MaichBlack wrote:@ VVS 168% return is not bad at all but it's not as juicy at 268%!!! Ha ha ha. Greed is good - if you understand it and can control it somewhat.
You answered your own question. The NAV was 43 on 30 Sep 2009) but the 2H will add much more as oil prices have risen so have the 'value' on their hedges vs 30 Sep 2009.
I am holding my stake for higher prices coz:
- I see strong foreign interest (25-75% net buying daily). They tend to be less speculative vs retail or local institutions.
- I see a bonus or split (since they did not do it earlier & shareholders want one)
- I see a dividend back to 1.75 (or more)
- I see few other alternates with low P/E or P/B that are well run.
- BA strike means the competitive but busy (& crucial) London routes will be more profitable in a slow January/February
- Consolidate the Africa business (5 new routes in the past 12 months)
- China business picking up (China-NBO-Africa)
- WC2010 will give KQ a temporary boost. Remember we are talking China-UK-Holland all using NBO as a transit point to S.Africa.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett