wazua Sun, Jan 19, 2025
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In | Register

198 Pages«<174175176177178>»
Realities of Forex Investment
alutacontinua
#3501 Posted : Friday, August 05, 2016 5:04:22 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
alutacontinua wrote:
Its been an interesting close to the week with US advanced GDP coming in at 1.2% vs. 2.6-3.0% expected further pushing rate hike expectations. Probabilities of a September rate hike are now down to 12% from 28%.

BOJ caused lots of jitters today with Yen volatility being its highest since 2008. Kuroda disappointed Yen bears and with the bad GDP data USDJPY is currently down 2.8% for the day.

Interesting points to note are that BOJ have stated they are closely monitoring FX moves and are willing to take necessary steps if need be. (Bazookas from verbal interventions are more than likely going to happen more often)



Strong job numbers 255K vs. 180k expected pushing rate hike odds in September from 18% to 26% and December from 37% to 46%. USD bulls smiling....
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3502 Posted : Friday, August 05, 2016 6:15:12 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
FOMC is in 3 hours time and volatility is expected to kick in post that event.

Looking to trade short gold post FOMC. If price scales above 1350 the better. Looks weak and ready to trap bulls.

Is the USD about to start running higher? Is the pound about to fall off the cliff?


Working out well.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3503 Posted : Saturday, August 06, 2016 3:17:36 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
I continue to warn about the unexpected USD dizzy rally if Trump takes the top seat! Just like brexit got shorts squeezed in FTSE, shorting Trump is at extremes. This means the shorts will get squeezed when the Donald is elected!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
alutacontinua
#3504 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2016 3:35:11 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
Yen bulls have been really aggressive today.....USDJPY just broke through the 100 level and then the usual rhetoric starts from BOJ about monitoring the FX markets.....

http://news.forexlive.com/!/here-comes-the-japanese-jawboning-financial-authorities-are-watching-fx-closely-20160816
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
alutacontinua
#3505 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 9:34:22 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
The main discussion at last month's FOMC meeting was when to next raise interest rates. But the minutes show the committee had a discussion about their long-run policy strategy as well. While no official decisions were made during the discussion, policy makers said their future "framework should have the capacity to supplement conventional policy accommodation with other measures when short-term nominal interest rates are near zero." In other words, Fed officials are already thinking about the possibility that interest rates could return to zero in the future and that they must be prepared to take further steps. In recent years, the main additional and unconventional policy tool was QE. While the Fed is in tightening mode for now, the July discussion could signal officials are quite ready to initiate QE4 if needed.

Fed officials have been trying to nudge inflation up to their 2% target for more than four years and it's not getting any easier. Minutes of the central bank's July meeting show some officials continue to struggle to understand why inflation refuses to behave the way textbooks say it should. Some officials "expressed greater uncertainty about the trajectory of inflation," the minutes said. And "several" believe their inflation forecasts may be too optimistic as inflation expectations have remained low. Taken together, the minutes suggest Fed officials are no closer to resolving the conundrum that has been vexing them for years.

Couple of quotes from WSJ analyzing the FOMC statement.....I dont even know what to make of the very thought of QE4
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
mnandii
#3506 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2016 7:49:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


I would be LONG GBPUSD at current levels with a SL at 1.2868 and a target of 900 pips up. That's an R:R of >4:1
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3507 Posted : Saturday, September 03, 2016 7:58:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:


I would be LONG GBPUSD at current levels with a SL at 1.2868 and a target of 900 pips up. That's an R:R of >4:1




GBPUSD is best interpreted as forming a triangle as shown in my new chart. Expect a strong move down as soon as waves [d] an [e] complete.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3508 Posted : Saturday, September 03, 2016 5:04:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


The Triangle pattern Blue wave [.B.] is likely over at 1.1379. Expect a strong drop in EURUSD in coming weeks.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3509 Posted : Saturday, September 03, 2016 5:09:12 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:


The Triangle pattern Blue wave [.B.] is likely over at 1.1379. Expect a strong drop in EURUSD in coming weeks.



EURUSD 4 HOUR CHART below:

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3510 Posted : Saturday, September 03, 2016 5:12:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
GBPJPY rising in a third wave.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3511 Posted : Saturday, September 03, 2016 5:16:45 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
GBPJPY 4 HR Chart:

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3512 Posted : Saturday, September 03, 2016 5:20:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
GBPJPY 30 Min Chart:

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3513 Posted : Saturday, September 03, 2016 5:23:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
All the best in your trading. Remember volatility is returning big time. So expect major moves going forward. The Elliott Wave model serves such emotional markets well. Therefore expect very nice opportunities if you follow Elliott.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3514 Posted : Tuesday, September 06, 2016 10:37:09 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


I am SHORT AUDUSD with my SL at 0.7758. Expecting a strong third wave fall for about 2000 pips in the coming weeks.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#3515 Posted : Tuesday, September 06, 2016 4:38:46 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:


I would be LONG GBPUSD at current levels with a SL at 1.2868 and a target of 900 pips up. That's an R:R of >4:1

Target around 1.36
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#3516 Posted : Friday, September 09, 2016 10:37:48 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
mnandii wrote:


I would be LONG GBPUSD at current levels with a SL at 1.2868 and a target of 900 pips up. That's an R:R of >4:1

Target around 1.36


Short on this one. The triangle scenario is in play. Target now is down to 1.3067.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3517 Posted : Friday, September 09, 2016 10:39:48 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:


I am SHORT AUDUSD with my SL at 0.7758. Expecting a strong third wave fall for about 2000 pips in the coming weeks.


Short in play.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3518 Posted : Friday, September 09, 2016 10:43:51 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
GBPJPY 30 Min Chart:



Check you charts guys. The scenario played out to the T! Now its time to be long with your SL at 134.99

Chart below:

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3519 Posted : Friday, September 09, 2016 10:50:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
GBPJPY 30 Min Chart:



Check you charts guys. The scenario played out to the T! Now its time to be long with your SL at 134.99

Chart below:



Your target should be a MINIMUM of 500 pips to the upside.



To see the images better: RIGHT CLICK on image > OPEN in NEW TAB.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#3520 Posted : Friday, September 09, 2016 12:05:48 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Thanks @mnandii. Let's see how to ride the beast smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Users browsing this topic
Guest (5)
198 Pages«<174175176177178>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2025 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.