Wazua
»
Investor
»
Stocks
»
directional forecast
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/25/2014 Posts: 2,300 Location: kenya
|
Spikes wrote:karasinga wrote:Let us have a look at btak With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making. If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below. Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.
Where are we.Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5. Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No Expectation.If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either; 1st target 10 to 10.52nd target 9.6 to 9.4STATEMENT DISCLAIMER This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...625&p=22#post717715
I was absolutely correct with my prophecy. I just saw you thanking Ericson for having helped you not getting shafted. I saw non of prophecy. Put the thread number sir.
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
|
enyands wrote:Spikes wrote:karasinga wrote:Let us have a look at btak With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making. If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below. Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.
Where are we.Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5. Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No Expectation.If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either; 1st target 10 to 10.52nd target 9.6 to 9.4STATEMENT DISCLAIMER This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...625&p=22#post717715
I was absolutely correct with my prophecy. I just saw you thanking Ericson for having helped you not getting shafted. I saw non of prophecy. Put the thread number sir. Thread #437. It is amazing that Wazuans have a powerful memory if you can still remember Ericsson advising me. John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
|
|
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
|
karasinga wrote:Let us have a look at btak With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making. If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below. Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.
Where are we.Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5. Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No Expectation.If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either; 1st target 10 to 10.52nd target 9.6 to 9.4STATEMENT DISCLAIMER This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis Nice to see more TA fans
10 handle has been my target for this golden handcuff. This is one stock that has instilled a very valuable lesson to the utopia greed party riders. Pop went the bubble and the carnage was awesome! Below the 10 handle level the better the trade as the washout completes. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
|
|
Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
|
Keno First I want to revise our wave count following last week events. Feel free to criticize. I am still learning. Then kindly let me bring to our attention something I missed to mention in the last analysis that could be is not obvious. If we go back to the end of wave 1(of c or 5), keno had a RSI(14) bearish divergence as shown below that resulted to corrective wave 2( of c or of 5). I want you to look keenly on the blue vertical line. The 1st line had a low price of 8.5 while RSI(14) was @ 47.79. on the 2nd line,the price low was 8.6(a bit higher that the 8.5) and RSI(14) @ 47.23( a bit lower than 47.79). that was a positive reversal sign that defined end of correction wave 2.The red lines are showing divergence. closer look rsi closer look price Then let us look at what happened last week. The same sign was even present by the time we had the last analysis. If you can recall “in wave 4 correction,this should be in mind. If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa. so do we have wave 4 of 3 or 4 of c in place already? could be yes could be no. “ wave 4(of c or of 3) made a triangle correction as evident on the chart Where are we? wave 5 (of c or 3) is in the making. Expectation Our targets on the chart still remain. So far we have passed target 1 and 2. Let see what happens at or around target 3 of 12.2. remember we still have the following possibilities; (a) wave 4 that will correct after end of 5 of 3 and then the last wave that will complete the first 5 impulse(high probability) or (b) a wave in a downtrend after end of 5 of c STATEMENT DISCLAIMER This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
|
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
|
@karasinga. I request a more simplified version. Ie. KK is heading to price x, or price y. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
|
|
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,103 Location: Nairobi
|
Aguytrying wrote:@karasinga. I request a more simplified version. Ie. KK is heading to price x, or price y. I am in the same boat as @Aguy Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
|
|
Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
|
@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying let me try. ADSS a good buy 1st target =1.98 2nd target = 2.16 3rd target = 2.66 btak hit our 1st target expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5 i ope this meets your request you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
|
karasinga wrote:@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying
let me try. ADSS a good buy 1st target =1.98 2nd target = 2.16 3rd target = 2.66
btak hit our 1st target expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5
i ope this meets your request
you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts
Just Click "Quote" on the right side of your page that should do. Am assuming that is what you are asking. On Btak do you think its oversold? The trend seems to suggest that the results will be terrible. They should be announcing anytime "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
|
|
Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/15/2013 Posts: 1,977 Location: Here
|
murchr wrote:Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader . Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
|
