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Kengen success
Aguytrying
#521 Posted : Thursday, June 30, 2016 3:49:33 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
One positive other than the successful rights is that institutional investors have increased via rump up and new applications. I think they are in it for the dividend.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
obiero
#522 Posted : Thursday, June 30, 2016 6:31:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,519
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
streetwise wrote:
Kengen right will proof to have been a rip off one day.

There is little you expect from this share unless you want to count the rate of increase of dams

An exercise where the government was smart not to spend a coin in cash.



Not true.

Treasury borrowed monies from development partners at concessionary rates and on-lend to Kengen. Kengen was servicing interest on the on-lend amounts to Treasury.

thank you for being the few who trust the government


I actually didn't trust the government. But I am willing to stick my neck out where the general market mood is too fearful. My target is 150% upside.

my only dispute is that the market will offer a better discount than the rights which could have made you richer than you will be,no doubt you will make some money


Inshallah. I await Mr. markets Discount's. I have set aside some cash for more Kengen at 5-6 and Equity 30-35.

it's however not a big deal for Kengen to clock 15-20 in a bull market

That will take time. Glad I sold off

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
VituVingiSana
#523 Posted : Thursday, June 30, 2016 7:59:40 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
enyands wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
obiero wrote:
opted to offload today at 6.90

why?


Obiero is someone you will never understand. He will swim against the current, he will sprint when people are running and crawl when people are sprinting .

He will inform you he sold kengen to buy more kq ...wait and see

Try and understand that I trade on insider information. I stay atleast 2 weeks ahead of most. Sometimes, months ahead depending on the firm

“With enough insider information and a million dollars, you can go broke in a year.“ - Warren Buffett
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#524 Posted : Thursday, June 30, 2016 8:01:19 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
streetwise wrote:
Kengen right will proof to have been a rip off one day.

There is little you expect from this share unless you want to count the rate of increase of dams

An exercise where the government was smart not to spend a coin in cash.



Not true.

Treasury borrowed monies from development partners at concessionary rates and on-lend to Kengen. Kengen was servicing interest on the on-lend amounts to Treasury.

thank you for being the few who trust the government

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly @miennyma
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
jgithige
#525 Posted : Thursday, June 30, 2016 8:24:14 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/10/2014
Posts: 145
Location: Nairobi
Shame on you
VituVingiSana wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
streetwise wrote:
Kengen right will proof to have been a rip off one day.

There is little you expect from this share unless you want to count the rate of increase of dams

An exercise where the government was smart not to spend a coin in cash.



Not true.

Treasury borrowed monies from development partners at concessionary rates and on-lend to Kengen. Kengen was servicing interest on the on-lend amounts to Treasury.

thank you for being the few who trust the government

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly @miennyma


Clever way by Gava. It wud have been a challenge to sell one right at Ksh 13.3 so creatively 2 rights for everyone held at Ksh 6.65
"Blowing out someone else candle won't make yours shine brighter"-Anonymous
Cornelius Vanderbilt
#526 Posted : Friday, July 01, 2016 2:08:29 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/15/2015
Posts: 817
goverment uptake of its rights saved the rights issue but clearly the market isnot interested in the rights

http://www.businessdaily...92/-/oq7vm4/-/index.html
sparkly
#527 Posted : Friday, July 01, 2016 3:44:30 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
The spirit on this thread.... many would have wanted to see the Kengen rights flop Sad
Life is short. Live passionately.
obiero
#528 Posted : Friday, July 01, 2016 4:01:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,519
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
The spirit on this thread.... many would have wanted to see the Kengen rights flop Sad

The success was hinged on 70% government ownership and its conversion of debt to equity. Ideally, very little new cash has been pumped in. The key question is.. Did the government pay Sh6.3 billion in cash for its uptake of shares?? Next year is 2017 my friends.. I have some data on this one hence reason for bailing out at KES 6.90. Thank me later

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#529 Posted : Friday, July 01, 2016 4:09:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,684
Location: NAIROBI
@Obiero
Punguza temper you can't win everytime so for those who particpated wish them well.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Aguytrying
#530 Posted : Friday, July 01, 2016 4:26:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
sparkly wrote:
The spirit on this thread.... many would have wanted to see the Kengen rights flop Sad


lol. I agree guys too negative even bitter. ive reduced my criticism.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
obiero
#531 Posted : Friday, July 01, 2016 8:10:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,519
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
@Obiero
Punguza temper you can't win everytime so for those who particpated wish them well.

No temper @ericsson.. Just laying down a fact. The company said it needed cash, how much cash in shilling terms was collected for the intended projects

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Ebenyo
#532 Posted : Friday, July 01, 2016 11:43:02 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 1,997
Location: Kitale
As for many like me wenye tuliingia kengen juzi,we will be happy to increase our holding with the low prices.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
Ericsson
#533 Posted : Saturday, July 02, 2016 8:06:22 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,684
Location: NAIROBI
@Obiero
Go and read the information memorandum. The purpose was to re balance the debt:equity ratio so for the case of gqva part of the debt was retired by converting to equity for the rights issue. So if for example kengen owed gava sh.30bn post rights issue its now 10bn.
That gives kengen room to pay lower finance costs and get loans from JICA for new power plants to be built
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Aguytrying
#534 Posted : Saturday, July 02, 2016 10:21:37 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Ericsson wrote:
@Obiero
Go and read the information memorandum. The purpose was to re balance the debt:equity ratio so for the case of gqva part of the debt was retired by converting to equity for the rights issue. So if for example kengen owed gava sh.30bn post rights issue its now 10bn.
That gives kengen room to pay lower finance costs and get loans from JICA for new power plants to be built


I used to like kengen once upon a time. Then came the massive expansion plans using debt. mind boggling debt figures. that was the end for me. even this rights issue is to reduce debt so they can borrow more. i have an issue with too much (gross) debt. debt to equity ratio be damned
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Ericsson
#535 Posted : Saturday, July 02, 2016 1:29:42 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,684
Location: NAIROBI
@Aguytrying.
If the company is able to utilise the debt well, grow assets, grow its revenue, grow the profits and give out consistent dividends then there should be no cause of alarm of the debt.
Moreover the company has a brilliant finance director
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#536 Posted : Saturday, July 02, 2016 1:42:08 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,684
Location: NAIROBI
The day you see chinese becoming the major financiers and creditors to kengen run away very very fast especially if it's a G to G agreement
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ebenyo
#537 Posted : Saturday, July 02, 2016 6:46:29 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 1,997
Location: Kitale
Aguytrying wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
@Obiero
Go and read the information memorandum. The purpose was to re balance the debt:equity ratio so for the case of gqva part of the debt was retired by converting to equity for the rights issue. So if for example kengen owed gava sh.30bn post rights issue its now 10bn.
That gives kengen room to pay lower finance costs and get loans from JICA for new power plants to be built


I used to like kengen once upon a time. Then came the massive expansion plans using debt. mind boggling debt figures. that was the end for me. even this rights issue is to reduce debt so they can borrow more. i have an issue with too much (gross) debt. debt to equity ratio be damned


I was attracted to kengen by a high dividend yield.I entered at kshs 6.80 which at the current dps of kshs 0.60 represents a dividend yield of 11%.Im also not very comfortable with a high debt to equity ratio.But im comfortable with my entry price.With the rights issue shares coming to the market,i hope to add more at cheaper price.Im comfortable with their business monopoly which i believe will continue growing profits.They have also been consistent at paying dividends since listing in 2006.So as long as they make profits,pay me dividend,i will be comfortable in the medium term.I will keep increasing my holding at cheap price while increasing my dividend pay.This is a company im in for mainly divisification.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
sparkly
#538 Posted : Saturday, July 02, 2016 7:14:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Ebenyo wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
@Obiero
Go and read the information memorandum. The purpose was to re balance the debt:equity ratio so for the case of gqva part of the debt was retired by converting to equity for the rights issue. So if for example kengen owed gava sh.30bn post rights issue its now 10bn.
That gives kengen room to pay lower finance costs and get loans from JICA for new power plants to be built


I used to like kengen once upon a time. Then came the massive expansion plans using debt. mind boggling debt figures. that was the end for me. even this rights issue is to reduce debt so they can borrow more. i have an issue with too much (gross) debt. debt to equity ratio be damned


I was attracted to kengen by a high dividend yield.I entered at kshs 6.80 which at the current dps of kshs 0.60 represents a dividend yield of 11%.


That is if DPS is maintained at 0.6 after the dilution. highly unlikely.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Ericsson
#539 Posted : Saturday, July 02, 2016 11:25:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,684
Location: NAIROBI
@Sparkly
Dividend payout ratio is the key
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Aguytrying
#540 Posted : Sunday, July 03, 2016 2:46:15 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
sparkly wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
@Obiero
Go and read the information memorandum. The purpose was to re balance the debt:equity ratio so for the case of gqva part of the debt was retired by converting to equity for the rights issue. So if for example kengen owed gava sh.30bn post rights issue its now 10bn.
That gives kengen room to pay lower finance costs and get loans from JICA for new power plants to be built


I used to like kengen once upon a time. Then came the massive expansion plans using debt. mind boggling debt figures. that was the end for me. even this rights issue is to reduce debt so they can borrow more. i have an issue with too much (gross) debt. debt to equity ratio be damned


I was attracted to kengen by a high dividend yield.I entered at kshs 6.80 which at the current dps of kshs 0.60 represents a dividend yield of 11%.


That is if DPS is maintained at 0.6 after the dilution. highly unlikely.


After dilution the yield at 6.55 should be about 3-4%. I hope u know That @Ebenyo.

Just divide the dividend by 4. To estimate the new dividend. Assuming pay out ratio remains the same
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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