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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
enyands
#1081 Posted : Sunday, October 25, 2015 7:58:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/25/2014
Posts: 2,300
Location: kenya
mnandii wrote:
With the bear market underway it is time we did some Socionomic forecasts. This exercise may appear frivolous but it shows the utility of The Wave Principle and Socionomics. The character of social events can be predicted and this may mean the difference between life and death; economic well-being and financial ruin.

THE EXPECTED CHARACTER OF EVENTS IN WAZUA IN THE ENSUING BEAR MARKET:

1. Increasingly many wazuans will be 'usered'.

2. Wazuans will increasingly attack each other viciously in posts.

3. Lady wazuans are more likely to start/comment on threads

4. Technical analysts whose posts are bearish will face increasing attacks.

5. In the political sections distinct camps will emerge with sharply divided ideologies esp. Pro jubilee Vs Opposition.

6. Many wazuans will become deeply religious.

7. admin will have a difficult time moderating discussions.

8. Increasing number of wazuans will start/increase consumption of alcoholic beverages.

9. The number of wazuans visiting coffee shops ( Java House, Dormans etc) will reduce.

10. Several vocal commentators on stocks will become silent or increasingly and openly hostile.

11. Obscenities in posts will increase.

12. Small differences of opinion will escalate.

13. The popularity of violent sports e.g. football and boxing will increase.

14. Many more wazuans will regard the government as being incompetent.

15. Discussions of gossip/scandals will increase.

16. Increasing number of wazuans will become superstitious.




this made me laugh. good sence of humor. I realized im a victim of majority of these bullets. I know I have others but they don't want to admit it Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Spikes
#1082 Posted : Sunday, October 25, 2015 8:43:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
am constantly under same pressure and attacks from senior Wazuans!
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
enyands
#1083 Posted : Sunday, October 25, 2015 9:00:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/25/2014
Posts: 2,300
Location: kenya
Spikes wrote:
am constantly under same pressure and attacks from senior Wazuans!



Thank you for stepping up .that makes the two of us... anymore
Aguytrying
#1084 Posted : Tuesday, October 27, 2015 9:49:55 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
enyands wrote:
Spikes wrote:
am constantly under same pressure and attacks from senior Wazuans!



Thank you for stepping up .that makes the two of us... anymore


Its because we dont want to see you get burnt while we just watch
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
streetwise
#1085 Posted : Tuesday, October 27, 2015 10:14:48 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
Now I just gotten a brain wave, this is not a bear it is a beer cause I already feel drunk. Do you guys have a similar feeling ?
Spikes
#1086 Posted : Tuesday, October 27, 2015 11:49:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
this is terrible...the 'beer' in the village and not in the bars!
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
streetwise
#1087 Posted : Tuesday, October 27, 2015 3:57:24 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
You are right the beer in the village, how can I afford the one in the bar with this bear
sl8r
#1088 Posted : Wednesday, October 28, 2015 4:59:44 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/20/2010
Posts: 69
enyands wrote:
[quote=mnandii]With the bear market underway it is time we did some Socionomic forecasts. This exercise may appear frivolous but it shows the utility of The Wave Principle and Socionomics. The character of social events can be predicted and this may mean the difference between life and death; economic well-being and financial ruin.

THE EXPECTED CHARACTER OF EVENTS IN WAZUA IN THE ENSUING BEAR MARKET:

1. Increasingly many wazuans will be 'usered'.

2. Wazuans will increasingly attack each other viciously in posts.

3. Lady wazuans are more likely to start/comment on threads

4. Technical analysts whose posts are bearish will face increasing attacks.

5. In the political sections distinct camps will emerge with sharply divided ideologies esp. Pro jubilee Vs Opposition.

6. Many wazuans will become deeply religious.

7. admin will have a difficult time moderating discussions.

8. Increasing number of wazuans will start/increase consumption of alcoholic beverages.

9. The number of wazuans visiting coffee shops ( Java House, Dormans etc) will reduce.

10. Several vocal commentators on stocks will become silent or increasingly and openly hostile.

11. Obscenities in posts will increase.

12. Small differences of opinion will escalate.

13. The popularity of violent sports e.g. football and boxing will increase.

14. Many more wazuans will regard the government as being incompetent.

15. Discussions of gossip/scandals will increase.

16. Increasing number of wazuans will become superstitious.




What does 'usered' mean?
Boris Boyka
#1089 Posted : Wednesday, October 28, 2015 5:49:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
sl8r wrote:
enyands wrote:
[quote=mnandii]With the bear market underway it is time we did some Socionomic forecasts. This exercise may appear frivolous but it shows the utility of The Wave Principle and Socionomics. The character of social events can be predicted and this may mean the difference between life and death; economic well-being and financial ruin.

