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hisah
#4741 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2016 4:29:53 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
lochaz-index wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
A chronology on the possibility of Deutsche Bank being the next Lehman debacle. Explains why Germany has been treating Greece with kid gloves and the non-default shenanigans. Implausible derivatives to Germany GDP ratio thrown in for good measure.

Top billing for the hiring of former Lehman fixed income honcho.

http://notquant.com/is-d...e-bank-the-next-lehman/

Deutsche bank Glencore headlines coming soon and market turmoil...


http://www.bloomberg.com...er-market-amid-pullback

Deutsche Bank and credit suisse axed as Belgian primary dealers.


http://www.bloomberg.com...capacity-of-1-1-billion

Deutsche bank issuing a couple of rebuttals on its balance sheet position. Add the fact that they have openly decried negative rates by the ECB and BoJ...that lehmann scenario is playing out almost to perfection.

Credit Suisse is quickly following the same path. Turmoil.

Schaeuble says he has no concerns over Deutsche Bank.

When govt officials say don't panic, it's time to PANIC!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4742 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2016 4:40:38 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Yield on Japan's 10-year bonds falls below zero

Quote:
A rush to “safe-haven assets” has sent the interest rate on Japanese 10-year bonds plummeting below zero, the first time in the history of government debt that the yield on a G7 country’s 10-year bonds has been negative.

The interest rate on the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) touched minus 0.01% in trading on Tuesday.


The race to the bottom is about to go parabolic. When we get out of this global devaluation storm the turmoil will be epic.

The last man standing will be the USD. And in order to reset the excruciating debt pain this strong USD will have caused to the humogous govt debts a new reserve currency will have to be coined.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#4743 Posted : Thursday, February 11, 2016 11:43:32 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
FTSE,DAX,DOW,USDJPY ALL SERIOUSLY TANKING ATM!!!!
@SufficientlyP
Aguytrying
#4744 Posted : Thursday, February 11, 2016 1:51:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
A chronology on the possibility of Deutsche Bank being the next Lehman debacle. Explains why Germany has been treating Greece with kid gloves and the non-default shenanigans. Implausible derivatives to Germany GDP ratio thrown in for good measure.

Top billing for the hiring of former Lehman fixed income honcho.

http://notquant.com/is-d...e-bank-the-next-lehman/

Deutsche bank Glencore headlines coming soon and market turmoil...


http://www.bloomberg.com...er-market-amid-pullback

Deutsche Bank and credit suisse axed as Belgian primary dealers.


http://www.bloomberg.com...capacity-of-1-1-billion

Deutsche bank issuing a couple of rebuttals on its balance sheet position. Add the fact that they have openly decried negative rates by the ECB and BoJ...that lehmann scenario is playing out almost to perfection.

Credit Suisse is quickly following the same path. Turmoil.

Schaeuble says he has no concerns over Deutsche Bank.

When govt officials say don't panic, it's time to PANIC!


Our gaamemt has also issued a Re assurance that the economy is stable, macro economics will be stable this year . Yet no one has said the contrary.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
murchr
#4745 Posted : Monday, February 15, 2016 5:39:09 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Its going to be another day in the red, with this kind of news coming from China

Reuters wrote:
Japan's economy shrank more than expected in the final quarter of last year as consumer spending and exports slumped, adding to headaches for policymakers already wary of damage the financial market rout could inflict on a fragile recovery.

Gross domestic product contracted by an annualized 1.4 percent in October-December, bigger than a market forecast for a 1.2 percent decline and matching a fall marked in the second quarter of last year, Cabinet Office data showed on Monday. It followed a revised 1.3 percent increase in the previous quarter..........
............................................................................................................
With his stimulus policies that gave big manufacturers windfall profits, Abe had hoped to generate a positive cycle in which companies raise wages and help boost household spending.

Instead the data showed that private consumption, which makes up 60 percent of GDP, fell 0.8 percent, exceeding market forecasts of a 0.6 percent decline.

Economy Minister Nobuteru Ishihara told reporters after the data was issued that the economy would head for a moderate recovery as its fundamentals remained strong.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Ericsson
#4746 Posted : Monday, February 15, 2016 8:41:50 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,808
Location: NAIROBI
The economic problems Japan is facing is due to lack of young people and an aging population.
Emphasis should be put in trying to raise the birth rate from 1.1 child per family to about 2.0.
That will produce a huge mkt for its products hence boosting domestic and private consumption
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
lochaz-index
#4747 Posted : Monday, February 15, 2016 11:24:07 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
murchr wrote:
Its going to be another day in the red, with this kind of news coming from China

Reuters wrote:
Japan's economy shrank more than expected in the final quarter of last year as consumer spending and exports slumped, adding to headaches for policymakers already wary of damage the financial market rout could inflict on a fragile recovery.

Gross domestic product contracted by an annualized 1.4 percent in October-December, bigger than a market forecast for a 1.2 percent decline and matching a fall marked in the second quarter of last year, Cabinet Office data showed on Monday. It followed a revised 1.3 percent increase in the previous quarter..........
............................................................................................................
With his stimulus policies that gave big manufacturers windfall profits, Abe had hoped to generate a positive cycle in which companies raise wages and help boost household spending.

Instead the data showed that private consumption, which makes up 60 percent of GDP, fell 0.8 percent, exceeding market forecasts of a 0.6 percent decline.

Economy Minister Nobuteru Ishihara told reporters after the data was issued that the economy would head for a moderate recovery as its fundamentals remained strong.

South Korea is a very reliable bellwether state as far as the world's economy is concerned. Once it's trade/economic metrics start pointing south, you know it's time to sit up and pay attention. Mid last year was the watershed moment for this particular economic cycle...everything has been tanking ever since.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Cde Monomotapa
#4748 Posted : Monday, February 15, 2016 1:40:51 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
What's Real in the trenches & outlook. Great quip!

Quote:
“We are very bearish for the first half of the year,” Chief Executive Officer Robert Dudley said at the IP Week conference in London Wednesday. “In the second half, every tank and swimming pool in the world is going to fill and fundamentals are going to kick in. The market will start balancing in the second half of this year.”
http://www.bloomberg.com...ge-tanks-are-filling-up


alutacontinua
#4749 Posted : Friday, February 19, 2016 7:36:20 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
Interesting take by Ray Dalio on what the future of Monetary Policy is likely to be by Central Banks

https://www.linkedin.com...feed-article-title-share
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
lochaz-index
#4750 Posted : Saturday, February 20, 2016 8:35:26 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
[quote=alutacontinua]Interesting take by Ray Dalio on what the future of Monetary Policy is likely to be by Central Banks

https://www.linkedin.com...eed-article-title-share[/quote]
CB's will go absolutely nuts when formulating policies to tame deflation. At this point, it's safe to say that QE4 will be an epic fail when it is launched.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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