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Safaricom FY 2016 results net profit up 19.6%
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maka
#251 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 12:56:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
Othelo wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
hisah wrote:
Othelo wrote:
21 has printed, this one had defied all analysis both fundamental and technical smile smile smile

Which TA fans? Metasploit has an overshoot target at 25 while my target is 23. I'm watching the parabolic show. If the targets are blown off cum-div and the structure is sustained ex-div, then I'll have to do a fresh TA cartoon study after HY release in November.


TA guys called this long ago. I didn't believe

Anyway sitaki kubishana, but Safcom has defied a lot of predictions since 5bob, December 2012 ---- it has always broken pre-determined resistance level one after the other and the expected pullbacks and seller/buyer fatigues have not materialized as anticipated. I have followed this share religiously. smile


from 3 to 20 no one saw it coming. TA guys predicted among other actions. not going below 15 and pushing to 20+ from 17


Came across this...

http://wazua.co.ke/forum...px?g=posts&m=315757
possunt quia posse videntur
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Pesa Nane
#252 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 1:18:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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Ebenyo
#253 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 3:45:23 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
Pesa Nane wrote:


Michael Joseph should not retire.He is still needed in safaricom.He should continue as a board member.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
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murchr
#254 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 4:25:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Ebenyo wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:


Michael Joseph should not retire.He is still needed in safaricom.He should continue as a board member.


Read the last sentence - "be reelected as a director"
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Ebenyo
#255 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 5:06:07 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
murchr wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:


Michael Joseph should not retire.He is still needed in safaricom.He should continue as a board member.


Read the last sentence - "be reelected as a director"


Thanks muchr for correction.Make sure that is enacted if u will attend the AGM.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
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moneydust
#256 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 6:51:10 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/31/2007
Posts: 304
Ericsson wrote:
Safaricom is a great company in the wrong country.


I beg to differ.Safaricom is what it is because of the peculiarity of Kenyans ie no matter how much it shafts us we are still loyal.
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hisah
#257 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 7:25:13 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Assuming FY EPS comes in at 1.25 (31.6% eps growth) and 80% div payout is maintained div pay will be KES 1.00.

Maintaining the same PER of 20 means price will be above KES 25.

Div yield will be 6.72% (0.68+1.00) 1.68/25.

If this forecast is right the price still has a lot of headroom based on div yield.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, August 02, 2016 7:27 PM | Reason: Not specified
Aguytrying
#258 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 8:49:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
Assuming FY EPS comes in at 1.25 (31.6% eps growth) and 80% div payout is maintained div pay will be KES 1.00.

Maintaining the same PER of 20 means price will be above KES 25.

Div yield will be 6.72% (0.68+1.00) 1.68/25.

If this forecast is right the price still has a lot of headroom based on div yield.


True. But how long can this parabolic bear rally be maintained?
If safcom is the bell weather stock, then the bear is over. Coz it doesn't look to be slowing down
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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hisah
#259 Posted : Tuesday, August 02, 2016 9:36:57 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
hisah wrote:
Assuming FY EPS comes in at 1.25 (31.6% eps growth) and 80% div payout is maintained div pay will be KES 1.00.

Maintaining the same PER of 20 means price will be above KES 25.

Div yield will be 6.72% (0.68+1.00) 1.68/25.

If this forecast is right the price still has a lot of headroom based on div yield.


True. But how long can this parabolic bear rally be maintained?
If safcom is the bell weather stock, then the bear is over. Coz it doesn't look to be slowing down

Wanjikus no where in this bus based on the bid block trades since 2013. A fat dividend as well as zero debt and fat cashflow ensures big funds will keep the bids going. 15-16 level was defended strongly as the bear regrouped sending NSE20 sub 4000. That defence has been raised to 17-18 zone. I see little room for any huge correction exdiv! Wanjiku is so outpriced to cause a weak crowd...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mlennyma
#260 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2016 10:11:40 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
The party continues
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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