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Bitpesa Thread - Bitcoin Market Analysis by Mic Kimani
hisah
#31 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 5:40:38 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mic_mic wrote:


$ 504 touched today




Wow! That looks that a potential buying climax and with a sizable volume to boot! Sharp reversal ahead. Retrace likely to retest the breakout zone at 300 level, if no support then the price may leak towards 200 - 250 level. This is why I said I'm standing aside for parabolic moves are never sustainable.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
whiteowl
#32 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 9:55:55 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
hisah wrote:
mic_mic wrote:


$ 504 touched today




Wow! That looks that a potential buying climax and with a sizable volume to boot! Sharp reversal ahead. Retrace likely to retest the breakout zone at 300 level, if no support then the price may leak towards 200 - 250 level. This is why I said I'm standing aside for parabolic moves are never sustainable.


heading towards sub 400
mic_mic
#33 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 10:07:36 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
whiteowl wrote:
hisah wrote:
mic_mic wrote:


$ 504 touched today




Wow! That looks that a potential buying climax and with a sizable volume to boot! Sharp reversal ahead. Retrace likely to retest the breakout zone at 300 level, if no support then the price may leak towards 200 - 250 level. This is why I said I'm standing aside for parabolic moves are never sustainable.


heading towards sub 400




BITCOIN TRADERS KENYA Whatsapp group +254 705 299 429
mic_mic
#34 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 10:09:24 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
whiteowl wrote:
hisah wrote:
mic_mic wrote:


$ 504 touched today




Wow! That looks that a potential buying climax and with a sizable volume to boot! Sharp reversal ahead. Retrace likely to retest the breakout zone at 300 level, if no support then the price may leak towards 200 - 250 level. This is why I said I'm standing aside for parabolic moves are never sustainable.


heading towards sub 400


BITCOIN TRADERS KENYA Whatsapp group +254 705 299 429
mnandii
#35 Posted : Friday, November 06, 2015 3:05:50 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
I don't like the current parabolic. The recovery and rally to new highs has been rushed. Standing aside until things cool down.



Applause

@hisah You also trade bitcoin? Using what platform provider?
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#36 Posted : Sunday, November 08, 2015 7:43:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


The chart shows the outlook I have for bitcoin. I still maintain that a move below $150 is necessary to complete the correction which started at the >$1000 high. The recent move that bitcoin made to $500 must have fooled alot of people. As shown in this chart it was a (B) wave. Elliott Wave Principle describes B waves as phonies. Text: "B waves are phonies. They are sucker plays, bull traps, speculators' paradise, orgies of odd-lotter mentality or expressions of dumb institutional complacency (or both).....If the analyst can easily say to himself, "There is something wrong with this market", chances are it's a B wave. " . This is precisely what happened. People got trapped into thinking we have a new bull market in bitcoin, price rose to above $500 only to fall back below $400 in a matter of hours. This is a perfect lession in Elliott waves. We know that 5-wave moves determine the direction of the market. Therefore for us to proclaim that the bull market in bitcoin has resumed, we MUST get a five wave move upwards since a low. Looking at the chart in the low area marked (A) at about $150 and the move up to $500 it is clearly corrective (and thus the reason I have marked it W X Y). Bitcoin is going to provide a nice opportunity to go long soon. In fact if you look at the blue horizontal line displaying $85.14 and then you look to the left of the chart, you will notice two converging trendlines. That is a triangle and is the area of the previous 4th wave when bitcoin was rising to above $1000. I expect bitcoin to bottom at about $85 dollars and that will be your opportunity to buy aggressively.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
whiteowl
#37 Posted : Sunday, November 08, 2015 9:41:20 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
mnandii wrote:


The chart shows the outlook I have for bitcoin. I still maintain that a move below $150 is necessary to complete the correction which started at the >$1000 high. The recent move that bitcoin made to $500 must have fooled alot of people. As shown in this chart it was a (B) wave. Elliott Wave Principle describes B waves as phonies. Text: "B waves are phonies. They are sucker plays, bull traps, speculators' paradise, orgies of odd-lotter mentality or expressions of dumb institutional complacency (or both).....If the analyst can easily say to himself, "There is something wrong with this market", chances are it's a B wave. " . This is precisely what happened. People got trapped into thinking we have a new bull market in bitcoin, price rose to above $500 only to fall back below $400 in a matter of hours. This is a perfect lession in Elliott waves. We know that 5-wave moves determine the direction of the market. Therefore for us to proclaim that the bull market in bitcoin has resumed, we MUST get a five wave move upwards since a low. Looking at the chart in the low area marked (A) at about $150 and the move up to $500 it is clearly corrective (and thus the reason I have marked it W X Y). Bitcoin is going to provide a nice opportunity to go long soon. In fact if you look at the blue horizontal line displaying $85.14 and then you look to the left of the chart, you will notice two converging trendlines. That is a triangle and is the area of the previous 4th wave when bitcoin was rising to above $1000. I expect bitcoin to bottom at about $85 dollars and that will be your opportunity to buy aggressively.


Thanks for the analysis @mnandii I'm keenly following this as we head into 2016
mnandii
#38 Posted : Tuesday, November 10, 2015 10:51:55 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Bitcoin: A drop to $349.69 then a strong rise to about $450 likely in the short term.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#39 Posted : Tuesday, November 10, 2015 10:53:36 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
whiteowl wrote:
mnandii wrote:


The chart shows the outlook I have for bitcoin. I still maintain that a move below $150 is necessary to complete the correction which started at the >$1000 high. The recent move that bitcoin made to $500 must have fooled alot of people. As shown in this chart it was a (B) wave. Elliott Wave Principle describes B waves as phonies. Text: "B waves are phonies. They are sucker plays, bull traps, speculators' paradise, orgies of odd-lotter mentality or expressions of dumb institutional complacency (or both).....If the analyst can easily say to himself, "There is something wrong with this market", chances are it's a B wave. " . This is precisely what happened. People got trapped into thinking we have a new bull market in bitcoin, price rose to above $500 only to fall back below $400 in a matter of hours. This is a perfect lession in Elliott waves. We know that 5-wave moves determine the direction of the market. Therefore for us to proclaim that the bull market in bitcoin has resumed, we MUST get a five wave move upwards since a low. Looking at the chart in the low area marked (A) at about $150 and the move up to $500 it is clearly corrective (and thus the reason I have marked it W X Y). Bitcoin is going to provide a nice opportunity to go long soon. In fact if you look at the blue horizontal line displaying $85.14 and then you look to the left of the chart, you will notice two converging trendlines. That is a triangle and is the area of the previous 4th wave when bitcoin was rising to above $1000. I expect bitcoin to bottom at about $85 dollars and that will be your opportunity to buy aggressively.


Thanks for the analysis @mnandii I'm keenly following this as we head into 2016



smile

You are welcome.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#40 Posted : Wednesday, November 11, 2015 5:22:16 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:
hisah wrote:
I don't like the current parabolic. The recovery and rally to new highs has been rushed. Standing aside until things cool down.



Applause

@hisah You also trade bitcoin? Using what platform provider?

I'm still scouting for a platform. Looking to start next year.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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