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Realities of Forex Investment
NGAATU
#341 Posted : Monday, October 27, 2008 4:28:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 107
I suppose a panic has gripped the euro market!! The LSE and european markets are opening under 5% as of now,fear fear fear.The asian stocks still have taken the toll.

My short TP with NZD/USD and GBP/USD have already been hit.I think the passyson TP for EUR/USD have already been hit.I think the yen need to be rebalanced cause its hurting their economy.The fear of global reccesion is still looming at large,asian markets are in panic( the emerging markets like india's mumbai has already shed 7%)

@toni Your stocks have already lost 35% of the value,thats much.Are they in NSE? Cause currently the market is still on a down lane and i think it will stabilise but not near already below 4000 pnts and still going under.Maybe you can liquidate the counters which you think they will take time to bounce back,but with the good counters i think you can take time and leave them as for sure in future it will be on track.

Liquidate the laggards as the opportunity cost of investing in forex will be big,in forex for that short period though volatile you can hit it and recover the 35% losses incurred.

@NGAATU
tonicasert
#342 Posted : Monday, October 27, 2008 4:55:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Hi,

Thanks Ngaatu for the insight. Am in NSE. Thats good advice,I will partially liquidate the risky ones like KQ,and maybe Safaricom - tis a painfull loss for this one. Will hold onto the banking counters.

Managed a short at 1.5430 (current market 1.5370). Am targeting around 1.5340.
tonicasert
#343 Posted : Monday, October 27, 2008 5:39:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Closed the GBPUSD short with +90 pips profit. GBPUSD went to 1.5280. Taking a break now,we'll watch the market till evening and see whether I can enter then.

Gd Afternoon.
NGAATU
#344 Posted : Monday, October 27, 2008 5:56:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 107
Looming reccesion fears in U.S. I think most TP have been hit .As of now lets really wait the market information,the German IFO data has been released tumbling down the euro further.

@NGAATU
NGAATU
#345 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 4:26:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 107
Am closing the NY session ( and pre- aussie session)by going short on 30pips with the NZD/USD .hoping to close the market well.

Have a goodnite @all and happy morning trade.

@NGAATU
NGAATU
#346 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 12:47:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 107
Morning @all @passyson @toni. I hit my SL at 30 pips with NZD/USD going short,the closing session aint that gud i suppose.

Looking for a brighter day.


@NGAATU
tonicasert
#347 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 2:17:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Morning all,

My first short GBPUSD short trade for the day stopped out at - 40 pips. Yen currently losing ground too rapidly,especially in the last few minutes. Rumours of BoJ intervention. Changed my trading strategy to long GBPUSD. Currently long at 1.5720. Set my take profit at 100 pips,though watching for any signs of plateuing on the gains.

Happy trades to all!
tonicasert
#348 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 2:42:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Japan minister saying he would anything to stop the rapid gains of the Yen seen earlier,as G7 ministers also expressing concerns on the Yen gains,saying they would cap the same. RBA intervening to prop up the AUD =&gt; I guess may translate to weaker JPY (this is a heavy carry trade pair) and weaker USD across the board.

Just my 2 cents worth.
tonicasert
#349 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 3:36:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Stopped out at -80 pips. Standing aside for now,may re-enter later.
Passyson
#350 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 7:25:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/8/2008
Posts: 97
Hi all...just came back from a funeral service.

Gone long NZD/JPY @ 51.978 with T/P @ 52.905 and S/L @ 50.905...20 lots.

Talk to you later

G/L.

Anyone who lives within their means suffers from a lack of imagination
Passyson
#351 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 9:49:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/8/2008
Posts: 97
NZP/JPY T/P got hit and that is a cool 1900USD in like 2hrs...Gone long AUD/JPY @59.845 with a target T/P @ 60.760 and a S/L @ 58.760....20 lots.

Fellow traders,i have been thinking that with time,we should lease a space in town where we can offer free trading lessons to anyone interested and we can also trade together as one complete unit. I really don't know the feasibility of this but i believe that in due time and most probably after the get together planned for all stocksKenya users,we can sit down and work this out.

