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Kenya Airways...why ignore..
Impunity
#5301 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 10:19:52 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,331
Location: Masada
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
3.60 sit tight, rights was at 14 to break the 14 you will be a millionaire

we have taken a big hit today.. the floor appears to have been retested.. but better times are ahead


Better times of sub-2 bob are yet to be tested.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

Spikes
#5302 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 10:30:44 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Impunity wrote:
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
3.60 sit tight, rights was at 14 to break the 14 you will be a millionaire

we have taken a big hit today.. the floor appears to have been retested.. but better times are ahead


Better times of sub-2 bob are yet to be tested.



@Obiero I pity you! Your only NSE bellwether , KQ, is hurriedly headed to the gallows. 50CENTS is on the offing. At 50 cents I'll swing in with full force of my fortune even if KQ is being suspended from trading the following day.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
maka
#5303 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 10:52:05 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Spikes wrote:
Impunity wrote:
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
3.60 sit tight, rights was at 14 to break the 14 you will be a millionaire

we have taken a big hit today.. the floor appears to have been retested.. but better times are ahead


Better times of sub-2 bob are yet to be tested.



@Obiero I pity you! Your only NSE bellwether , KQ, is hurriedly headed to the gallows. 50CENTS is on the offing. At 50 cents I'll swing in with full force of my fortune even if KQ is being suspended from trading the following day.


There is nothing positive about this company it's just 1 big shit hole and the worst thing is the MD staying putting...lack of ideas kabisa.
possunt quia posse videntur
ArrestedDev
#5304 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 11:57:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/29/2016
Posts: 898
Location: Nairobi
ArrestedDev wrote:
maka wrote:
9900


What's the number about? Any fresh resignations in the technical department???



Let him buy time as he wait for the pilot's strike. Answer to the above??
Ebenyo
#5305 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 1:42:05 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
EBENYO KQ FY 2015 results analysis and commentary.

Revenue-kshs 116,158,000,000
Expenses-kshs 142,265,00,000
Balance- Kshs negative 26,107,000,000.

*Fuel costs forms 40% of the airline direct costs.Deloite found a lot of corruption here involving employees.The pride of africa buys fuel at higher price than any other airline.Kq is loosing about 27 bilion here.If its sealed,operating loss will be wiped out.The tender process here is very corrupt.
Its commendable however that direct costs came down from 76 billion in 2014 to 67 bilion in 2015.The efforts done their are bearing fruits.
*7 aircrafts were leased/sold.Nevertheless,fleet ownership cost went up from 25 bilion to 29 bilion.This partly due to the arrival of the new aircraft.KQ should stop buying new aircrafts for now.Attention should be turned to the maintenance of current 36 aircrafts only.To make sure that they are in good conditions and are generating more revenues.
*With the intended staff lay off, i expect the overhead costs to come down in the next financial year.Kq should also make good use of pride center.
*The govt should give kshs 30 bilion to KQ in order to brigde the gap between operation costs and loans repayment.The company should go for cheap loans in the market.Avoid loan repayment in dollars.This will save atleast kshs 3.5 bilion.
*Customers should bear the costs of foreign exchange.At 10 bilion,foreign loss is high.
*Longterm loan of kshs113 bilion should be rescheduled.

BASED ON THESE FY 15 RESULTS:
*KQ will need to generate revenue in excess of kshs 143 bilion to close the profitability gap.This means they will have to make kshs 27 bilion more.
In FY 14 they generated kshs 110 bilion.That means they made 6 bilion more in FY 15.
*Let me assume they will make 6 bilion more in the current FY 16 period.That will bring revenue to kshs 122 bilion.Going this way,it will take atleast the next five years for KQ to return to profitability.

Towards the goal of financial freedom
Impunity
#5306 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 2:08:30 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,331
Location: Masada
maka wrote:
Spikes wrote:
Impunity wrote:
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
3.60 sit tight, rights was at 14 to break the 14 you will be a millionaire

we have taken a big hit today.. the floor appears to have been retested.. but better times are ahead


Better times of sub-2 bob are yet to be tested.



@Obiero I pity you! Your only NSE bellwether , KQ, is hurriedly headed to the gallows. 50CENTS is on the offing. At 50 cents I'll swing in with full force of my fortune even if KQ is being suspended from trading the following day.


