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Investors Lounge
hisah
#4851 Posted : Friday, June 10, 2016 4:41:42 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Global Investors Are Fleeing U.S. Stocks at a Record Pace

This will absolutely make no sense, but I expect US markets to keep grinding higher! Too many bears - opposite of 2007. If US stocks do slip by 20% that will be a nice opportunity to buy. I don't see why Dow will not test the 20K level.

Using mainstream media as a sentiment gauge indicates bears will get squeezed out of town and cause a spike rally in the next parabolic melt up.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4852 Posted : Friday, June 10, 2016 4:57:20 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Japan 10-Year Yield Falls to Record Low as Bonds Rally Globally

This madness has to stop.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4853 Posted : Monday, June 13, 2016 5:03:10 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Commerzbank considers hoarding billions to avoid ECB charges

Quote:
Commerzbank, one of Germany's biggest lenders, is examining the possibility of hoarding billions of euros in vaults rather than paying a penalty charge for parking it with the European Central Bank, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Such a move by a bank part-owned by the German government would represent one of the most substantial protests yet against the ECB's ultra-low rates, which have been criticised by politicians including Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble.


Just a small percentage increase in global govts bond yields will see a spectacular investor wipe out. When sovereign bond debt crisis hits town, GFC will just be a small flash in the pan. Hoarding cash will be listed as a financial crime!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Spikes
#4854 Posted : Monday, June 13, 2016 8:05:47 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
hisah wrote:
Commerzbank considers hoarding billions to avoid ECB charges

Quote:
Commerzbank, one of Germany's biggest lenders, is examining the possibility of hoarding billions of euros in vaults rather than paying a penalty charge for parking it with the European Central Bank, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Such a move by a bank part-owned by the German government would represent one of the most substantial protests yet against the ECB's ultra-low rates, which have been criticised by politicians including Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble.


Just a small percentage increase in global govts bond yields will see a spectacular investor wipe out. When sovereign bond debt crisis hits town, GFC will just be a small flash in the pan. Hoarding cash will be listed as a financial crime!



When is that expected?
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
hisah
#4855 Posted : Monday, June 13, 2016 12:42:17 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Spikes wrote:
hisah wrote:
Commerzbank considers hoarding billions to avoid ECB charges

Quote:
Commerzbank, one of Germany's biggest lenders, is examining the possibility of hoarding billions of euros in vaults rather than paying a penalty charge for parking it with the European Central Bank, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Such a move by a bank part-owned by the German government would represent one of the most substantial protests yet against the ECB's ultra-low rates, which have been criticised by politicians including Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble.


Just a small percentage increase in global govts bond yields will see a spectacular investor wipe out. When sovereign bond debt crisis hits town, GFC will just be a small flash in the pan. Hoarding cash will be listed as a financial crime!



When is that expected?

It's hard to time such events, but like from Q3 2016.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4856 Posted : Monday, June 13, 2016 12:44:25 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Libyan sovereign wealth fund battles Goldman Sachs in court

Le Squid back in court defending itself vs Libya SWF. The Libyan SWF has a number of court cases running this year vs the financial magicians club.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#4857 Posted : Wednesday, June 15, 2016 2:29:31 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
lochaz-index
#4858 Posted : Wednesday, June 15, 2016 9:34:34 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
lochaz-index wrote:
Trouble brewing in Italy. Bank of Italy governor is calling for bail-in rules as prescribed by the EU to be shelved. Having experienced bank runs caused by the bail-in rules a fretful BoI is favoring bail-outs in dealing with troubled banks.

Problem is, Italy's non-performing loans are the equivalent of a fifth of its GDP. A hefty sum enough to sucker punch Europe as we know it.

With a brexit looming large, Italy will probably have to defy Brussels, institute a selective bail-out(save some and let some banks collapse) then play hard ball threatening to quit the EU.

http://www.reuters.com/a...-of-italy-idUSL8N18S1YR


So not only do Italian banks have a massive NPL overhang but they are also sitting on a disproportionate amount of sovereign debt.

This mess gets bigger and bigger. With the ECB toying with the idea of imposing restrictions on sovereign holdings it either be:
1. Raise capital in foul weather market or;
2. Offload a substantial chunk to the market at costly haircutshaircuts.

Not good either way. http://www.bloomberg.com...italy-if-brexit-approved
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
lochaz-index
#4859 Posted : Wednesday, June 15, 2016 9:47:15 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Spanish banks facing a nasty refund dilemma thanks to a judgment in favour of a class action lawsuit. If the provision for rising bad debts was not a bad enough albatross here comes the guillotine. http://www.wsj.com/artic...loor-clauses-1460049434

What timing? Brick wallPray

This one will be apocalyptic. The ECJ will make a decision on this lawsuit in a month's time and instead of handing some form of reprieve it is about to go ballistic.

The Spanish banks were to do refunds on mortgages with floor clauses issued from May 2013 but this could be backdated to the day of commencement of the mortgage.

June/July period is sure living up to its pin up credentials it exhibited a while back.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
murchr
#4860 Posted : Wednesday, June 15, 2016 11:28:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
543 Pages«<484485486487488>»
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