THE EXPECTED CHARACTER OF EVENTS IN WAZUA IN THE ENSUING BEAR MARKET:

1. Increasingly many wazuans will be 'usered'.

2. Wazuans will increasingly attack each other viciously in posts.

3. Lady wazuans are more likely to start/comment on threads

4. Technical analysts whose posts are bearish will face increasing attacks.

5. In the political sections distinct camps will emerge with sharply divided ideologies esp. Pro jubilee Vs Opposition.

6. Many wazuans will become deeply religious.

7. admin will have a difficult time moderating discussions.

8. Increasing number of wazuans will start/increase consumption of alcoholic beverages.

9. The number of wazuans visiting coffee shops ( Java House, Dormans etc) will reduce.

10. Several vocal commentators on stocks will become silent or increasingly and openly hostile.

11. Obscenities in posts will increase.

12. Small differences of opinion will escalate.

13. The popularity of violent sports e.g. football and boxing will increase.

14. Many more wazuans will regard the government as being incompetent.

15. Discussions of gossip/scandals will increase.

16. Increasing number of wazuans will become superstitious.




What does 'usered' mean?

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly since 2010 when you joined this institution did you defer your studies at The University of Wazua?
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
alma1
#1090 Posted : Wednesday, October 28, 2015 6:33:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/19/2015
Posts: 2,871
Location: hapo
this is my favorite post after the KQ post on wazua.

Now someone help me in my thinking. In the simple economics I know.

If T-Bills continue rising, smart money moves there. What is the effect on property and other investments normally.

When they shall fall as they shall eventually even if its 5 years from now, whats the effect on other investments?
Thieves are not good people. Tumeelewana?

iris
#1091 Posted : Wednesday, October 28, 2015 9:16:43 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/11/2014
Posts: 228
Location: Nairobi
Deleted
iris
#1092 Posted : Wednesday, October 28, 2015 9:18:26 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/11/2014
Posts: 228
Location: Nairobi
Boris Boyka wrote:
sl8r wrote:
enyands wrote:
[quote=mnandii]With the bear market underway it is time we did some Socionomic forecasts. This exercise may appear frivolous but it shows the utility of The Wave Principle and Socionomics. The character of social events can be predicted and this may mean the difference between life and death; economic well-being and financial ruin.

THE EXPECTED CHARACTER OF EVENTS IN WAZUA IN THE ENSUING BEAR MARKET:

1. Increasingly many wazuans will be 'usered'.

2. Wazuans will increasingly attack each other viciously in posts.

3. Lady wazuans are more likely to start/comment on threads

4. Technical analysts whose posts are bearish will face increasing attacks.

5. In the political sections distinct camps will emerge with sharply divided ideologies esp. Pro jubilee Vs Opposition.

6. Many wazuans will become deeply religious.

7. admin will have a difficult time moderating discussions.

8. Increasing number of wazuans will start/increase consumption of alcoholic beverages.

9. The number of wazuans visiting coffee shops ( Java House, Dormans etc) will reduce.

10. Several vocal commentators on stocks will become silent or increasingly and openly hostile.

11. Obscenities in posts will increase.

12. Small differences of opinion will escalate.

13. The popularity of violent sports e.g. football and boxing will increase.

14. Many more wazuans will regard the government as being incompetent.

15. Discussions of gossip/scandals will increase.

16. Increasing number of wazuans will become superstitious.




What does 'usered' mean?

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly since 2010 when you joined this institution did you defer your studies at The University of Wazua?


@Boris, how about just answering the question instead of siasa? smile
iris
#1093 Posted : Wednesday, October 28, 2015 9:20:12 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/11/2014
Posts: 228
Location: Nairobi
Boris Boyka wrote:
sl8r wrote:
enyands wrote:
[quote=mnandii]With the bear market underway it is time we did some Socionomic forecasts. This exercise may appear frivolous but it shows the utility of The Wave Principle and Socionomics. The character of social events can be predicted and this may mean the difference between life and death; economic well-being and financial ruin.

