The forex loss was huge and hopefully it will be contained (or mitigated) in 2015-16.
1) The KES has depreciated vs the USD (most maize and wheat imports are priced and billed in USD) from July to September. This will hurt Unga unless it was able to increase the price of flour to the consumer.
2) The purchase of Ennsvalley should add both Revenue and Profits going forward but will the profits exceed the 'lost' profits from Bullpak? I do not think this will be the case in 2015-16 as Unga will look to grow Ennsvalley by investing more cash & restructure operations.
3) Assets - I think Unga has assets whose values are understated in the Balance Sheet. There is a plot along Ngong Road that is shown, available for sale, at what seems a low valuation but chances are the sale price would be much higher.
The focus should be on Volume Growth, Gross Margins, Operating Profit and Finance Costs. The 'profit' from Discontinued Operations should be ignored.
It seems (except for forex losses) Unga will have a better 2015-16 with volume growth pushed by a better supply chain, distribution and new products.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett