Swenani wrote:So if you take that loan,you wont be living but surviving
what happens incase you lose your job? Get an emergency(medical etc),schooling?
I will take this opportunity to address majority of the posts addressed to me above here since this forum allows me to post one reply per hour then wait until another hours passes.
I have done virtual trading by trading with Kshs 3m on
http://www.valuraha.com/platform since 2013 and on
https://stf.younginvestors.co.ke/nsechallenge/ since last year coming to the top 3 on the respective platforms. I know the dynamics rapidly shift when in a real life situation but I am not starting from zero. I have also been a ghost reader with no account on wazua since Dec 2013 and I have actually read almost all posts in the different forums i.e. from investor to politics etc.
When in campus I was making 15k a month gross on internship here when the team was quite small and we didn't make much money. Before then my pocket money was 10k a month. Which means it's not something that I cannot do. Ever since I got this job I have been very lax on doing anything good for the long run and in fact just started saving recently when I got scared of living an average life throughout my life.
Losing my job is
extremely unlikely for now since I am one of the highest performing members as of now...this can be attributed to the fact that I don't have a family like most members so I am able to get a leg up since they work strictly 9-5.
I am up for a promotion in fact and I have a few offers from companies that I get from time to time.
I figure my salary will just keep going up and up for those years plus I always have some side job i.e. small consultancy like every other tech guy, that I do every month which I can make an average of
25-50k a month mostly.
This does not include the annual bonus, though not guaranteed, which I got of
100K for the end of last year.
Masters is mostly evening classes and I figure I will not be the first to do it together with my work. In fact I started a full time internship at this company while on full time studies at a public university when I was in 2nd year and I did ace my tests eventually.
There will
ALWAYS be an emergency to think about but
statistically speaking this is the
most low risk time for me to take upon such a project since I do not have the emergencies of
other people to think about too for now.
I have really put some thought into it and I have come to the conclusion that I will go ahead with the loan.
And if everything does not work out it doesn't mean I will be at
Kshs 0.00 like most people assume.
I have share options where I work that are worth around
Kshs 650K as of our last funding which I can exercise at a cost of
Kshs 103,655 as of now but I am not about to touch these anytime soon unless I get fired.
TheGeek wrote:Try this.
Instrruct your bank to direct deposit that 50k on a specific date to a money market fund. The best ones are Amana and Pan Africa Pesa +.
After you accumulate 6months -1yr living expenses then you can take these stock market risks.
My advice is use the funds to pay for some additional education or aqcuire some professional papers.
While at that investment firm do network as much as possible you could find yourself glaring at opportunities.
In this bearish markets I am not sure how well these funds are doing. Even their alternative investment, real estate is not doing so well right now.
Subtract the
management fee which is how they make their money, you will see that the rates are really not as good as the agents make them sound. Also factor in inflation at around
6-7% you will find yourself making only around
4-6% actual interest on your money tops.
My end goal is to start a small fund of my own when I get to around 28-30 and obtain funds by posting my actual trading history to small time wazees back home and friends and asking them to give me a small sum of 500k upwards to start with.
tom_boy wrote:You sound like a bride about to get married to the village layabout and no amount of advice from the elders will dissuade. Go ahead, drink from the poisoned chalice. I guarantee you will waste 6 yrs of income ( if you are lucky) but will gain 10yrs in wisdom.
That is a high probability too. But refer above to the reply I made to Swenani that I cannot have zero returns. If I gain that 10yrs of interest in 6yrs due to bad returns that won't be bad since I'm 23. I really do not want to start making this mistakes when I am in my 30s.
The main thing I fear is adjusted interest rates due to inflation.
Kenyan Oracle wrote:Learn to cast your bread upon many waters. Had I known what I know now when I was around your age, I'd have gone real estate full throttle.
The prime investment of late had been high end apartments and offices in nice areas. But if we look at the recent trend, real estate has been really slowing down. Most places that have rent above 50k have
TO LET signs for even a year. There is a lot of unoccupied office space too.
