest rate chargeable for a credit facility in Kenya at no more than four per cent, the base rate set by the Central Bank of Kenya”.
A strict reading suggests that this number will be only four per cent of the base rate, which at 10 per cent would mean that it is mathematically 0.4 per cent.
The advocacy by those who supported the law shows that the intended effect was a four percentage point added to the base rate which would make it four per cent plus 10 per cent.
If not corrected, financial institutions could argue sensibly that this part of the law is incapable of being implemented considering that that rate would be far below the inflation rate.
http://www.nation.co.ke/oped/Opinion/New-law-good-but-banks-might-find-a-way-around-it-/440808-3356806-iaacf1z/index.html
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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murchr wrote:2012 wrote:Creativity starts now. Credit cards will now be one of the holy grails for the banks. Expect a call on soon from your 'friendly bank'. Credit cards are capped no? Bank transactions are about to be cleverly introduced. I see a mass exodus at MPESA bank. Those who've been salivating can now prepare their checks. Co-op will be hitting 9/- kesho Coop @ 9 ? That's too expensive. Their 2016 eps will be down by around 30%.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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FRM2011 wrote:murchr wrote:2012 wrote:Creativity starts now. Credit cards will now be one of the holy grails for the banks. Expect a call on soon from your 'friendly bank'. Credit cards are capped no? Bank transactions are about to be cleverly introduced. I see a mass exodus at MPESA bank. Those who've been salivating can now prepare their checks. Co-op will be hitting 9/- kesho Coop @ 9 ? That's too expensive. Their 2016 eps will be down by around 30%. EPS up 18% "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/3/2007 Posts: 1,634
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guru267 wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:Jon Jones wrote:Banking stocks will slide until end of the year when investors can roughly investigate the impact of the law on their profitability. Until then, expect massive exits and rock bottom prices. Banks have a smaller margin for error now. Only the best candidates will get loans. You can now know that you can now qualify for maybe half what you would have qualified for before the law. Banks have some of the smartest Kenyans at their helms. Can you think of Mwangi, Oigara, Muriuki etc, quietly accepting these kinds of loses in the competitive markets we have today? Think about this: The Governor has suspended the issuance of new banking licenses. Any bank that declines too much becomes an automatic take over target. We are likely to see some interesting M&A action in the banking sector over the next one year. Even the problem of pricing risk in our unique environment has been mostly solved, or very soon will be. KCB, Equity et al moved over 30 billion in loans using their digital platforms in the last year - relying essentially on little more than a credit rating number and a digital profile. Watch how quickly the other Banks pile in. Mwangi's investment in Equitel suddenly begins to look prescient. My point? Don't cry for banks. They will do OK. They always do. Is this really viable when rates are at 14.5% p.a.? I think it is possible. KCB, Equity, CBA etc are essentially using an algorithm to allocate loans, in other words small to zero transaction cost. Meaning the Shylock rates they levy now are pure risk cover plus - a humongous - margin. They can afford to go from the average 2% a month to 1% and still make good money. They simply have to learn to live without supernormal profits, like the rest of us. "The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
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Wai!! it is a blood bath, kcb, coop, equity down 9%
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