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2016 bear rush dream stocks
CheckYourSix
#1 Posted : Thursday, May 19, 2016 2:29:39 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 8/26/2015
Posts: 26
Location: Nairobi
Hey guys,

I am just but a beginner on stocks trading and I purchased my first stock;WTK @ 172 earlier this week.

My first rule of thumb is to not pick a share that does not have a dividend offering. This is because if I lose on capital gains, at least the dividends even out brokerage fee or cover some of the loses.


Picks

BBK - Current Price: Kshs 10.40
-32% over the past year
-24.36% over 6months
-18.11% over 3months
-0.48% over 1month

5.4b shares available

DivYld: 9.6%

NIC - Current Price: Kshs 37.50

0.67% gain over past day -
No change over the past week
-2.60% loss over the past month
-6.25% loss over the past 3 months
-10.71% loss over the past 6months
-31.19% loss over the past year

639.9 M shares available
3.3 % DivYld

I am willing to get in at Kshs 36

They have very good mobile banking, customer care and I don't really see any people exiting to other banks.

Perhaps they may even claim some of Chase Bank customers as a go to SME bank

KAPC - Current Price - Kshs 80
-31% over 1yr
-54% over 6months
-15.79% over the last 3months
-10.11% over the last month
-5.33% over the last week

DivYld 6.3%
7.8M shares available

With increasing debt plus upcoming elections, the shilling with probably keep getting weaker or at the current constant with the dollar which means that profits from tea sales with only keep getting better.

The opening of the tea market in Iran coupled with predicted short falls of rain will probably lead to shortage hence boosted tea prices.

Looks like there is some room to fall a bit further so I am waiting to pick it up at maybe Kshs 75/=

KCB - Current Price Kshs 41.75

-28.63% Over the past year
1.83% gain over 6months
4.38% gain over 3months
-1.76% loss over 1month
2.45% gain over the past week
1.83% gain over the past day

DivYld 4.8%
3bn shares available

This looks to have stagnated at the 40kshs price. Forecasts would seem to be very good especially after good handling of the Chase bank receivership which did not experience as much exit after reopening. Also considering a sizeable percentage that ran away before escaped to KCB :/

KCB MPESA micro loans are only going to keep getting better

I am willing to pick this as soon as it touches Ksh 39

I am thinking of accumulating WTK, KAPC, KCB in that order during this bear run maybe till Sep and then sell everything next year.

WTK and KAPC are seasonal hence this I must dump immediately after I get my dividends or when capital gains are too high


What do you guys think? I am very interested especially in critic

sparkly
#2 Posted : Thursday, May 19, 2016 6:29:42 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
If you intend to sell everything in 1 yr, an year is a very short time in stocks cycle. 3-5 years is more realistic for a meaningful return.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Spikes
#3 Posted : Thursday, May 19, 2016 7:54:03 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
sparkly wrote:
If you intend to sell everything in 1 yr, an year is a very short time in stocks cycle. 3-5 years is more realistic for a meaningful return.



Very helpful observation @sparkly as most of us are greedy for even little short term returns.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Aguytrying
#4 Posted : Thursday, May 19, 2016 11:50:50 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
If you intend to sell everything in 1 yr, an year is a very short time in stocks cycle. 3-5 years is more realistic for a meaningful return.



Very helpful observation @sparkly as most of us are greedy for even little short term returns.


You seem to be going about it the right way. Focus on valuation of the stock rather than the price movements.

Like @sparkly says 3-5 years minimum, short of which u will watch the shares u sold rising for a long time
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
mkate_nusu
#5 Posted : Wednesday, June 15, 2016 6:12:57 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/30/2016
Posts: 332
Location: Kayole
CheckYourSix wrote:
Hey guys,

I am just but a beginner on stocks trading and I purchased my first stock;WTK @ 172 earlier this week.

My first rule of thumb is to not pick a share that does not have a dividend offering. This is because if I lose on capital gains, at least the dividends even out brokerage fee or cover some of the loses.


Picks

BBK - Current Price: Kshs 10.40
-32% over the past year
-24.36% over 6months
-18.11% over 3months
-0.48% over 1month

5.4b shares available

DivYld: 9.6%

NIC - Current Price: Kshs 37.50

0.67% gain over past day -
No change over the past week
-2.60% loss over the past month
-6.25% loss over the past 3 months
-10.71% loss over the past 6months
-31.19% loss over the past year

639.9 M shares available
3.3 % DivYld

I am willing to get in at Kshs 36

They have very good mobile banking, customer care and I don't really see any people exiting to other banks.

Perhaps they may even claim some of Chase Bank customers as a go to SME bank

KAPC - Current Price - Kshs 80
-31% over 1yr
-54% over 6months
-15.79% over the last 3months
-10.11% over the last month
-5.33% over the last week

DivYld 6.3%
7.8M shares available

With increasing debt plus upcoming elections, the shilling with probably keep getting weaker or at the current constant with the dollar which means that profits from tea sales with only keep getting better.

The opening of the tea market in Iran coupled with predicted short falls of rain will probably lead to shortage hence boosted tea prices.

Looks like there is some room to fall a bit further so I am waiting to pick it up at maybe Kshs 75/=

KCB - Current Price Kshs 41.75

-28.63% Over the past year
1.83% gain over 6months
4.38% gain over 3months
-1.76% loss over 1month
2.45% gain over the past week
1.83% gain over the past day

DivYld 4.8%
3bn shares available

This looks to have stagnated at the 40kshs price. Forecasts would seem to be very good especially after good handling of the Chase bank receivership which did not experience as much exit after reopening. Also considering a sizeable percentage that ran away before escaped to KCB :/

KCB MPESA micro loans are only going to keep getting better

I am willing to pick this as soon as it touches Ksh 39

I am thinking of accumulating WTK, KAPC, KCB in that order during this bear run maybe till Sep and then sell everything next year.

WTK and KAPC are seasonal hence this I must dump immediately after I get my dividends or when capital gains are too high


What do you guys think? I am very interested especially in critic



Need to reduce your buying target prices and hold tight
KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
Badgericho
#6 Posted : Wednesday, June 15, 2016 7:42:16 PM
Rank: Hello


Joined: 8/27/2015
Posts: 4
As usual WWDC was a big hit. Launch of iOS X gives a big boost for iphone sales which eventually gives a kick to AAPL stock. Many analysts are rather giving mixed reactions over this aapl stock. But that's just BS, with that kind of cash reserves I would never leave the stock where company can its potential on rather any new technology or for that matter "new sectors".
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