Aguytrying wrote:If KK and total perform at the same clip in H2, then KK's profits will be double total's. Tafakari hayo.
As interest rates rise, KK is reducing its borrowings.
According to Management during the 1H briefing & interviews:
- No open USD loan positions i.e. 'natural' hedges on USD loans. Huge benefit for KK as KES has cratered against USD since 30th June.
- KES loans being reduced as soon as possible.
- Inventories being tightly managed to reduce Working Capital requirements.
- All acquisitions have to be funded in LCY by the 'local' subsidiary. The HO is not funding any subsidiaries.
- Volumes are up for the retail network but a reduction in volumes in the low-margin sectors has hurt overall market share. Nevertheless, the reduction in overall market share has not impacted profits. Bidding for OTS cargoes at fair prices has reduced winning bids.
- KK was 'short' fuel while prices were falling i.e. as prices fell KK did not have expensive stocks.
- BP/Castrol deal will boost KK's market share in oils and lubricants.
Like @Aguy, I am bullish on KK despite all the drama in the economy.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett