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Realities of Forex Investment
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hisah
#3441 Posted : Friday, June 24, 2016 6:00:44 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
murchr wrote:
Who's holding the Sterling?


Wild wild west. This volatility was expected. For the pound to completely breakdown it needs to crash below the 1.35 handle vs USD.

The yen bulls too are showing super charged strength as $/yen loses the 100 handle.

Tsunami red across asian markets. When europe opens I expect limit down circuit breakers to suspend most markets. Liquidity is tight with crazy spreads all over.

Sit tight! Over to you PPT...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#3442 Posted : Friday, June 24, 2016 6:18:45 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
$1.35 handle breaking down in asian!!! This is going to a long day...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3443 Posted : Friday, June 24, 2016 8:14:37 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
The spike in cable to 1.50 just 8 hours ago then a sharp plunge to 1.32 is something i haven't seen in a while.
The shorts taken out down to these lows unprecedentedSad
Most traders caught unawares. Sentiment was for Bremain.
@SufficientlyP
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3444 Posted : Friday, June 24, 2016 8:33:28 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
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Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
USD Bulls back on the driving seat.
Poor Kuroda. what will he do with the Yen bullsSad
@SufficientlyP
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3445 Posted : Friday, June 24, 2016 8:40:41 AM
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Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Cable back up to the GFC lows of 1.35
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hisah
#3446 Posted : Friday, June 24, 2016 11:19:18 AM
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Posts: 8,977
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
USD Bulls back on the driving seat.
Poor Kuroda. what will he do with the Yen bullsSad

BoJ must be in a crisis meeting ATM. The funny NIR policy they've implemented has set them up for a nice blow-back. Currently taking in yen losses as well as equity losses since they own a lot of Nikkei stocks.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#3447 Posted : Saturday, June 25, 2016 1:53:53 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
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Getting ready for a strong USD as the brexit reality sets in.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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alutacontinua
#3448 Posted : Sunday, June 26, 2016 9:41:04 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
http://www.bloomberg.com...over-stocks-on-u-k-vote

Interesting article about what to expect in the coming weeks.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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mnandii
#3449 Posted : Monday, June 27, 2016 7:25:03 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


GO LONG GBPJPY SL 133.06. TARGET MIN. OF 2000 PIPS.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#3450 Posted : Monday, June 27, 2016 8:43:26 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:


GO LONG GBPJPY SL 133.06. TARGET MIN. OF 2000 PIPS.

I see you are joining the pound bulls smile

The volatility has setup nice fat tails in pound. Only pair to avoid the bull side is £/$ since the $ will sharply rally vs everyone in coming weeks.

As for euro bulls good luck! The long term outlook doesn't exist! Holding euros is crazy play that makes goldbugs or cryptocurrency holders look sane!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#3451 Posted : Monday, June 27, 2016 8:53:22 AM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Sell Gold. Target >>1200 pips.

The current 2016 gold rally doesn't look sustainable. I'm still of the opinion that gold will test $1000 handle and lower before getting a meaningful low, which will launch the next bullish rally to challenge the all time highs.

Brexit has redrawn the bear outcome and forced a flip over! Gold above $1310 on a monthly closure means higher highs. No need of standing infront of the train.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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lochaz-index
#3452 Posted : Monday, June 27, 2016 6:14:52 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
hisah wrote:
mnandii wrote:


GO LONG GBPJPY SL 133.06. TARGET MIN. OF 2000 PIPS.

I see you are joining the pound bulls smile

The volatility has setup nice fat tails in pound. Only pair to avoid the bull side is £/$ since the $ will sharply rally vs everyone in coming weeks.

As for euro bulls good luck! The long term outlook doesn't exist! Holding euros is crazy play that makes goldbugs or cryptocurrency holders look sane!

Good to see FA and TA aligning with regards to the GBP while fear mongering on the same escalates. Meanwhile, the yen is still punching above its weight vs even the USD.A spectacle of reversals await.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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The Great
#3453 Posted : Tuesday, June 28, 2016 2:23:00 AM
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Joined: 9/9/2015
Posts: 233
What are your trading times @hisah and @philangathropic
"Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."
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The Great
#3454 Posted : Tuesday, June 28, 2016 2:24:38 AM
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Joined: 9/9/2015
Posts: 233
Philangathropic looks like 4pm,Hisah looks like 2am. Is that about right
"Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."
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hisah
#3455 Posted : Tuesday, June 28, 2016 5:11:12 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The Great wrote:
Philangathropic looks like 4pm,Hisah looks like 2am. Is that about right

Asia and London sessions for me due to my timezone smile On eventful days like GFC, grexit, brexit etc one needs redbull, black coffee et al to keep on going coz of the huge time difference!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3456 Posted : Tuesday, June 28, 2016 9:45:37 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
The Great wrote:
Philangathropic looks like 4pm,Hisah looks like 2am. Is that about right


London/New York sessions - Between 8:00 am — 12:00 noon EST (EDT):
EUR/USD, GBP/USD and Dow30 are my favorites in this session.

Tokyo session - Between 7:00 pm — 2:00 am EST (EDT):
USD/JPY my favorite here.

@SufficientlyP
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3457 Posted : Tuesday, June 28, 2016 10:03:39 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
The Great wrote:
Philangathropic looks like 4pm,Hisah looks like 2am. Is that about right

Asia and London sessions for me due to my timezone smile On eventful days like GFC, grexit, brexit etc one needs redbull, black coffee et al to keep on going coz of the huge time difference!


smile
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hisah
#3458 Posted : Wednesday, June 29, 2016 6:00:23 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Billionaire Soros Was ‘Long’ on Pound Before Vote on Brexit

The state of reality.

My opinion still remains that the crowd is being setup against the pound on the wrong side. BoE rate is the same as Fed rate while ECB rate is on NIRP (negative). It's a no brainer why there's no case for a pound sell panic. I don't see why smart money would be short the pound in future.

Meanwhile let the irrational market continue dishing fat discounts smile

My position is bullish UK stocks (FTSE) and the pound long term and very bearish on the euro currency. Also bullish on the Dow and USD as I continue betting against the crowd.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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alutacontinua
#3459 Posted : Wednesday, June 29, 2016 6:48:55 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
hisah wrote:
Billionaire Soros Was ‘Long’ on Pound Before Vote on Brexit

The state of reality.

My opinion still remains that the crowd is being setup against the pound on the wrong side. BoE rate is the same as Fed rate while ECB rate is on NIRP (negative). It's a no brainer why there's no case for a pound sell panic. I don't see why smart money would be short the pound in future.

Meanwhile let the irrational market continue dishing fat discounts smile

My position is bullish UK stocks (FTSE) and the pound long term and very bearish on the euro currency. Also bullish on the Dow and USD as I continue betting against the crowd.


"Soros Fund Management took a short position in Deutsche Bank AG of about 7 million shares, or a total notional of about $100 million, as turmoil from the U.K.’s decision to leave the European Union sent bank stocks lower. The position taken on Friday was equivalent to 0.51 percent of Deutsche Bank’s share capital, according to a German filing published on Monday. The document doesn’t show at which price the fund took the position."

He was able to hedge brilliantly......Euro banks have been tanking after Brexit with Italian banks using the volatility as an excuse to ask for a 40B euro bailout. Its interesting to see how talk about coordinated global mon. policy is looking like more stimulus from BOJ and even raising the probabilities of a rate cut by the FED. Interesting times.....


You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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Metasploit
#3460 Posted : Wednesday, June 29, 2016 9:20:36 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Biggest Brexit Losers? Not UK Stocks

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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