Boris Boyka wrote:murchr wrote:Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader . We are trapped . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
|
|
Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
|
murchr wrote:karasinga wrote:@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying
let me try. ADSS a good buy 1st target =1.98 2nd target = 2.16 3rd target = 2.66
btak hit our 1st target expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5
i ope this meets your request
you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts
Just Click "Quote" on the right side of your page that should do. Am assuming that is what you are asking. On Btak do you think its oversold? The trend seems to suggest that the results will be terrible. They should be announcing anytime murchr, thanks. i analyse with no news. when will the news be released? i am not the best person to comment on how results will be. but following wave principles btak is about to hit its bottom. they say the first rally will be by professional trader while the rest sit back thinking bear is still on. everyone else will want to join later while the professional trader will be selling to you at the top. do your due diligence though. It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
|
karasinga wrote:murchr wrote:karasinga wrote:@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying
let me try. ADSS a good buy 1st target =1.98 2nd target = 2.16 3rd target = 2.66
btak hit our 1st target expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5
i ope this meets your request
you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts
Just Click "Quote" on the right side of your page that should do. Am assuming that is what you are asking. On Btak do you think its oversold? The trend seems to suggest that the results will be terrible. They should be announcing anytime murchr, thanks. i analyse with no news. when will the news be released? i am not the best person to comment on how results will be. but following wave principles btak is about to hit its bottom. they say the first rally will be by professional trader while the rest sit back thinking bear is still on. everyone else will want to join later while the professional trader will be selling to you at the top. do your due diligence though. Historically, they have released their FY results in the 2nd or 3rd week of March. If the news is terribly gloomy, they will release on Thurs evening because we have a holiday on Fri and Mon so by the time the market opens up on Tues Wanjiku (local investors) have forgotten about it and are looking fwd to the next set of results. The trend now just shows FY15 was nasty "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
|
|
Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
|
murchr wrote:Boris Boyka wrote:murchr wrote:Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader . We are trapped . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go these targets are still sound target 1 11.29( so far the high exceeded our target by 0.11 2nd target 12.2 tighten you trailing stops if you are not yet out It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
|
karasinga wrote:murchr wrote:Boris Boyka wrote:murchr wrote:Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader . We are trapped . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go these targets are still sound target 1 11.29( so far the high exceeded our target by 0.11 2nd target 12.2 tighten you trailing stops if you are not yet out @karasinga refer me please to a material that can assist me obtain waves on my desktop analysis. Your wave principle application is amazing man! Nobody can dispute true knowledge based on pure numericals. John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
|
murchr wrote:Boris Boyka wrote:murchr wrote:Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader . We are trapped . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go Feeling the heat already? The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/25/2014 Posts: 2,300 Location: kenya
|
karasinga wrote:murchr wrote:Boris Boyka wrote:murchr wrote:Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader . We are trapped . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go these targets are still sound target 1 11.29( so far the high exceeded our target by 0.11 2nd target 12.2 tighten you trailing stops if you are not yet out @karasinga you are hotcake. When you done with kk I'll wait for you at Centum and equity. Just get done here
|
|
Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
|
enyands wrote:karasinga wrote:murchr wrote:Boris Boyka wrote:murchr wrote:Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader . We are trapped . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go these targets are still sound target 1 11.29( so far the high exceeded our target by 0.11 2nd target 12.2 tighten you trailing stops if you are not yet out @karasinga you are hotcake. When you done with kk I'll wait for you at Centum and equity. Just get done here stick around enyands It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
|
|
Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
|
VituVingiSana wrote:Aguytrying wrote:@karasinga. I request a more simplified version. Ie. KK is heading to price x, or price y. I am in the same boat as @Aguy for swing trade kplc possible best buy targets: 1st target = 10.72nd target = 10.383rd target = 9.4EQT LOAD..... why? a stable support @40 sell targets 1st target = 43.5-442nd target = 45-463rd target = 46.7-47.3STATEMENT DISCLAIMER This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
|
|
Rank: New-farer Joined: 3/22/2016 Posts: 1
|
The comprehensive examination serves not only as a risk assessment, it also covers a variety of areas aimed at providing the company, shareholders and likely investors information regarding the potential investment quality. Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) reports, technical reports and environmental studies are only a few of the steps involved in the actual exploration of a given site, richard warke.
|
|
Wazua
»
Investor
»
Stocks
»
directional forecast
Forum Jump
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.
|