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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
Spikes
#921 Posted : Sunday, October 04, 2015 1:36:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
NSE may break 4000 points low
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
cnn
#922 Posted : Monday, October 05, 2015 6:23:43 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,619
The NSE 20 closed today at 4084,we should just go below this 4000 level and see how the music plays from there.For once i am tuned to the cartoon network channel as presented by Mr bear (@hisah) and co.
instinct
#923 Posted : Tuesday, October 06, 2015 12:04:16 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/17/2007
Posts: 294
cnn wrote:
The NSE 20 closed today at 4084,we should just go below this 4000 level and see how the music plays from there.For once i am tuned to the cartoon network channel as presented by Mr bear (@hisah) and co.



meanwhile the KES has posted gains in 4 straight sessions from 105 to 105 to the dollar
bubethi
#924 Posted : Tuesday, October 06, 2015 12:44:45 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/17/2006
Posts: 94
instinct wrote:
cnn wrote:
The NSE 20 closed today at 4084,we should just go below this 4000 level and see how the music plays from there.For once i am tuned to the cartoon network channel as presented by Mr bear (@hisah) and co.



meanwhile the KES has posted gains in 4 straight sessions from 105 to 105 to the dollar


Could be as a result of the weakening Dollar
muandiwambeu
#925 Posted : Tuesday, October 06, 2015 1:34:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
I take note that Mr bear lacks pretro_spices now that petro_n_dollar are not dancing in sync unlike other scenarios before by collaborating one to be the fuel and the stoker. What else do the bear has if not the economies considering cbk has hired TSC to run OMO. Ie liquidity squeeze by not paying teachers' salaries? Let the music play. For instance, construction materials are fairly priced in the market ie dollar has not succeeded inciting massive price upward readjustment in cement, chuma etc. FOR goods prices are still steady. Fares n transportation costs are down. No salaries hike have occurred in the near past. Actually the only probable main occurrence would be devolved funds. These chums are in able mean hands and not wanjikus whose propensity to spend/ consumes rocks with cash. Yes the Gvt spending is all high. But the the money is going to smart boys pocket kidelos style. Current Gvt spending stands at close to 1 trillion n by 2017 a trn. So may I hypothesis that, until the chums lands to wanjikus hands in 2017, n barrel price spikes are in town and the dollar menace persists and bazooka, it's all a grand sideways market show. In the mean time, my canisters are being loaded readying for a shooting spree. Doing the gourds
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
Pesa Nane
#926 Posted : Tuesday, October 06, 2015 1:58:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
instinct wrote:
cnn wrote:
The NSE 20 closed today at 4084,we should just go below this 4000 level and see how the music plays from there.For once i am tuned to the cartoon network channel as presented by Mr bear (@hisah) and co.



meanwhile the KES has posted gains in 4 straight sessions from 105 to 105 to the dollar

d'oh!
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Aguytrying
#927 Posted : Tuesday, October 06, 2015 2:06:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Pesa Nane wrote:
instinct wrote:
cnn wrote:
The NSE 20 closed today at 4084,we should just go below this 4000 level and see how the music plays from there.For once i am tuned to the cartoon network channel as presented by Mr bear (@hisah) and co.



meanwhile the KES has posted gains in 4 straight sessions from 105 to 105 to the dollar

d'oh!

Laughing out loudly
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
instinct
#928 Posted : Tuesday, October 06, 2015 2:11:04 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/17/2007
Posts: 294
Aguytrying wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
instinct wrote:
cnn wrote:
The NSE 20 closed today at 4084,we should just go below this 4000 level and see how the music plays from there.For once i am tuned to the cartoon network channel as presented by Mr bear (@hisah) and co.



meanwhile the KES has posted gains in 4 straight sessions from 105 to 105 to the dollar

d'oh!

Laughing out loudly



acheni hizo... i meant 103...
cnn
#929 Posted : Tuesday, October 06, 2015 2:20:53 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,619
And now no trading data since 11.40 a.m, on both mystocks and rich...systems down?
Pesa Nane
#930 Posted : Tuesday, October 06, 2015 5:47:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
cnn wrote:
And now no trading data since 11.40 a.m, on both mystocks and rich...systems down?


Power Outage! Blame it on CDS, or NSE or perhaps KPLC or KENGEN or perhaps the dams..

Take heart, Biz as usual tomorrow 0900 HRS.

Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
hisah
#931 Posted : Wednesday, October 07, 2015 8:21:24 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Pesa Nane wrote:
cnn wrote:
And now no trading data since 11.40 a.m, on both mystocks and rich...systems down?


Power Outage! Blame it on CDS, or NSE or perhaps KPLC or KENGEN or perhaps the dams..

Take heart, Biz as usual tomorrow 0900 HRS.


What a shame!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
VituVingiSana
#932 Posted : Wednesday, October 07, 2015 8:23:34 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,122
Location: Nairobi
Pesa Nane wrote:
cnn wrote:
And now no trading data since 11.40 a.m, on both mystocks and rich...systems down?


Power Outage! Blame it on CDS, or NSE or perhaps KPLC or KENGEN or perhaps the dams..

Take heart, Biz as usual tomorrow 0900 HRS.


Doesn't a 'world class' exchange have backup power?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
hisah
#933 Posted : Wednesday, October 07, 2015 8:29:40 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
hisah wrote:
Caution bulls. The next market raid will be swift!


