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Bear 2015 Wish List
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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Chaka wrote:I need some education..lets take TPSEA today for e,g There were zero trades.Does this mean that there were shares for sale but the asking prices were higher than the offer prices or what? Total demand = 7900 Supply = 0 "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/16/2007 Posts: 2,114
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I need some education..lets take TPSEA today for e,g there were zero trades.Does this mean that there were shares for sale but the asking prices were higher than the offer prices or what?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 5/25/2012 Posts: 4,105 Location: 08c
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Chaka wrote:I need some education..lets take TPSEA today for e,g there were zero trades.Does this mean that there were shares for sale but the asking prices were higher than the offer prices or what? Possibilities: 1. No buyers ie no bids 2. No sellers ie no offers 3. Price mismatch ie available buyers bid lower than what the sellers are offering 4. Market is closed  Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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DBLyon wrote:Aguytrying wrote:muandiwambeu wrote:mlennyma wrote:Look at NIC now gearing to lose the 35 handle my keen eye blinking now, I need some substance to dissuade me from loosing focus. wao The options are so many thank God I have all the info I need. I have since raised equity buy maximum price to 37.00 from yesterday and today I see equity is about to break lower. My eye tells me that. The wish list, which looked too ambitious last year has stood the test of time. I've been buying and will continue. With equity the apple of my eye Why is Equity the apple of your eye? Among other reasons. It's the best, biggest, fastest growing, good potential blue chip bank on the NSE The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Chaka wrote:I need some education..lets take TPSEA today for e,g there were zero trades.Does this mean that there were shares for sale but the asking prices were higher than the offer prices or what? Basically. No bids were matched. Meaning if the best selling price was 22 no buyer matched it. Or if the highest buying bid was 20 no seller sold his shares at that bid. For whatever reason including no bids on the either side of buying or selling The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,820 Location: Nakuru
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ARM at 29.50.....what is the status with IFC? How much is the dilution? Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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sparkly wrote:NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight.$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Museveni wrote:Aguytrying wrote:The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve. Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre. In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round. Using a P|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now. STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE
EQUITY 4.63 25-33 39.25
KCB 5.63 30-40 46.00
NIC 7.07 38-49 49.00
NSE 2.13 12-15 20.00
DTB 21.92 120-154 204.00
HFCK 2.75 15-20 21.50
JUBILEE 48 264-340 560.00
PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 67.00
SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.00
NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 184.00
TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 33.00
BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 154.00
KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 8.50
EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 295.00
ARM 3.01 30-45 61.00
BAT 42.55 300-450 741.00
CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 62.00
FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.50
BOC 11.76 65-85 133.00 The price in green was in August 2015, almost 1 year ago. compare with today The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: User Joined: 1/20/2014 Posts: 3,528
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Aguytrying wrote:Museveni wrote:Aguytrying wrote:The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve. Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre. In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round. Using a P|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now. STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE
EQUITY 4.63 25-33 39.25
KCB 5.63 30-40 46.00
NIC 7.07 38-49 49.00
NSE 2.13 12-15 20.00
DTB 21.92 120-154 204.00
HFCK 2.75 15-20 21.50
JUBILEE 48 264-340 560.00
PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 67.00
SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.00
NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 184.00
TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 33.00
BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 154.00
KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 8.50
EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 295.00
ARM 3.01 30-45 61.00
BAT 42.55 300-450 741.00
CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 62.00
FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.50
BOC 11.76 65-85 133.00 The price in green was in August 2015, almost 1 year ago. compare with today Apart from three ... Safaricom, BAT and KK, the rest have had their prices massacred Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/18/2014 Posts: 1,127
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hisah wrote:sparkly wrote:NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight. Mainstream media will soon have its 'kodak' moment. The global trend is either a company adapts to the changing world or it's swept away. The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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lochaz-index wrote:hisah wrote:sparkly wrote:NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight. Mainstream media will soon have its 'kodak' moment. The global trend is either a company adapts to the changing world or it's swept away. NMG will weather the storm but they need to restructure and diversify fast. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Othelo wrote:Aguytrying wrote:Museveni wrote:Aguytrying wrote:The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve. Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre. In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round. Using a P|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now. STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE
EQUITY 4.63 25-33 39.25
KCB 5.63 30-40 46.00
NIC 7.07 38-49 49.00
NSE 2.13 12-15 20.00
DTB 21.92 120-154 204.00
HFCK 2.75 15-20 21.50
JUBILEE 48 264-340 560.00
PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 67.00
SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.00
NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 184.00
TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 33.00
BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 154.00
KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 8.50
EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 295.00
ARM 3.01 30-45 61.00
BAT 42.55 300-450 741.00
CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 62.00
FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.50
BOC 11.76 65-85 133.00 The price in green was in August 2015, almost 1 year ago. compare with today Apart from three ... Safaricom, BAT and KK, the rest have had their prices massacred Quite true. Safaricom, BAT, KK and Bamburi have actually GAINED! The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Member Joined: 1/3/2014 Posts: 257
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Aguytrying wrote:Othelo wrote:Aguytrying wrote:Museveni wrote:Aguytrying wrote:The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve. Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre. In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round. Using a P|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now. STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE
EQUITY 4.63 25-33 39.25
KCB 5.63 30-40 46.00
NIC 7.07 38-49 49.00
NSE 2.13 12-15 20.00
DTB 21.92 120-154 204.00
HFCK 2.75 15-20 21.50
JUBILEE 48 264-340 560.00
PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 67.00
SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.00
NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 184.00
TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 33.00
BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 154.00
KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 8.50
EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 295.00
ARM 3.01 30-45 61.00
BAT 42.55 300-450 741.00
CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 62.00
FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.50
BOC 11.76 65-85 133.00 The price in green was in August 2015, almost 1 year ago. compare with today Apart from three ... Safaricom, BAT and KK, the rest have had their prices massacred Quite true. Safaricom, BAT, KK and Bamburi have actually GAINED! Another day passes and the wishlist targets continue to come into range. Aguytrying, kudos...your predictions becoming a reality.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Thanks sniper. I'm even surprised by some declines but majority are within range now The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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hisah wrote:sparkly wrote:NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight. VWAP closes at 120. Right on support and on vol spike! This will be tough to watch as the leakage gathers speed.
@aguy will you buy at 100 Crazy! $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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hisah wrote:hisah wrote:sparkly wrote:NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight. VWAP closes at 120. Right on support and on vol spike! This will be tough to watch as the leakage gathers speed.
@aguy will you buy at 100 Crazy! Wow. Note i said unlikely to print, that's how much I'm surprised. The value investor in me will buy at that price. They should have learnt from kodak that's my view. But shoking!! The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/1/2014 Posts: 903 Location: sky
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i have a bear wishlist of around seven stocks two of them have reached my target scangroup and cic. i have already done buying scangroup and started cic. i have decided once my target is reached i buy without turning back. i have a target of 3 to five years. There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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littledove wrote:i have a bear wishlist of around seven stocks
two of them have reached my target scangroup and cic. i have already done buying scangroup and started cic.
i have decided once my target is reached i buy without turning back. i have a target of 3 to five years. The right focus is what is needed during the big bear season. Good work  $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 4/4/2016 Posts: 1,997 Location: Kitale
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[quote=hisah][quote=littledove]i have a bear wishlist of around seven stocks two of them have reached my target scangroup and cic. i have already done buying scangroup and started cic. i have decided once my target is reached i buy without turning back. i have a target of 3 to five years. @little dove,can you pliz share your wish list? i also wish for five more stocks as i continue to build my ideal portfolio. Towards the goal of financial freedom
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