THE EXPECTED CHARACTER OF EVENTS IN WAZUA IN THE ENSUING BEAR MARKET:

1. Increasingly many wazuans will be 'usered'.

2. Wazuans will increasingly attack each other viciously in posts.

3. Lady wazuans are more likely to start/comment on threads

4. Technical analysts whose posts are bearish will face increasing attacks.

5. In the political sections distinct camps will emerge with sharply divided ideologies esp. Pro jubilee Vs Opposition.

6. Many wazuans will become deeply religious.

7. admin will have a difficult time moderating discussions.

8. Increasing number of wazuans will start/increase consumption of alcoholic beverages.

9. The number of wazuans visiting coffee shops ( Java House, Dormans etc) will reduce.

10. Several vocal commentators on stocks will become silent or increasingly and openly hostile.

11. Obscenities in posts will increase.

12. Small differences of opinion will escalate.

13. The popularity of violent sports e.g. football and boxing will increase.

14. Many more wazuans will regard the government as being incompetent.

15. Discussions of gossip/scandals will increase.

16. Increasing number of wazuans will become superstitious.




What does 'usered' mean?

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly since 2010 when you joined this institution did you defer your studies at The University of Wazua?


@Boris, how about just answering the question instead of siasa? smile
hisah
#1094 Posted : Wednesday, October 28, 2015 10:43:06 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
NSE20 can't even muster any force to retest 4000. Consolidating losses after the significant break below 4000 before resumption of lower lows trend. That GoK debt binge has chopped off sizable bullish legs.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#1095 Posted : Wednesday, October 28, 2015 10:45:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
NSE20 can't even muster any force to retest 4000. Consolidating losses after the significant break below 4000 before resumption of lower lows trend. That GoK debt binge has chopped off sizable bullish legs.


Yep. I can also sense that the market is taking a breather before the next leg down
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Spikes
#1096 Posted : Thursday, October 29, 2015 6:00:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
I think next support will be psychological low NSE 3500 points.....But it will take months to reach there. Since most stocks have lost more than 50% of their fair value the battle is intense....No free fall coz these stocks are very defensive even if supply surpasses demand!
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Aguytrying
#1097 Posted : Thursday, October 29, 2015 10:52:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Spikes wrote:
I think next support will be psychological low NSE 3500 points.....But it will take months to reach there. Since most stocks have lost more than 50% of their fair value the battle is intense....No free fall coz these stocks are very defensive even if supply surpasses demand!


Some stocks are yet to fall, these are the ones to look out for in the next plunge. Equity, KCB, SAfcom, BAT, EABL. They've barely moved, once those ones join the party, the other stocks' prices lows will shock you with your jaw dropping to the floor.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Spikes
#1098 Posted : Thursday, October 29, 2015 11:01:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
I hope it is not be an earthquake that will leave everybody unhappy with December holiday....US Fed is more than half optimistic about rate hike Dec this year...Mixed fundamentals to watch closely lest you get bruised and burnt to recognition as most Wazuans call it.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
heri
#1099 Posted : Thursday, October 29, 2015 11:20:36 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 834
Location: nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
Spikes wrote:
I think next support will be psychological low NSE 3500 points.....But it will take months to reach there. Since most stocks have lost more than 50% of their fair value the battle is intense....No free fall coz these stocks are very defensive even if supply surpasses demand!


Some stocks are yet to fall, these are the ones to look out for in the next plunge. Equity, KCB, SAfcom, BAT, EABL. They've barely moved, once those ones join the party, the other stocks' prices lows will shock you with your jaw dropping to the floor.


@Aguy, what price are you looking at for KCB as 'potential' bottom considering it has fallen from 55 to 40 in the last 3 months ( 27%)
Aguytrying
#1100 Posted : Thursday, October 29, 2015 11:52:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
heri wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Spikes wrote:
I think next support will be psychological low NSE 3500 points.....But it will take months to reach there. Since most stocks have lost more than 50% of their fair value the battle is intense....No free fall coz these stocks are very defensive even if supply surpasses demand!


Some stocks are yet to fall, these are the ones to look out for in the next plunge. Equity, KCB, SAfcom, BAT, EABL. They've barely moved, once those ones join the party, the other stocks' prices lows will shock you with your jaw dropping to the floor.


@Aguy, what price are you looking at for KCB as 'potential' bottom considering it has fallen from 55 to 40 in the last 3 months ( 27%)


I cant call a bottom,If i were to guess low 30's. but i wouldn't wait for that... below 40-35 i would start buying and let the bottom take care of itself
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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