If we are making an average of 1000USD each daily from forex trading,i am sure we can give a little bit back to charity.

Wont cost us much i believe. Think about it.

Anyone who lives within their means suffers from a lack of imagination
tonicasert
#352 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 10:28:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Recovered some earlier losses with a short on GBPUSD with +95 pips [though irrelevant now - got busy to post the trade].

@Passyon,I have been toying with that idea for some years now. In the UK and other markets,they're called Trader's Arcades. Though I was thinking on a more proffessional and commercial basis (which is what happens abroad) as opposed to charitable. I have the setup in mind,holla tonicasert@yahoo.com I'll give you more details.


Passyson
#353 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 10:46:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/8/2008
Posts: 97
The AUD/JPY pair seems to have taken a downturn...exited the trade with 500USD loss. I guess i can take a chill pill on the Yen crosses.

Targeting EUR/USD in the next hour.

Anyone who lives within their means suffers from a lack of imagination
tonicasert
#354 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 11:20:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Currently long GBPUSD at 1.5581. Not very comfy with this trade,so targeting 25 pips profit,Stop Loss at 40 pips.
tonicasert
#355 Posted : Tuesday, October 28, 2008 11:46:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Profit taken. Standing aside,though cable may be headed to the next resistance of 1.5700,suggesting buying on dips and taking small profits,upto that resistance.

Lemme step out for some jogging to clear my mind and cut the flab,will be back to see whether I can make some more pips.

GL and GT
NGAATU
#356 Posted : Wednesday, October 29, 2008 1:35:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 107
@passyson
Pole for the misfortunes which happened to you.
That is a brilliant idea brother,i think we really need to tell everyone there how helpful the market is and also give realistic attention to most would be investors.I surely support the idea and i think it is feasible if we all pull our resources in it and have the will.

I really been supporting that we need to form a kind of kasociety where we will be continous helping each other and of course helping anyone by giving free information and guide on how to trade the markets.We need to look at it seriously wazee. I think a good place in nairobi can only cost around Ksh 20000 per month or USD 250 which i think we can raise it comfortably.

Other costs will be minimal but the plus side we will have a venue where we can all trade comfortably and give infor to a lot and help freely to anyone.My mail i think you have it: casee83@yahoo.com .

@kilabe @passyson @toni and others,guys lets put it in place as soon as feasibility will be viable.

-The place shall be a forex traders den in kenya
- Will offer free information and guide to all interested
- will be like an office for all of us all
- and many other advantages......................

@NGAATU
cckip
#357 Posted : Wednesday, October 29, 2008 2:16:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/11/2008
Posts: 11
Thanks guys,been reading all of your comments and it has help me alot,i am getting better each day,reading my books and babypips.com,i place itrade today and left my house for like 20min and coming back i took 40pips on GBP/USD,i only need to be discipline and stick to my trading plan,look today i had a good trade going for me in the morning GBP/USD,then got out because i was scared only to see it drop 200 pips. This game needs some kind of confindence and discipline i have only seen in Millitary. Happy trading

The most risk in life is taking no risk at all
tonicasert
#358 Posted : Wednesday, October 29, 2008 3:07:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
@cckip - glad to hear you are learning the ropes.

@passyon - what's your email? I know you had given earlier but didnt note it.

@Ngaatu - will send you an email,together with passyon.
tonicasert
#359 Posted : Wednesday, October 29, 2008 3:32:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Yen really getting a hit,from highs of 92-93 today morning to current lows of 98 against the USD. This is pushing GBPJPY and EURJPY,higher,and ultimately thus the gains in GBPUSD and EURUSD.
tonicasert
#360 Posted : Wednesday, October 29, 2008 4:09:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
Anybody trading now? Its so wild!! my broker has now increased spread to 12 pips! Really pip-raiding on the 1 and 5 min charts,so far so good.

Romours: 25bp Japanese rate cut being considered. Also German FinMin said unsettled by the rate of appreciation of the yen. Abrupt fx moves are not desirable

Good luck
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