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KenGen FY15 PAT grows 307%
Pesa Nane
#21 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 8:46:18 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
VituVingiSana wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
What is the composition of other Comprehensive Income & is the growth sustainable.
I don't have info on the former until the Annual Report comes out. Not sustainable/repeated.


Quote:
Other comprehensive income increased from Shs 1,244 million to 54,247 million due to revaluation surplus from property, plant and equipment net of deffered tax.
Our asset base increased by 37% from Shs 250,206 million in June 2014 to 342,520 million in June 2015. This was due to completion of new plants and revaluation of existing property, plant and equipment which resulted in a surplus of Shs 77,203 million after revaluation by independent professional valuers in line with international best practice.

Unlike that listed Real Estate monkey, valuation is done when the projects come online.
@hisah, @Aguy explains the disconnect of div vis-a-vis EPS
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
AndyC
#22 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 9:00:51 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/21/2015
Posts: 151
This Wanjiku taken in for the long haul. When is the rights issue?
mlennyma
#23 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 9:18:34 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
AndyC wrote:
This Wanjiku taken in for the long haul. When is the rights issue?

the trend is always,very good results,rights issue ,profit warning
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Ericsson
#24 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 9:28:50 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Units of electricity sold grew from 6,084GWh to 7,029 GWh
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
winmak
#25 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 9:29:02 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/1/2007
Posts: 539
Location: Nakuru
iko DVD?
For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
Ericsson
#26 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 9:30:24 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Profit before tax increased by 109% from Sh 4,158 million to Sh 8,690 million
Installed Capacity 820MW Hydro 509MW Geothermal
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
AndyC
#27 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 9:34:20 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/21/2015
Posts: 151
mlennyma wrote:
AndyC wrote:
This Wanjiku taken in for the long haul. When is the rights issue?

the trend is always,very good results,rights issue ,profit warning

This is the trend in life. Neither good nor bad times last forever.
winmak
#28 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 9:36:04 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/1/2007
Posts: 539
Location: Nakuru
murchr wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
The only problem with this and KPLC is That shareholders are down the pecking order of benefit. I'd have expected a better dividend from this performance ala wtk cc @hisah.


I don't understand why they are paying divs yet they need money.



That may partially explain the small div relative to the large EPS... They get to retain more...
For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
Pesa Nane
#29 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 11:05:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Future Outlook:
Quote:
WHY INVEST IN KenGen?

*511MW to be added between 2015 and 2018: KenGen is focusing on horizon II projects which include the implementation of the 511MW Geothermal and Wind Projects
*40MW of geothermal soon coming
*80MW of wind also in the near future
*Olkaria I rehabilitation will add 6MW to the existing 45MW capacity
*Industrial park also in the road
*Welcome to our Geothermal Spa
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
instinct
#30 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 12:14:07 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/17/2007
Posts: 294
And you guys are cashing in fast... wait till the news of the "65billion profit" gets to the masses and foreign pension fund managers. 20bob is in sight...
murchr
#31 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 2:16:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Who's buying?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
lochaz-index
#32 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 3:18:00 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
NAV(After revaluation of PPE & before expected dilution) = 64.4
PER at todays closing price of KES.8.3(pre dilution)= 1.58
d'oh!


Using PER for a debt heavy firm such as kengen or ARM gives you a very lopsided analysis.

Since assets are mostly funded by debt and so are the subsequent profits, EV/EBITDA is a more balanced ratio.

Even better is that the ratio factors in preference shares, minority interests obfuscations and rewards cash heavy companies.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
hisah
#33 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 5:44:01 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Pesa Nane wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
What is the composition of other Comprehensive Income & is the growth sustainable.
I don't have info on the former until the Annual Report comes out. Not sustainable/repeated.


Quote:
Other comprehensive income increased from Shs 1,244 million to 54,247 million due to revaluation surplus from property, plant and equipment net of deffered tax.
Our asset base increased by 37% from Shs 250,206 million in June 2014 to 342,520 million in June 2015. This was due to completion of new plants and revaluation of existing property, plant and equipment which resulted in a surplus of Shs 77,203 million after revaluation by independent professional valuers in line with international best practice.

Unlike that listed Real Estate monkey, valuation is done when the projects come online.
@hisah, @Aguy explains the disconnect of div vis-a-vis EPS

Revaluation. I usually run away from books that fatten using that term. Too good news in a bear market is also another red flag. The price action today also says a lot. Upthrust! Staying away from this counter. Let's compare notes next October for lessons learnt.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#34 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 6:46:33 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
What is the composition of other Comprehensive Income & is the growth sustainable.
I don't have info on the former until the Annual Report comes out. Not sustainable/repeated.