He he..Av seen it!

This one was too obvious..People chose to ignore

Watching the trend-setters # Safaricom and KCB

NSE20 closed at 4109. The retest of 4080 support is nigh. FTSE NSE15 and 25 weekly charts show weakness, which hints the retest of the Aug 27 low will fail!

Brace for the next slide...

Meanwhile while the market was 'static' yesterday coz of power outage, the 4080 level broke down. NSE20 closed at 4064.

Slow train crash in a liquidity vacuum! This is so boring to watch.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Spikes
#934 Posted : Wednesday, October 07, 2015 9:05:05 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
I am inclined to believe if financials and the telco start weathering El nino today and that no KPLC power interruption nosedive below 3900 NSE 20 index is likely today. Liquidity crunch is biting!
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Aguytrying
#935 Posted : Wednesday, October 07, 2015 11:12:35 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
hisah wrote:
Caution bulls. The next market raid will be swift!


He he..Av seen it!

This one was too obvious..People chose to ignore

Watching the trend-setters # Safaricom and KCB

NSE20 closed at 4109. The retest of 4080 support is nigh. FTSE NSE15 and 25 weekly charts show weakness, which hints the retest of the Aug 27 low will fail!

Brace for the next slide...

Meanwhile while the market was 'static' yesterday coz of power outage, the 4080 level broke down. NSE20 closed at 4064.

Slow train crash in a liquidity vacuum! This is so boring to watch.


If you were to guess where would you pin the hailed bottom?

What do you make of the NSE 25 index? Could it replace the NSE 20 eventually?? I dont see the need of having the two.

I'm seriously salivating over NIC bank and ARM cement, i don't know how much longer i can hold myself from buying. I know its not yet time, but I can feel its near based on the valuations
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#936 Posted : Wednesday, October 07, 2015 3:16:46 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
hisah wrote:
Caution bulls. The next market raid will be swift!


He he..Av seen it!

This one was too obvious..People chose to ignore

Watching the trend-setters # Safaricom and KCB

NSE20 closed at 4109. The retest of 4080 support is nigh. FTSE NSE15 and 25 weekly charts show weakness, which hints the retest of the Aug 27 low will fail!

Brace for the next slide...

Meanwhile while the market was 'static' yesterday coz of power outage, the 4080 level broke down. NSE20 closed at 4064.

Slow train crash in a liquidity vacuum! This is so boring to watch.


If you were to guess where would you pin the hailed bottom?

What do you make of the NSE 25 index? Could it replace the NSE 20 eventually?? I dont see the need of having the two.

I'm seriously salivating over NIC bank and ARM cement, i don't know how much longer i can hold myself from buying. I know its not yet time, but I can feel its near based on the valuations

It's not easy to call a bottom or top, but some events can help. In case of a bottom, the liquidity taps need to start flowing again. If most stocks are trading at NAV or close to it that's also a nice signal. Treasury and CB also need to be in sync. At the moment they don't seem to be in harmony. Equities thrive on liquidity without which bulls can't make a solid charge.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
snipermnoma
#937 Posted : Wednesday, October 07, 2015 8:05:04 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
hisah wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
hisah wrote:
Caution bulls. The next market raid will be swift!


He he..Av seen it!

This one was too obvious..People chose to ignore

Watching the trend-setters # Safaricom and KCB

NSE20 closed at 4109. The retest of 4080 support is nigh. FTSE NSE15 and 25 weekly charts show weakness, which hints the retest of the Aug 27 low will fail!

Brace for the next slide...

Meanwhile while the market was 'static' yesterday coz of power outage, the 4080 level broke down. NSE20 closed at 4064.

Slow train crash in a liquidity vacuum! This is so boring to watch.


If you were to guess where would you pin the hailed bottom?

What do you make of the NSE 25 index? Could it replace the NSE 20 eventually?? I dont see the need of having the two.

I'm seriously salivating over NIC bank and ARM cement, i don't know how much longer i can hold myself from buying. I know its not yet time, but I can feel its near based on the valuations

It's not easy to call a bottom or top, but some events can help. In case of a bottom, the liquidity taps need to start flowing again. If most stocks are trading at NAV or close to it that's also a nice signal. Treasury and CB also need to be in sync. At the moment they don't seem to be in harmony. Equities thrive on liquidity without which bulls can't make a solid charge.


@aguytrying, I feel your pain. I'm struggling to hold myself but I know I must wait a little longer. To echo @hisah, timing a bottom (or top) to absolute perfection is near impossible. It is best to set targets for entry (and exit) and go for it. I do not mind buying on the upswing and missing the perfect bottom. Besides as long as you entered near bottom you will still make returns on the way up.
lochaz-index
#938 Posted : Wednesday, October 07, 2015 9:00:43 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
I doubt this slow motion bear run/sideways show is going to last till the proverbial bottom. A cranked up version will come up sooner rather than later.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
cnn
#939 Posted : Thursday, October 08, 2015 3:18:59 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,619
If 4000 has held today,it is by a whisker.A very boring market at the moment.
Spikes
#940 Posted : Thursday, October 08, 2015 4:05:12 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
The bear is warming up. It will accelerate to below 3800 NSE index in the next 3wks....... once the telco and financials start plunging from their mountainous peak (as of today) panic will spread and obvious nse will crush!
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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