There is nothing positive about this company it's just 1 big shit hole and the worst thing is the MD staying putting...lack of ideas kabisa.


9900
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

obiero
#5307 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 2:50:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,231
Location: nairobi
Ebenyo wrote:
EBENYO KQ FY 2015 results analysis and commentary.

Revenue-kshs 116,158,000,000
Expenses-kshs 142,265,00,000
Balance- Kshs negative 26,107,000,000.

*Fuel costs forms 40% of the airline direct costs.Deloite found a lot of corruption here involving employees.The pride of africa buys fuel at higher price than any other airline.Kq is loosing about 27 bilion here.If its sealed,operating loss will be wiped out.The tender process here is very corrupt.
Its commendable however that direct costs came down from 76 billion in 2014 to 67 bilion in 2015.The efforts done their are bearing fruits.
*7 aircrafts were leased/sold.Nevertheless,fleet ownership cost went up from 25 bilion to 29 bilion.This partly due to the arrival of the new aircraft.KQ should stop buying new aircrafts for now.Attention should be turned to the maintenance of current 36 aircrafts only.To make sure that they are in good conditions and are generating more revenues.
*With the intended staff lay off, i expect the overhead costs to come down in the next financial year.Kq should also make good use of pride center.
*The govt should give kshs 30 bilion to KQ in order to brigde the gap between operation costs and loans repayment.The company should go for cheap loans in the market.Avoid loan repayment in dollars.This will save atleast kshs 3.5 bilion.
*Customers should bear the costs of foreign exchange.At 10 bilion,foreign loss is high.
*Longterm loan of kshs113 bilion should be rescheduled.

BASED ON THESE FY 15 RESULTS:
*KQ will need to generate revenue in excess of kshs 143 bilion to close the profitability gap.This means they will have to make kshs 27 bilion more.
In FY 14 they generated kshs 110 bilion.That means they made 6 bilion more in FY 15.
*Let me assume they will make 6 bilion more in the current FY 16 period.That will bring revenue to kshs 122 bilion.Going this way,it will take atleast the next five years for KQ to return to profitability.


@ebenyo.. Are you part of the audit team handling KQ or these are simply your desires

obiero
#5308 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 2:52:20 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,231
Location: nairobi
Spikes wrote:
Impunity wrote:
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
3.60 sit tight, rights was at 14 to break the 14 you will be a millionaire

we have taken a big hit today.. the floor appears to have been retested.. but better times are ahead


Better times of sub-2 bob are yet to be tested.



@Obiero I pity you! Your only NSE bellwether , KQ, is hurriedly headed to the gallows. 50CENTS is on the offing. At 50 cents I'll swing in with full force of my fortune even if KQ is being suspended from trading the following day.

@spikes. kindly save your pity for someone else.. I have the boxes on this one checked. KQ will make me rich. Many people who have been here for a while rarely comment on my adventure because they have seen how I engage the NSE. Picking the real bottom is my stock in trade. I rarely do value-investing in blue chip firms. Dividends excite people like @vvs and yourself, but I do not need to wait out 365days for KES 0.90 dividend to validate my portfolio. I simply go where the percentages of outsized gain are highest. In government I find comfort and select private firms.. Thank me later

Ebenyo
#5309 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 3:23:14 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
obiero wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
EBENYO KQ FY 2015 results analysis and commentary.

Revenue-kshs 116,158,000,000
Expenses-kshs 142,265,00,000
Balance- Kshs negative 26,107,000,000.

*Fuel costs forms 40% of the airline direct costs.Deloite found a lot of corruption here involving employees.The pride of africa buys fuel at higher price than any other airline.Kq is loosing about 27 bilion here.If its sealed,operating loss will be wiped out.The tender process here is very corrupt.
Its commendable however that direct costs came down from 76 billion in 2014 to 67 bilion in 2015.The efforts done their are bearing fruits.
*7 aircrafts were leased/sold.Nevertheless,fleet ownership cost went up from 25 bilion to 29 bilion.This partly due to the arrival of the new aircraft.KQ should stop buying new aircrafts for now.Attention should be turned to the maintenance of current 36 aircrafts only.To make sure that they are in good conditions and are generating more revenues.
*With the intended staff lay off, i expect the overhead costs to come down in the next financial year.Kq should also make good use of pride center.
*The govt should give kshs 30 bilion to KQ in order to brigde the gap between operation costs and loans repayment.The company should go for cheap loans in the market.Avoid loan repayment in dollars.This will save atleast kshs 3.5 bilion.
*Customers should bear the costs of foreign exchange.At 10 bilion,foreign loss is high.
*Longterm loan of kshs113 bilion should be rescheduled.

BASED ON THESE FY 15 RESULTS:
*KQ will need to generate revenue in excess of kshs 143 bilion to close the profitability gap.This means they will have to make kshs 27 bilion more.
In FY 14 they generated kshs 110 bilion.That means they made 6 bilion more in FY 15.
*Let me assume they will make 6 bilion more in the current FY 16 period.That will bring revenue to kshs 122 bilion.Going this way,it will take atleast the next five years for KQ to return to profitability.


@ebenyo.. Are you part of the audit team handling KQ or these are simply your desires


@obiero,based on these results,the current turnaround strategy is just aimed at bridging the profitability gap.Realistically,thats painstakingly slow.It will take years to be effective.
Tell me anything else either from these results or insider hearsay or whatever else on:
1.How the company
intends to grow revenue.
2.How the company intends to cut down (a)Direct costs,(b)Fleet ownership costs (c)Overheads
Towards the goal of financial freedom
obiero
#5310 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 3:29:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,231
Location: nairobi
Ebenyo wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
EBENYO KQ FY 2015 results analysis and commentary.

Revenue-kshs 116,158,000,000
Expenses-kshs 142,265,00,000
Balance- Kshs negative 26,107,000,000.

*Fuel costs forms 40% of the airline direct costs.Deloite found a lot of corruption here involving employees.The pride of africa buys fuel at higher price than any other airline.Kq is loosing about 27 bilion here.If its sealed,operating loss will be wiped out.The tender process here is very corrupt.
Its commendable however that direct costs came down from 76 billion in 2014 to 67 bilion in 2015.The efforts done their are bearing fruits.
*7 aircrafts were leased/sold.Nevertheless,fleet ownership cost went up from 25 bilion to 29 bilion.This partly due to the arrival of the new aircraft.KQ should stop buying new aircrafts for now.Attention should be turned to the maintenance of current 36 aircrafts only.To make sure that they are in good conditions and are generating more revenues.
*With the intended staff lay off, i expect the overhead costs to come down in the next financial year.Kq should also make good use of pride center.
*The govt should give kshs 30 bilion to KQ in order to brigde the gap between operation costs and loans repayment.The company should go for cheap loans in the market.Avoid loan repayment in dollars.This will save atleast kshs 3.5 bilion.
*Customers should bear the costs of foreign exchange.At 10 bilion,foreign loss is high.
*Longterm loan of kshs113 bilion should be rescheduled.

BASED ON THESE FY 15 RESULTS:
*KQ will need to generate revenue in excess of kshs 143 bilion to close the profitability gap.This means they will have to make kshs 27 bilion more.
In FY 14 they generated kshs 110 bilion.That means they made 6 bilion more in FY 15.
*Let me assume they will make 6 bilion more in the current FY 16 period.That will bring revenue to kshs 122 bilion.Going this way,it will take atleast the next five years for KQ to return to profitability.


@ebenyo.. Are you part of the audit team handling KQ or these are simply your desires


@obiero,based on these results,the current turnaround strategy is just aimed at bridging the profitability gap.Realistically,thats painstakingly slow.It will take years to be effective.
Tell me anything else either from these results or insider hearsay or whatever else on:
1.How the company
intends to grow revenue.
2.How the company intends to cut down (a)Direct costs,(b)Fleet ownership costs (c)Overheads

1. Revenue growth via rote realignment with focus on Africa, plus enhanced incentives to ticket agents..
2. Less planes which are operating on near full capacity will lead to lower direct cost, as well as ownership cost. Additionally HOTAC shall also be managed via the enhanced OTP.
Fewer staff will have lower overhead..

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