Quote:
Other comprehensive income increased from Shs 1,244 million to 54,247 million due to revaluation surplus from property, plant and equipment net of deffered tax.
Our asset base increased by 37% from Shs 250,206 million in June 2014 to 342,520 million in June 2015. This was due to completion of new plants and revaluation of existing property, plant and equipment which resulted in a surplus of Shs 77,203 million after revaluation by independent professional valuers in line with international best practice.

Unlike that listed Real Estate monkey, valuation is done when the projects come online.
@hisah, @Aguy explains the disconnect of div vis-a-vis EPS

Revaluation. I usually run away from books that fatten using that term. Too good news in a bear market is also another red flag. The price action today also says a lot. Upthrust! Staying away from this counter. Let's compare notes next October for lessons learnt.


Is this revaluation, or valuing an investment after the project is completed?

And with other projects coming to completion in the coming months, does that mean?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
sparkly
#35 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 6:55:33 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
hisah wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
What is the composition of other Comprehensive Income & is the growth sustainable.
I don't have info on the former until the Annual Report comes out. Not sustainable/repeated.


Quote:
Other comprehensive income increased from Shs 1,244 million to 54,247 million due to revaluation surplus from property, plant and equipment net of deffered tax.
Our asset base increased by 37% from Shs 250,206 million in June 2014 to 342,520 million in June 2015. This was due to completion of new plants and revaluation of existing property, plant and equipment which resulted in a surplus of Shs 77,203 million after revaluation by independent professional valuers in line with international best practice.

Unlike that listed Real Estate monkey, valuation is done when the projects come online.
@hisah, @Aguy explains the disconnect of div vis-a-vis EPS

Revaluation. I usually run away from books that fatten using that term. Too good news in a bear market is also another red flag. The price action today also says a lot. Upthrust! Staying away from this counter. Let's compare notes next October for lessons learnt.




@Hisah I belief a revaluation is more deserved than undeserved. If Kengen has 100 acres at Olkaria carried at KShs 100k per acre in the books and they successfully drill and develop a well that yields 1B in profits every year, surely they got to revalue that land, no?

Of course the revaluation goes to equity and does not impact cashflow hence an investor has to be keen
Life is short. Live passionately.
murchr
#36 Posted : Tuesday, October 13, 2015 11:23:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
And the story continues here's the new version

Business Daily wrote:
Power producer KenGen is targeting a Sh1.8 billion cut in annual debt repayments to the Treasury through a balance sheet restructuring planned for the first three months of next year. (<-----Familiar)

The firm has applied to the regulator for approval of a Sh28 billion rights issue in which the government is expected to participate by converting part of its Sh41.2 billion loan to the company into equity.



YAWN!!!
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
snipermnoma
#37 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 2:38:51 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
murchr wrote:
And the story continues here's the new version

Business Daily wrote:
Power producer KenGen is targeting a Sh1.8 billion cut in annual debt repayments to the Treasury through a balance sheet restructuring planned for the first three months of next year. (<-----Familiar)

The firm has applied to the regulator for approval of a Sh28 billion rights issue in which the government is expected to participate by converting part of its Sh41.2 billion loan to the company into equity.



YAWN!!!


This rights issue makes this counter unattractive. Plus they have other procurement issues too http://www.businessdaily...88/-/6qkjrj/-/index.html
VituVingiSana
#38 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 7:16:28 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,121
Location: Nairobi
All those 'profits' will be nullified by such huge scams.

http://www.businessdaily...1/-/im767r/-/index.html

I am staying away from KenGen.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
hisah
#39 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 7:46:11 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
VituVingiSana wrote:
All those 'profits' will be nullified by such huge scams.

http://www.businessdaily...1/-/im767r/-/index.html

I am staying away from KenGen.

I thought I'm the only bear in this counter.

@sparkly, a cashflow (cash crunch) event will strike sooner than later. Their low dividend payout says so. As @murchr had stated, they shouldn't be paying dividends in the first place. Why do they need a massive dilutive rights issue? KQ did a massive rights issue in a bear market. The rest is history. Next October we compare notes. Bookmark it.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#40 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 9:47:08 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All those 'profits' will be nullified by such huge scams.

http://www.businessdaily...1/-/im767r/-/index.html

I am staying away from KenGen.

I thought I'm the only bear in this counter.

@sparkly, a cashflow (cash crunch) event will strike sooner than later. Their low dividend payout says so. As @murchr had stated, they shouldn't be paying dividends in the first place. Why do they need a massive dilutive rights issue? KQ did a massive rights issue in a bear market. The rest is history. Next October we compare notes. Bookmark it.


Since they indicated on their expansion plans and high debt and equity requirements that's when I washed my hands of this firm
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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