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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
Aguytrying
#1161 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 4:37:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
hisah wrote:
@mnandii, SPT, sparkly have a look at the NBK long term chart. Can you spot the falling wedge breakout!!! The price will plunge very sharply!

With the current drama unfolding in the banking sector I'm keenly following this counter. GoK debt drama and this gok bank promise to stage a nice thriller.


NBK has issues regardless of high T-Bill rates or a bear market. It is under-capitalized [poor CARs] and lives on the largesse of GoK. If its loan book was assessed using metrics of more conservative banks, it would be closed down faster than Imperial Bank!

True. That is why GoK will soon combine NBK, Consolidated and Development banks. In a few months..

Wedge breakout to the downside as price prints below 15 handle to close at 14.80. Sharp plunge coming up!


@Hisah. You predicted the current bear market 1 year ago. How do you do it? I'll look for one of the old posts for perspective.

@muchur. a few months ago You denied this was a bear market, Are you still in denial?
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Cde Monomotapa
#1162 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 5:06:48 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Good year that one, 2013. 202 now. NIFC #HighStakes
Pesa Nane
#1163 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 5:30:38 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
hisah wrote:
NSE20 prints 3,829.31. As usual during a sustained downtrend the fellows at NSE don't post the day's closing figures Sad


you wish, our command PAP!!

Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#1164 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 5:38:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Plus bonus stax (D&B)

Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
hisah
#1165 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 6:09:08 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
hisah wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
hisah wrote:
@mnandii, SPT, sparkly have a look at the NBK long term chart. Can you spot the falling wedge breakout!!! The price will plunge very sharply!

With the current drama unfolding in the banking sector I'm keenly following this counter. GoK debt drama and this gok bank promise to stage a nice thriller.


NBK has issues regardless of high T-Bill rates or a bear market. It is under-capitalized [poor CARs] and lives on the largesse of GoK. If its loan book was assessed using metrics of more conservative banks, it would be closed down faster than Imperial Bank!

True. That is why GoK will soon combine NBK, Consolidated and Development banks. In a few months..

Wedge breakout to the downside as price prints below 15 handle to close at 14.80. Sharp plunge coming up!


@Hisah. You predicted the current bear market 1 year ago. How do you do it? I'll look for one of the old posts for perspective.

@muchur. a few months ago You denied this was a bear market, Are you still in denial?

When bogus stocks (small caps) started parabolic rallies that was the red flag that the market had run out of quality. Kenya Orchards was the loudest signal that a top was forming. I then kept scooping all the NSE20 heavyweights and noticed Equity, britam and ICDC had run to utopia and that's when I issued the golden handcuff warning.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
snipermnoma
#1166 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 6:54:29 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
Pesa Nane wrote:
Plus bonus stax (D&B)



Alaaaa what do we have here? That NSE stock volume...quite telling.
Boris Boyka
#1167 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 7:34:05 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
snipermnoma wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Plus bonus stax (D&B)



Alaaaa what do we have here? That NSE stock volume...quite telling.

With 99% Foreign Buys. A guy,Mlennyma Why are Foreigners Selling KK?
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
Aguytrying
#1168 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 8:15:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@Boris. Foreigners don't like kk. But when it starts rising, you will see them on buy side pushing volumes
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
VituVingiSana
#1169 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 8:55:03 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,124
Location: Nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
@Boris. Foreigners don't like kk. But when it starts rising, you will see them on buy side pushing volumes
KK. The biwott family nexus has been selling. The 'owners' may be local but the ownership is foreign.
Why are they selling? I do not know.
Where do his kids live?
[I saw that with CFC Bank. After the wazee retired/died, the kids started selling off the shares. I believe the sale of CFC to Stanbic was engineered to allow the kids exit at a good price without flooding the market with shares].
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
hisah
#1170 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 9:18:19 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Global stocks are flashing again like back in July before that sharp selloff in August. This is not good Pray
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Spikes
#1171 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 4:51:47 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Is Nairobi Securities Exchange Ltd amongst NSE20 share index?
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
hisah
#1172 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 7:40:16 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Spikes wrote:
Is Nairobi Securities Exchange Ltd amongst NSE20 share index?

NSE 20 index components.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
whiteowl
#1173 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 1:55:22 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
I have a feeling the downtrend will resume next week.
hisah
#1174 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 2:55:14 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
whiteowl wrote:
I have a feeling the downtrend will resume next week.

The index is quite oversold, I expect November to be a rebound month. Infact I hope the bounce holds until Q2 2016, then we get the proper selloff to test 2011 lows. This is in order to confirm if that low was solid or not. A bull that starts from that low will be awesome if the bulls are to blow away the NSE20 6161 all time high barrier.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ericsson
#1175 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 3:41:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Equity is the biggest mover today with turnover at over ksh.1.1bn.
It traded 27.62mn shares.
Who is that moving such a big volume of shares
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
instinct
#1176 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 4:11:57 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/17/2007
Posts: 294
Ericsson wrote:
Equity is the biggest mover today with turnover at over ksh.1.1bn.
It traded 27.62mn shares.
Who is that moving such a big volume of shares



NSE20 Up 37.93 points to close at 3868.09. Moving on up....
streetwise
#1177 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 4:47:27 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
expect this trend to continue.

Lakini ARM at 31.xx , the world is very strange
Aguytrying
#1178 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 4:56:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
streetwise wrote:
expect this trend to continue.

Lakini ARM at 31.xx , the world is very strange


I need no further invitation to ARM
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#1179 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 5:46:11 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
streetwise wrote:
expect this trend to continue.

Lakini ARM at 31.xx , the world is very strange


I need no further invitation to ARM

Still no floor and the chart scope is likely a test of 20 level and one heck of a crime scene!!! This one definitely goes to the buy watch list.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
whiteowl
#1180 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 6:11:47 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
hisah wrote:
whiteowl wrote:
I have a feeling the downtrend will resume next week.

The index is quite oversold, I expect November to be a rebound month. Infact I hope the bounce holds until Q2 2016, then we get the proper selloff to test 2011 lows. This is in order to confirm if that low was solid or not. A bull that starts from that low will be awesome if the bulls are to blow away the NSE20 6161 all time high barrier.


You're spot on with the charts but where will liquidity to support this mini rally come from? Or has the reverse repos cash hit your account? smile
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