This is mainly because of the concentration on the Nairobi market though. There is a lot of potential in the smaller towns but real estate is not for everybody to be honest. I can only concentrate on what I am good at, or what I think I am good at since we do not have a track record yet
mufasa wrote:I think you can hack it. But just note that from now on you're going to be having two jobs.
The suggested counters are good but to break-even you will need to be VERY good at short term trading.
Once the risk has been lowered you can now engage in mid term and long terms. The first two years will require a lot of dedication in research and implementation.
Thanks a lot. I have already been tracking the market on a daily basis for about 2.5yrs now and I can almost recite by heart most annual highs and lows for a while.
My actual job involves making trading software for the firm I work for so I am very ready to take upon this challenge.
I have really really taken this advice to heart. PeterReborn wrote:ulekijana wrote:PeterReborn wrote:Dont take that loan to buy shares.You would rather accumulate the shares slowly.Te stock market may only recover from 2018.
Taking the loan though is a good idea rather than wasting the money with alcohol and women.Get the loan and buy a piece of land from verified property sellers like mhasibu and safaricom housing.With the 2m you can buy 4 or 5 piece of land at 400k each.
I am not going the land route since perhaps I am too chicken.
Why? I have no idea how not to get ripped off with all this fake titles going around. Then I find there is the lie in the now popular 1/8th an acre.
Even then, I really don't want to buy land that I do not have money to develop i.e. fence, pay land rates, I do not know anything about farming and surely that will not leave me with cash to even erect 2 apartments
My plan is to build the cash from the loan and buy a 1/8th when I get to 26 where I plan to settle when I get family at 30 I estimate. By then I will be disciplined enough as an investor to plan for a house wisely and hopefully not come back here with another question of a loan
Seems you are still very young and naive.You still thing life is a straight line where you can put deadlines to getting married,getting kids etc.
I started buying shares from my HELB loan and still accumulating.Creating wealth is not an overnight process.
I told you to buy from trustworthy sources and you can search right here on wazua on some of the genuine sellers of land and property.
You will need to take a loan of loans in your life in order to grow.The idea is to fast track your loans and take another one once you are done.That way you will accumulate assets faster.There is no wealthy man that doesn't have a loan that they are paying.
Thank for the reality check. I am very naive in terms of life etc to be honest. I just started making money the other day. The only thing I have known well is to code. That is why I posted here to get advice from people that have failed to do it, are doing it well or have done it all. There is everyone of that character on this forum so it made sense to me to be candid about my thoughts so that I get good feedback positive or negative.
And as you said, everybody has a loan that they are paying. I cannot put a straight line on life, but that does not mean that I shouldn't try to plan a little at least or have goals.
I know most people here know what they are saying but these 1/8th plots since what everybody is doing these days is buy 1acre, divide in several eighths and sell the individual pieces for highly inflated costs.
All the while though, I do think it is actually a good investment but I prefer something that I am only playing with numbers for now. Riskier but that is what I know best. Plus someone has to put some money into all of these REITS coming up
sparkly wrote:Take the loan, buy stocks. Its a bear market and stocks are bound to recover in the next 2-3 years. Do not listen to the naysayers. If you buy stocks worth 3m and they rise by 50%, you will make a profit of 1.5m. less the 500k interest and you will have a clean 1m in your pocket.
The key is how choose your stocks to minimise loss (Not to maximise profits):
Pick stocks with low PE (Less than 8), history of dividends (Dividend in last 5 years), high dividend yield (at least 5%). DO NOT buy more than 3 shares! You can't watch over too many eggs.
Then sit back and enjoy the fruits of leverage.
This information I treasure. Especially not to panic and sell when things start turning sour.
All in all. I will go ahead with this. Talk to my employer to get me documents and get started on the process next week when I am on a short leave.
Thanks to everybody that I have not replied to but what you've said is at the back of my mind. Especially more to the people that have been very critical and have not told me what I wanted to hear.
I have gotten responses from a lot of people that I admire here with the only person missing being Obiero not telling myself some KQ but his history of trades has been a great case study of mine including that thread about his portfolio